The Squiggle 2018 appreciation thread (and other analytics)

Discussion in 'AFL - The Australian Football League' started by Lions_Prid3, Feb 22, 2018.

Put it out there
  1. Lions_Prid3

    Lions_Prid3 Rookie

    Brisbane Lions
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    If you are anything like me, hearing Final Siren state that after his beloved Tigers saluted in the last game of the 2017 season he would be retiring from continuing the greatest thread on Big Footy, it has left a massive void in your heart.

    He has kindly given me permission to start an appreciation thread using the material from his squiggle website - https://live.squiggle.com.au/# - and for us to have a place to continue the legacy that was squiggle.

    This will be a squiggle socialist utopia, so feel free to post the updates each week, as well as to add in any of your own models and analytics. Let's keep it footy prediction and reflection based, and try not to get too upset when a model/poster disagrees with your opinion. The squiggle loves us all equally and will reflect that over the journey, it just happens to be Richmond's turn in the sun at the moment. However in saying that, it looks as if this benevolent deity has moved on:

    Squiggle 2018 pre-season.PNG Squiggle season predictions.PNG Squiggle finals predictions.PNG
     

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  2. harrythetiger

    harrythetiger Norm Smith Medallist

    Richmond
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    Some things never change with the squiggle. We won the flag and it STILL doesn't think we're a chance.
     
  3. Lions_Prid3

    Lions_Prid3 Rookie

    Brisbane Lions
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    It has you losing a prelim to the eventual premier by 13 points, I'd say that's a pretty decent chance! I'd happily swap from where the Lions are sitting..

    On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app
     
  4. BigVic

    BigVic Club Legend

    West Coast
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    The squiggle predicts a Showdown Grand Final 28 days out from the start of the 2018 AFL season.

    Eddie's reaction will be priceless if this happens.
     
    _DBF_, iluvparis, Freomaniac and 4 others like this.
  5. harrythetiger

    harrythetiger Norm Smith Medallist

    Richmond
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    Hyperbole always sounds much better
     
  6. blitzer

    blitzer Premiership Player

    Essendon
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    I'm really glad to see that the Squiggle analytics will be continued in 2018. Its a great insight and fascinating to watch as finals get closer. The Tower of Power was great last year.

    I'm less pleased that it has us losing another elimination final. C'mon Squiggle give us a break!
     
  7. Dr Tigris

    Dr Tigris Premiership Player

    Richmond
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    Awesome!!!

    Thank you.

    Predicts a very tight ladder. Poor GCS :'(.

    If the Squiggle is basically a reliable overall guide then the AFL is about as even as it has been in a long time. Top 6 very even. The a long and strong group of top 8 contenders. Could be another year of WTF results. :D
     
    Wandering Hawk likes this.
  8. Bulldog Joe

    Bulldog Joe Premiership Player

    Western Bulldogs
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    At this stage Squiggle is as blind as any predictor for 2018.

    It is fun to watch it evolve without the emotional attachment we feel as fans
     
  9. Prison Bars

    Prison Bars I'd make Wines from your tears!

    Port Adelaide
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    Why do you do this to me squiggle!?
    I've just bought a new house, I don't want to have to move interstate.
     
    Tarkyn_24, joelsyt, Jonts and 7 others like this.
  10. Power Raid

    Power Raid TheBrownDog

    Port Adelaide
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    should be a ripping year if the ladder is that tight
     
    Dr Tigris, winty and Kane McGoodwin like this.
  11. Abasi

    Abasi Moderator

    Hawthorn
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    Final Siren with the Premiership hangover. It’s official.
     
    Tarkyn_24, _DBF_, Dylan8 and 14 others like this.

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  12. GreyCrow

    GreyCrow Hall of Famer

    Adelaide
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    Great start to Squiggling 2018 style

    Though it has had Adelaide at the pointy end for a while for no chocolates

    But Feb Premiers , yeehah
     
    Final Siren likes this.
  13. Jukesy85

    Jukesy85 Team Captain

    Essendon
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    Melbourne are way too good to finish 13th tbh, if anything they're a better top 4 chance than to not be in the top 10.
     
