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Yeah China have NoKo at the Go table because it helps them with their middle game, not quite end game, re Taiwan.
It’s a one off combo of Trump needing a perceived win having painted himself into a rhetorical corner, plus businesses all over now caving in left right and centre to Chinese pressure after a decade or more of rope a dope access to China’s markets, plus the weight of many small governments taking China’s development monies in exchange for votes and one by one switches of diplomatic status. That is all.
No ‘movement’ on Taiwan, no deal in NoKo. But they can’t do it so bluntly, obviously. It’ll be absorption by a thousand small swipes. And in the latest missive at airlines they were cynical enough to conflate “Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan” as if they were the same. Any glib international rejections get entrapped in the ‘evil former colonial power’ new Chinese nationalist narrative re the first two. It’s a brazen ignoring of history, but we’ve seen folks sucked in by far less subtle “untruthfulness strategies” in recent times, and the post-Tiananmen Chinese generation has grown up through an overtly nationalistic education system that was a reaction to that shock.
And what might a subtle movement on Taiwan look like, something that signals a change across the whole region while looking mostly like a “local” change? “Lessening” the US military presence in SoKo and Japan would be more than enough. Of course not so much of a US presence is needed there now that the threat of Rocket Man has been averted permanently. Sarcasm intended.
It was *Trump* who told everyone that, during the campaign when he bemoaned the cost of defending Korea and Japan and threatened to raise the price.
Unwittingly throwing a game and pretending you won a different one shouldn’t win anyone a peace prize.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
It’s a one off combo of Trump needing a perceived win having painted himself into a rhetorical corner, plus businesses all over now caving in left right and centre to Chinese pressure after a decade or more of rope a dope access to China’s markets, plus the weight of many small governments taking China’s development monies in exchange for votes and one by one switches of diplomatic status. That is all.
No ‘movement’ on Taiwan, no deal in NoKo. But they can’t do it so bluntly, obviously. It’ll be absorption by a thousand small swipes. And in the latest missive at airlines they were cynical enough to conflate “Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan” as if they were the same. Any glib international rejections get entrapped in the ‘evil former colonial power’ new Chinese nationalist narrative re the first two. It’s a brazen ignoring of history, but we’ve seen folks sucked in by far less subtle “untruthfulness strategies” in recent times, and the post-Tiananmen Chinese generation has grown up through an overtly nationalistic education system that was a reaction to that shock.
And what might a subtle movement on Taiwan look like, something that signals a change across the whole region while looking mostly like a “local” change? “Lessening” the US military presence in SoKo and Japan would be more than enough. Of course not so much of a US presence is needed there now that the threat of Rocket Man has been averted permanently. Sarcasm intended.
It was *Trump* who told everyone that, during the campaign when he bemoaned the cost of defending Korea and Japan and threatened to raise the price.
Unwittingly throwing a game and pretending you won a different one shouldn’t win anyone a peace prize.
Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
