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Analysis The Stats and nothing but the Stats

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THE BEST AND WORST TACKLERS AT EVERY CLUB

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Best: Dane Rampe 29/40 – 73 per cent
Worst: Oliver Florent 24/45 – 53 per cent
Breaker: Chad Warner – 21 (BEST IN THE LEAGUE)
Missed: Caiden Cleary – 9
 
Some damning stats in the Footy Live App
  • The Swans have allowed their opponents to convert 85.5% of their first possessions at centre bounce into a clearance - ranked last.
  • Since Round 8, the Swans have won 15.8% of their offensive one-on-one contests - the lowest rate in the competition.
  • The Crows have won the first possession from 54.2% of their centre bounce hitouts - the highest rate in the league.
  • Adelaide is the most resilient team in the league - conceding a tackle efficiency of 59.2%.
  • The Crows have allowed their opposition to retain possession from 68.2% of their disposals - the lowest rate in the competition.
 
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grimlock said:
Some damning stats in the Footy Live App
  • The Swans have allowed their opponents to convert 85.5% of their first possessions at centre bouncse into a clearance - ranked last.
  • Since Round 8, the Swans have won 15.8% of their offensive one-on-one contests - the lowest rate in the competition.
  • The Crows have won the first possession from 54.2% of their centre bounce hitouts - the highest rate in the league.
  • Adelaide is the most resilient team in the league - conceding a tackle efficiency of 59.2%.
  • The Crows have allowed their opposition to retain possession from 68.2% of their disposals - the lowest rate in the competition.
Click to expand...

The bolded doesnt bode well for this week :moustache:
 
kickthething said:
Coaching panel
Click to expand...
Not so sure that there's anything wrong with Spike or Mathews. The new development coach who knows. Probably lacks authority. Buchanon not so sure. Definitely at least one short. Spike should be a decent senior assistant. McPointy seems to be struggling with the VFL side but I felt it was the right move at the time. 🤷
 
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Taking a dig through some historical data.

Where this team has really lost its identity is throughout the variance iterations of Swans teams over the past 2 decades. We've always had a defence that was ranging from Solid to Elite. Even in years where we couldn't make finals, our defence tends to hold up. We just can't kick a winning score.

In 2025, on current trajectory our offence has fallen to 2019 levels and the defence is on track to being the worst it's been.

Priority number 1 has to be figuring out how to stop oppo from scoring so easily. Building a reliable back 6/7 at draft/trade time.

1748749024828.png
 
More from Footy Live

  • The Tigers gave away just four free kicks last round - the equal-fewest on record. There were no free kicks awarded in the third term - the first quarter without a free kick since Round 16, 2015.
  • Richmond won the contested possessions by 24 in the opening term last round - its best ever differential in a quarter.
  • Tom Lynch has kicked three goals in each of his last two games against Sydney.
  • Sydney has conceded a 10-plus goal streak just six times since 1999, and two of those have been in the last six rounds.
  • Since Round 9, the Swans have committed a turnover every 4.6 disposals - ranked last.
  • Sydney has given away 21 50-metre penalties this year - four more than any other team. It gave away just 17 during the H&A rounds in 2024.
  • The Swans conceded 25 intercept marks last week to Adelaide - the most conceded by any team this year.
  • Chad Warner's 21% disposals efficiency last week is the lowest ever by a player with 19-plus disposals - having 10 ineffective kicks and four direct turnovers by foot.
  • Tom McCartin has won 50% of the one-on-one contestse he has defended - the highest rate of the top-25 to defend a contest.
 
https://www.afl.com.au/news/1345689

This article on goal kicking accuracy has us 5th worst in overall accuracy (not surprising) but 2nd best from set shots (surprising). Which must mean our non set shots are deplorable

Wish they had added xG in there to give some context whether we are taking bad shots in general or missing the kickable ones
 

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Dubai Quacker said:
I really love the look of that CBA chart.

The more Errol and Chad don’t have to attend & instead act as runners, the better we look in my view.
Click to expand...
With Sheldrick establishing his spot in the team & Mills and Papley back we have a very long list of players who can rotate through there now which is a huge asset.
 
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Footy Live app stats
  • The Swans have the best pressure differential at stoppages of any team across the last four rounds.
  • Sydney has been involved in the second-lowest scoring matches this season with an average of 160.1 points in its games.
  • In the last four rounds, the Swans have conceded 20 intercept marks per game - ranked last.
  • Sydney has lost four of its last six matches at the SCG by an average losing margin of 30 points.
  • Since Round 9, Brodie Grundy leads the AFL in for disposals and ranks third for contested possessions among ruckmen - averaging 21.5 and 14.0 in that order.
  • The Bulldogs have won the center bounce clearances by 3.9 per game - ranked No.1 - outscoring their opponent by 5.7 points per game - also first.
  • The Bulldogs have been involved in the highest-scoring matches this season, with an average of 184.6 points in their games.
  • The Bulldogs are averaging 112.4 points over their last five matches - ranked No.1.
  • Since Round 12, the Bulldogs have won 40% of their offensive one-on-one contests - ranked No.1.
  • Since Round 10, Matthew Kennedy is averaging 27.8 disposals, 1.4 goals, and 1.4 score assists.
 

