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Prediction The Run Home
- Thread starter Soaring Magpie
- Start date
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- Aug 31, 2014
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We always lift for the top teams. In fact I often feel far more confident we will be up and about when we are the underdog and unfancied by the footy community. Melbourne should be nervous about Friday night. We've won six of our last seven encounters. We also have an outstanding record against the Swans.
Twice. We get the reigning premiers twice after finishing 17th.Of course the Swans play North
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Really wish we had Adams for these final three games. Replacing him with a young player is a big downgrade.
I'm still not sure where we sit. We've had some very good wins, but our form hasn't built up like that of a contender, eg. as 2018 did. We've looked tired for a while, but able to produce just enough each week. Our last four Q performance was some time ago (Power game close tho).
Wanted us to be relatively healthy over these big last three games so we can get a true indication of our level. Unfortunately, the Adams loss is a big blow. Still, very interested to see how we perform.
I'm still not sure where we sit. We've had some very good wins, but our form hasn't built up like that of a contender, eg. as 2018 did. We've looked tired for a while, but able to produce just enough each week. Our last four Q performance was some time ago (Power game close tho).
Wanted us to be relatively healthy over these big last three games so we can get a true indication of our level. Unfortunately, the Adams loss is a big blow. Still, very interested to see how we perform.
Cousin of Daicos
HEY MAGPIE ARMY!
Yep
Up until the May/Melksham stuff in the media that week I was super confident we’d beat Melbourne comfortably and we did
Now I’m absolutely rapt Melbourne beat Freo so they’re not being belted in the media. In fact, I’m sure they’ll be hyped up all week as “back”
Perfect.
For those saying the Dogs are a tough match-up for us, I agree. But far less so at the MCG.
The Dogs and Tigers games were our 2nd and 3rd without Grundy. Unfortunately we were playing Begg and soon found that this was a mistake.
Amazing to think that we added Cox and have not lost since. Straight after our worst loss (48 to Dogs) came one of our best wins (36 over Freo).
The Dogs and Tigers games were our 2nd and 3rd without Grundy. Unfortunately we were playing Begg and soon found that this was a mistake.
Amazing to think that we added Cox and have not lost since. Straight after our worst loss (48 to Dogs) came one of our best wins (36 over Freo).
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This is how I have it going. Wins against Sydney and Carlton, a loss against Melbourne. Ladder and Finals as below (trying to be realistic):
QF1: GEELONG v Sydney
QF2: MELBOURNE v Collingwood
EF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Western Bulldogs
EF2: FREMANTLE v Richmond
SF1: SYDNEY v Brisbane Lions
SF2: COLLINGWOOD v Fremantle
PF1: GEELONG v Collingwood
PF2: Melbourne v SYDNEY
GF: GEELONG v Sydney
| W | L | D | % | ||
| 1. | Geelong | 18 | 4 | 0 | 135.8% |
| 2. | Melbourne | 17 | 5 | 0 | 129.6% |
| 3. | Collingwood | 16 | 6 | 0 | 106.8% |
| 4. | Sydney | 15 | 7 | 0 | 125.5% |
| 5. | Brisbane Lions | 15 | 7 | 0 | 121.0% |
| 6. | Fremantle | 14 | 7 | 1 | 113.7% |
| 7. | Richmond | 13 | 8 | 1 | 114.9% |
| 8. | Western Bulldogs | 13 | 9 | 0 | 110.5% |
| 9. | Carlton | 12 | 10 | 0 | 106.9% |
| 10. | Gold Coast | 11 | 11 | 0 | 103.9% |
| 11. | St Kilda | 11 | 11 | 0 | 100.0% |
| 12. | Port Adelaide | 9 | 13 | 0 | 103.5% |
| 13. | Adelaide | 9 | 13 | 0 | 89.5% |
| 14. | Essendon | 8 | 14 | 0 | 90.4% |
| 15. | Hawthorn | 7 | 15 | 0 | 91.2% |
| 16. | GWS | 5 | 17 | 0 | 82.9% |
| 17. | West Coast | 2 | 20 | 0 | 62.4% |
| 18. | North Melbourne | 2 | 20 | 0 | 56.7% |
QF2: MELBOURNE v Collingwood
EF1: BRISBANE LIONS v Western Bulldogs
EF2: FREMANTLE v Richmond
SF1: SYDNEY v Brisbane Lions
SF2: COLLINGWOOD v Fremantle
PF1: GEELONG v Collingwood
PF2: Melbourne v SYDNEY
GF: GEELONG v Sydney
There’s no other way to cut it. Two wins needed for top four. The Sydney game might be the most important as they appear to be the most likely, direct top four rival… plus we want to avoid interstate travel if we can so finishing above them helps.
It shouldn’t really matter which two games we win … if we win them.
It shouldn’t really matter which two games we win … if we win them.
David King says we are no chance but will have the opportunity to knock Carlton out of the finals as we battle for 5th or 6th. Cool.
Not sure what I like more, us in top 4, or Carlton missing altogether
Carlton missing altogether plus us playing best footy in Sept and....... best not to get too far aheadNot sure what I like more, us in top 4, or Carlton missing altogether
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Finally the Pies are back playing a massive Friday night clash. Can't wait to see how we stack up against the Dees now compared to QB. A competitive showing, win or loss, and we'll go into Swans and Carlton with strong belief of going 2/2 and getting top 4. If Melbourne outplays us then it will raise big question marks ahead of the final weeks.
I'm already so pumped for the game and its not even lunchtime Monday. This week is going to go so slowly.
