Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

[Roobs321]

Essendon (2-7), GWS (2-7) and Adelaide (3-6) all have a 1% chance of winning the spoon. That underlines just how hopeless North (1-8) and West Coast (1-8) are considered to be. Meanwhile 0-5 Port are already nudging a 110% percentage and haven't been ruled out for the minor premiership yet (0.1%).

 

[00Stinger]

I used to hate the Squiggle for years

But now I love it!

 

[magic_johnson!]

There goes not only Melbourne’s position on top spot of the ladder, but also their handle on the squiggle flagpole

 

[catstorm]

There goes not only Melbourne’s position on top spot of the ladder, but also their handle on the squiggle flagpole

Still the tip for the flag though, with Geelong as usual bombing out in a Prelim.

 

[AFLGlicko]

Still the tip for the flag though, with Geelong as usual bombing out in a Prelim.

View attachment 1423405

Did you read the disclaimer right below there.

 

[WillHayward]

Squiggle telling us the Cats are a genuine contender...

My tip is the Dockers but it's definitely now wide open amongst that top 4. Dees, Lions, Freo, Cats.

 

[Danw0w]

How are the dogs rated as a better offensive team than the tigers despite having less goals from one more inside 50 per match? Serious question.

 

[SJ]

How are the dogs rated as a better offensive team than the tigers despite having less goals from one more inside 50 per match? Serious question.

Behinds are also a factor.

 

[Purple Suit]

How are the dogs rated as a better offensive team than the tigers despite having less goals from one more inside 50 per match? Serious question.

It’s also based on 2 years worth of data so it factors in last year as well.

 

[the harry]

How are the dogs rated as a better offensive team than the tigers despite having less goals from one more inside 50 per match? Serious question.

What about shots on goal?

 

[LittleG]

How are the dogs rated as a better offensive team than the tigers despite having less goals from one more inside 50 per match? Serious question.

Perhaps, Squiggle uses Expected score instead of actual score.

 

[raffrox]

Not sure if I've missed it in this thread or misunderstood but how do the power rankings work? Freo at 7th seems a bit rough.

 

[Danw0w]

What about shots on goal?

0.49 shots per inside 50 with the dogs averaging one more inside 50 per game. I feel like the difference in goals should be the more important stat.

 

[the harry]

0.49 shots per inside 50 with the dogs averaging one more inside 50 per game. I feel like the difference in goals should be the more important stat.

Not per i50. Just look at raw numbers, more shots on goal per game is better.

Richmond unlikely to kick as straight as they did on the weekend and let an awful team nearly crack 100 points. Against a decent team it would have been much closer

 

[Danw0w]

Not per i50. Just look at raw numbers, more shots on goal per game is better.

Richmond unlikely to kick as straight as they did on the weekend and let an awful team nearly crack 100 points. Against a decent team it would have been much closer

It’s 28 shots per game for each team. Also I never mentioned anything about our defence. Our defence has been atrocious this year.

 

[freo_leo29]

It’s 28 shots per game for each team. Also I never mentioned anything about our defence. Our defence has been atrocious this year.

including all of last year?

Also it varies depending on how good the team you play was at the time of playing them

 

[the harry]

It’s 28 shots per game for each team. Also I never mentioned anything about our defence. Our defence has been atrocious this year.

Sorry for bringing defence into it.

Also considers who you play and over more than just this season because it would be manic for the first half of the year of so.

So same shots this year, but I imagine the Dogs would have been far better last given they made the GF. It might be turning in Tigers favour now but though but can see why there might be a gap.

 

[magic_johnson!]

I like the look of the current flagpole, but not the predictor! Has Geelong losing another prelim away to Sydney!

 

[SuperVolley11]

I like the look of the current flagpole, but not the predictor! Has Geelong losing another prelim away to Sydney!

Not anymore. #flagcats

 

[FootyNoobie]

Why is Collingwood rated so low (9th) in the power rankings? Would've thought they'd be much higher than that given their victory over Melbourne.

 

[SuperVolley11]

Why is Collingwood rated so low (9th) in the power rankings? Would've thought they'd be much higher than that given their victory over Melbourne.

Because it’s not reactive to one game like people are. It’s goes on the whole profile of a team over a longer period. Really close wins against the bottom of the ladder would of hurt the pies.

 

[BrainOfMorbius]

Hey Final Siren FYI you have Brisbane playing Sydney next week but our opponent is actually Geelong.

 

[Strapping Young Lad]

Squiggle is back.

 

[hawkman]

Squiggle is back.

Obviously doesn’t take into account Carlton's ability to choke

 

[BigVic]

Very generous of Carlton. Underestimating the Pies again.