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Selected Footy Live App Stats
  • Sydney has found a mark from just 17.2% of its kicks into forward 50 this season - ranked last.
  • Sydney has taken 47.1% of its defensive midfield chains into the forward 50 this season - ranked second.
  • The Swans have scored just 5% of their score from within 15 metres of goal - the lowest percentage of any team.
  • In the last four rounds, Sydney has conceded an average of 16.7 points from centre bounce clearances per game - ranked 17th.
  • James Jordon kept Ed Richards to just five disposals in the 56 minutes that they were matched up last week, after keeping Connor Rozee to just eight disposals in 47 minutes the week before.
  • In the last four rounds, the Dockers have lost the groundball get differential by 9.7 per game in their midfield zone - ranked last.
  • The Dockers play on from just 15.8% of their marks this season - the lowest percentage of any team in the competition.
  • Fremantle has been caught holding the ball 88 times this year - the equal-most in the competition.
  • The Dockers have lost 34.2% of their defensive one-on-one contests this season - ranked last.
 
grimlock said:
Selected Footy Live App Stats
  • Sydney has found a mark from just 17.2% of its kicks into forward 50 this season - ranked last.
  • Sydney has taken 47.1% of its defensive midfield chains into the forward 50 this season - ranked second.
  • The Swans have scored just 5% of their score from within 15 metres of goal - the lowest percentage of any team.
  • In the last four rounds, Sydney has conceded an average of 16.7 points from centre bounce clearances per game - ranked 17th.
  • James Jordon kept Ed Richards to just five disposals in the 56 minutes that they were matched up last week, after keeping Connor Rozee to just eight disposals in 47 minutes the week before.
  • In the last four rounds, the Dockers have lost the groundball get differential by 9.7 per game in their midfield zone - ranked last.
  • The Dockers play on from just 15.8% of their marks this season - the lowest percentage of any team in the competition.
  • Fremantle has been caught holding the ball 88 times this year - the equal-most in the competition.
  • The Dockers have lost 34.2% of their defensive one-on-one contests this season - ranked last.
Click to expand...
Thinking about the first 2 items, so we can move the ball to F50 almost as good as any in the comp, but that last kick inside F50 we are almost as bad as any in the comp.

I also remember reading a stat saying we are one of the best in slowing opposition ball movement from their defensive half into our D50, but once it gets in there we are one of the leakiest sides in conceding scores per I50 conceded.

In other words, between the arcs we are strong, but the bookends at both ends are weak.
 
grimlock said:
Thinking about the first 2 items, so we can move the ball to F50 almost as good as any in the comp, but that last kick inside F50 we are almost as bad as any in the comp.

I also remember reading a stat saying we are one of the best in slowing opposition ball movement from their defensive half into our D50, but once it gets in there we are one of the leakiest sides in conceding scores per I50 conceded.

In other words, between the arcs we are strong, but the bookends at both ends are weak.
Click to expand...
I think that sounds pretty reasonable, particularly the conversion issue, with the makeshift forward line we have had all season.
 
grimlock said:
Thinking about the first 2 items, so we can move the ball to F50 almost as good as any in the comp, but that last kick inside F50 we are almost as bad as any in the comp.

I also remember reading a stat saying we are one of the best in slowing opposition ball movement from their defensive half into our D50, but once it gets in there we are one of the leakiest sides in conceding scores per I50 conceded.

In other words, between the arcs we are strong, but the bookends at both ends are weak.
Click to expand...
Thanks for this Grim. I think we can all see our weaknesses, especially up forward, but it sure does help getting some clarity on it to confirm we're not just imagining things with our own bias.

Club have been desperate for a leading forward since before Buddy retired to replace him and we have had no luck. Our forward 50 entries aren't making it any easier for the ones we have.

Defence has been vulnerable in particular due to our injuries but again its a weakness need to improve on.
 
grimlock said:
I also remember reading a stat saying we are one of the best in slowing opposition ball movement from their defensive half into our D50, but once it gets in there we are one of the leakiest sides in conceding scores per I50 conceded.

In other words, between the arcs we are strong, but the bookends at both ends are weak.
Click to expand...
Not disputing your info acquirement Grim, really appreciate you finding & sharing it all, but this just cannot be right. I'd go so far as to say our biggest weakness as a team, to my eye, is allowing the opposition to go end-to-end virtually uncontested. We don't look like we can defend ball movement at all. It happens soooo much that I just can't believe that most teams in the competition are actually worse at it than us.
 
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