    TiggerMan22, Scythe94 and Power Raid like this.
  14. Power Raid

    Power Raid TheBrownDog

    Port Adelaide
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    agree

    I think they could be the surprise packet in the top 4 this year
     
    Smedts_2 and Elton Johns Wig like this.
  15. Lions_Prid3

    Lions_Prid3 Rookie

    Brisbane Lions
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    Yeah I tend to agree. I do love though when teams you hope/expect to do well start the squiggle lowly ranked, because they have such great scope for some big movement - particularly early on before it rates them!

    On [device_name] using BigFooty.com mobile app
     
    Jonts likes this.
  16. Hap Hapablap

    Hap Hapablap Que Pasa? Ole...

    West Coast
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    west coast 11 games is probably.

    a few away wins and well be up
     
  17. Teen Wolf

    Teen Wolf Club Legend

    North Melbourne
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    St Kilda losing their most important player (11-6 with Riewoldt and 0-5 without in 2017) and West Coast getting theirs back is the first mental adjustment I'm making to the season predictor. It'd also surprise me if Carlton and Gold Coast combined for anything close to 15 wins, whereas I like Fremantle and Brisbane as improvers while expecting the same old crap from North but with an easier draw. And yes heads should roll at Melbourne if they finish that low, unless a string of freak injuries, incarcerations and disappearances runs through their playing group.

    15-7 for a minor premier is about as low as it gets (half a win less than first and second's record last year), and I don't think the competition has become more balanced over the off-season.
     
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  18. The Dice Man

    The Dice Man Brownlow Medallist

    Richmond
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    I love the squiggle and love it even more when it is wrong, so we are off to a great start with it predicting Adelaide beat Richmond in a final! Just cant see that happening. But subbed for the journey and would very much love to see Final Siren come back for his weekly reports.
     
  19. nickrebellious

    nickrebellious Premiership Player

    Hawthorn
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    Geez... It's predicting your second best result in 30 odd years.
     
    Fadge, Tarkyn_24, Smedts_2 and 9 others like this.
  20. PowerForGood

    PowerForGood Brownlow Medallist

    Port Adelaide
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    Surprised that more Richmond supporters aren't talking up their flag win last year.

    Anyway, on OP, looking forward to a year of forecasts where Port Adelaide make a GF whilst simultaneously failing to beat a single top 8 team*.


    * as per the live ladder only and excl Rd 1.
     
  21. Jarman3

    Jarman3 Club Legend

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    Crows win the flag and take pick 6 to the draft courtesy of Melbourne? I'll settle for that. Is there some way to cash this out now without waiting for the inconvenience of an actual footy season? :p
     
  22. CrowsFlag2018

    CrowsFlag2018 Team Captain

    Adelaide
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    Uh, its predictng Adelaide beat Richmond in Adelaide. If you cant see that happening go look at our finals record in Adelaide last year - flawless.


    But more importantly **** Squiggle. I read the archives on this shit. Constantly talking Adelaide up. Farrrrrrrk you, you jinxing piece of data poo.

    A week after the GF it still tried to predict an Adelaide win.

    Squiggle can remain dead so we can usher in an Adelaide dynasty free from this black magic bullshit.
     
    Final Siren likes this.
  23. Final Siren

    Final Siren Mr Squiggle

    Richmond
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    Thanks all for the love. I won't be doing weekly reports this year, but Squiggle will still be running, and I'm up for joining in the discussion, especially if we get another couple of armchair analysts in here. The back and forth has always been my favourite part of it.
     
  24. GreyCrow

    GreyCrow Hall of Famer

    Adelaide
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    Good to see you emerge from the pub. Hope you have enjoyed the off-season. Good luck in the next part of your life. Look forward to some commentary every now and then
     
  25. Coalface

    Coalface Senior List

    North Melbourne
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    Any chance of a squiggle app?