I'm already so pumped for the game and its not even lunchtime Monday. This week is going to go so slowly.
I thought we were no chance but you see the way Melbourne, Brisbane have been beaten and even Geelong were smashed by Dogs in Q1.
It's not likely, but it's also not improbable. The last 10 years has shown some pretty unlikely scenarios. And we are now in the midst of a 10-win streak in a year in which we were tipped to finish outside the 8.
My brain says no but my heart is telling it to STFU. My Ladder Predictor has us playing Geelong in the GF.
It's not likely, but it's also not improbable. The last 10 years has shown some pretty unlikely scenarios. And we are now in the midst of a 10-win streak in a year in which we were tipped to finish outside the 8.
My brain says no but my heart is telling it to STFU. My Ladder Predictor has us playing Geelong in the GF.
My brain says we won’t challenge, but a lot of this is based off 17th last year, and just on paper we don’t have the best list. However, looking at the current top 8, and our win loss record says we have a chance against anyone. Our losses against geel (poor conversion) and bris a goal at the Gabba. Against top 8 we’ve done well. That was earlier in the season, so the next 3 will give us a real indication as current form is everything. History shows the premiers won most of not all of their last 3-4 games
I'm heading up to the Swans game. We've always been a good travelling team. Hope we win!
I think the big occasion under lights will bring a new lease of life and sharpness to our boys.
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Whats worse is they always get the home game against us we have played the Giants more often than the Swans in Mel, work that out.Twice. We get the reigning premiers twice after finishing 17th.
We play alright in Sydney, I'm not fazed by that. Also we're playing 14 games at MCG (where there is clearly no home ground advantage for Melbourne, Essendon or Carlton) so I think in that regard we've done alright.
Thank * we're not playing at Marvel again this year
brisbanes loss was pretty brutal and deflating
everyone knows they are gettable now, even them
its still less than likely, but they have a rough draw and could drop 2
and we could also win 2
so we are in with a shot at top 4
everyone knows they are gettable now, even them
its still less than likely, but they have a rough draw and could drop 2
and we could also win 2
so we are in with a shot at top 4
We also had Madgen and Callum Brown playing and they haven’t played in any of our 10 wins since. Elliott and Murphy returned from lengthy injuries to replace them. Big difference.
Last edited:
barrackers
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Momentum is a funny thing. We had all of it early against the dogs, but didn’t convert any of our 4-5 chances before they even had a sniff on goal. A couple of 50/50 their way and before you knew it they had a lead of 4 goals themselves. Yeah it’s ifs and maybes, but I don’t share the same level of non-confidence should we meet them again.
What I love is that we dont know how good we are.
I think we have a couple of gears up we can go. Whether we do this is another matter entirely but the potential is there which is exciting.
For us to win we need to take the game on and take risks that combined with pressure can help win us an unlikely flag.
We have a good core of 26-27 players, from last year you can add Lipinski, Nick Daicos, Murphy, Johnson, Carmichael, Henry, Ginnivan, McCreery with an argument mounting for Bianco. Some of these guys are not just your bottom 6 in a best 22 they have x factor and can massively improve our 22.
From 2018 they need to replace Goldsack, Langdon, Phillips, Treloar, Thomas, Mayne, Greenwood, Sier, Aish, Stephenson and Varcoe.
We already have Moore, Quaynor, Cameron, Elliott, Noble and Josh Daicos and with 6 from the list above this side is better than 2018 provided we have luck with injuries.
Cripps and Walsh are both A graders and on the weekend with 81 touches between them they lost! We have Pendlebury and Nick Daicos who are A graders but what makes both of them special is the ball in their hand makes us better because they create goals with their ball use. I always thought Wells recruitment was worth a gamble if we ever had him in a final. Nick Daicos can do what he does. On top of this I think Josh Daicos has potential to become an elite player over the next few weeks. He might be an answer to our centre bounce clearance issues.
Win 2 of the next 3 we have a double chance. Lose the next 3 I can still see us doing damage in the finals as I think we are heading upwards and learning each game.
Whatever happens it will be exciting to watch.
I think we have a couple of gears up we can go. Whether we do this is another matter entirely but the potential is there which is exciting.
For us to win we need to take the game on and take risks that combined with pressure can help win us an unlikely flag.
We have a good core of 26-27 players, from last year you can add Lipinski, Nick Daicos, Murphy, Johnson, Carmichael, Henry, Ginnivan, McCreery with an argument mounting for Bianco. Some of these guys are not just your bottom 6 in a best 22 they have x factor and can massively improve our 22.
From 2018 they need to replace Goldsack, Langdon, Phillips, Treloar, Thomas, Mayne, Greenwood, Sier, Aish, Stephenson and Varcoe.
We already have Moore, Quaynor, Cameron, Elliott, Noble and Josh Daicos and with 6 from the list above this side is better than 2018 provided we have luck with injuries.
Cripps and Walsh are both A graders and on the weekend with 81 touches between them they lost! We have Pendlebury and Nick Daicos who are A graders but what makes both of them special is the ball in their hand makes us better because they create goals with their ball use. I always thought Wells recruitment was worth a gamble if we ever had him in a final. Nick Daicos can do what he does. On top of this I think Josh Daicos has potential to become an elite player over the next few weeks. He might be an answer to our centre bounce clearance issues.
Win 2 of the next 3 we have a double chance. Lose the next 3 I can still see us doing damage in the finals as I think we are heading upwards and learning each game.
Whatever happens it will be exciting to watch.
