Strategy The run home

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ghostdog

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 18, 2008
5,653
2,182
gondawanaland
AFL Club
Essendon
Did the ladder predictor and tried to be as honest with myself as possible, and by the last round we were 5th! I then gave us a loss to Collingwood and we finished 8th.
 

fishardansin

Brownlow Medallist
Apr 6, 2008
15,498
10,375
coburg
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Australian cricket team
Essendon, Brisbane and the two teams from Adelaide are fighting for three spots. I am assuming with all games to go at the G Richmond is home. North are playing well, but it is too late. Similarly, Doggies and Freo are too far out. If two of the teams in this bunch completely choke then one of them are a possible.


TeamAdelaideBrisbaneEssendonPort
Prior wins8977
the opponent for r 16Port GWS (away)Sydney (mcg)Adel
17Suns (away)Port (away)Norf (Docklands)Brisbane (home)
18Essendon (home)North (home)Adelaide (away)Richmond (away)
19Carlton (away)Hawks (Tass)Suns (away)GWS (home)
20St Kilda homeDogs (home)Port (home)Essendon (away)
21Eagles (away)Suns (home)Doggies (Docklands)Sydney (home)
22Collingwood (home)Geelong (home)Freo (away)North (away)
23Doggies (away)Richmond (away)Collingwood Dockers (home)
Prediction total ...

This makes our games against Adelaide and Port extremely important. The Dogs form will shape the finish as they play three of us. So does north. Both teams have found some good form and could easily beat all us, so maybe they are still in the mix.

I went to enough trouble makeing the table. Can't be bothered filling in the predictions. ... you can!
 

mzuppit

Debutant
Jul 9, 2018
115
213
Melbourne
AFL Club
Essendon
The Bulldogs are a game behind us but they have three winnable games at Marvel next (Melbourne, St Kilda and Fremantle). If we drop this game vs North then lose to Adelaide, I see North and the Doggies going past us on the ladder in a few weeks.
 

MattF185

Team Captain
Jul 16, 2012
386
190
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Cricket basketball tennis athletics
We might end up with 13 wins and still not make it on %. Just need Port to lose as many as possible to Brisbane (Home), Richmond (Away), GWS (Home) and Essendon (Away). If they win 2 of those, their fixture does open up for their last three. Ideally, they win one of the next four.
 

MattF185

Team Captain
Jul 16, 2012
386
190
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Cricket basketball tennis athletics
Also, I don’t think North is a realistic finals chance even if they win this weekend, as they have Geelong in Geelong, West Coast Away and Brisbane away in the run home.
 

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citizen-erased

Brownlow Medallist
Jun 11, 2007
15,763
11,486
Victoria
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
Tottenham, Bayern, Milan
Port game is critical
Means we can drop games to Freo, Adelaide and Collingwood and still be in with a chance.
Also need Port to lose to GWS & North.

Alternatively, we balls up North or Dogs game, and we're gone.
Port beat us too, we can drop as low as 14th by my count.

could be disastrous.
Shame we can't offer our 2nd rd picks to GWS for our 1st back now, then tank the **** out of the rest of the season
 

BOMBERS 4 LIFE!!!!

Hall of Famer
Sep 2, 2008
48,725
27,179
Melbourne
AFL Club
Essendon
Port game is critical
Means we can drop games to Freo, Adelaide and Collingwood and still be in with a chance.
Also need Port to lose to GWS & North.

Alternatively, we balls up North or Dogs game, and we're gone.
Port beat us too, we can drop as low as 14th by my count.

could be disastrous.
Shame we can't offer our 2nd rd picks to GWS for our 1st back now, then tank the **** out of the rest of the season
The Bulldogs game is critical imo always seem to struggle againts them.

Port we have their measure and it's at Marvel

The rest of the games North,Crows,Pies,Freo I'm confident we can win them all.
 

JT_the_Man

Brownlow Medallist
Dec 23, 2014
10,828
10,212
Wonders
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
LCFC, LAL, Stars, 49ers, Canadiens
With Hawthorn currently smashing Freo, today becomes even more important. It’s a chance to potentially end the round 2 games clear of 10th (if the Dees can upset the Dogs) and really leave it up to how we play against Port/Adelaide.
 
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