Good, it'd be nice to see some loyalty!
Opinion The "What's X/Y Player worth" thread
- Thread starter eth-dog
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Good, it'd be nice to see some loyalty!
- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,445
- 28,061
- AFL Club
- West Coast
How did I do with my 1 October estimate of values?
Gibbs - 10 - way unders
Lever - 10 and 30 - about right
Gaff - 7 - n/a
Balic - 55 - slight overs
Ah Chee (Port) - 60 - about right
Crozier - 50 - slight unders
Wilson - 20 - about right
Cameron - 20-25 - way unders
Matera - 50 - about right
Goldstein - won't happen as no one wants his salary and North don't want a token pick for him - na
Impey - 40 - slight unders
Lamb - no value - na/correct
Masten - 55 - na
Schofield - 55 - na
Watts - 35 - about right
Saad - 45 - way unders
Stringer - 15 - slight overs
Smith - 20 - slight unders
Kennedy - 20 - slight overs
Miles - 50 - na
Ablett - 35 - about right?
Schache - 15 - slight overs
Taberner - 50 - na
Hartung - 50 - na
Fasolo - 40 - na
Totals
Way overs: 0
Slight overs: 4
About right: 6
Slight unders: 3
Way unders: 3
This year it felt like most players went cheap, except for a few contracted players who went for hefty trade prices.
I expect players to go cheaper next year as clubs over-value draft picks in the "strong" draft
- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,445
- 28,061
- AFL Club
- West Coast
So even if the draft is good, you think clubs will over-rate it? That will mean that players normally going for pick 20 might go for pick 35, and clubs will be fine with that.
Personally I don't think there is any more chance of clubs over-rating it as under-rating it.
Just an opinion. Some clubs will fall for it IMO, and there will be some bargains to be had
Good effort. But Hartung shouldn't be na. He was delisted, you had him at way overs.
- Aug 22, 2009
- 24,445
- 28,061
- AFL Club
- West Coast
Yeah true.
- Nov 23, 2016
- 10,558
- 7,069
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- GWS
I think Kenmedy was worth more than 30, we were in a weak position, not having offered him a contract. Took unders to get it sorted as I read it.
Darcy Tucker, Ed Langdon, Brennan Cox, Griffin Logue, Ethan Hughes
- Jun 19, 2016
- 20,798
- 39,853
- AFL Club
- Western Bulldogs
Interested to know what people think Papley is worth? Few rumours he’d like to get back to Vic.
- Oct 13, 2015
- 8,707
- 21,324
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- Brisbane Lions
Dan McStay - out of contract but has had a pretty good year. Only issue is that he can't kick straight from 20m out directly in front. Tough one to evaluate given the scarcity of out of contract key position players this year.
I definitely would prefer the Lions re-sign him but I think his value is an interesting question. Clearly not a 1st round pick but maybe a mid-late second?
I definitely would prefer the Lions re-sign him but I think his value is an interesting question. Clearly not a 1st round pick but maybe a mid-late second?
- Apr 5, 2016
- 7,298
- 16,413
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- Boston Celtics
He's 22, playing some fantastic football at the moment as he's approaching what some would suggest are his prime years. Averaged 27 goals a season prior to this year and already has 23. Would suggest he'll get to 40. If you are kicking 40 goals as a small forward and are only 22, it's got to be a first rounder at the very least.
Luder
Team Captain
- Jun 7, 2019
- 529
- 873
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- Western Bulldogs
- Banned
- #416
Tucker - not even going to guess
Langdon - Pick 15 to 20
Cox - Pick 25
Logue - Pick 15
Hughes - another I won't guess
Easily worth at least Pick 10 now I reckon, his value is really rising this year
Probably a late 3rd. I rate him, but he's played 4 games since end of 2017, and his time playing senior footy was never spectacular. Doubt he's worth trading tbh
End of 1st round pick would be his absolute peak, assuming something comes back to the target club. I think you're pretty close with the mid-late second as his "true" value
- Oct 13, 2015
- 8,707
- 21,324
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- Brisbane Lions
If McStay was contracted maybe we'd get an end of first but seems unlikely. Pick in the mid 20s probably around the mark.
- May 5, 2006
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- 70,019
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I would've thought around 15-25. Playing good footy and is only 23 this year. Don't know if he is contracted but would be surprised if Sydney let him go for anything beyond 30.
I don’t know if you’re necessarily wrong about cox, and could understand why freo fans wouldn’t want cox to go for cheap but I’m not sure I would want him at port for that cost.
Papley is an absolute jet and worth a top ten pick
Luder
Team Captain
- Jun 7, 2019
- 529
- 873
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- Banned
- #421
If anything, I constantly see Freo fans arguing he's worth a 1st (which he isn't). The Pick 25 would be best case scenario, and in reality I think he's more likely to go for closer to Pick 40 if he requested a trade. Drafted at Pick 41 and has never been spectacular. Now is behind a number of other talls at Freo and has gone backwards from last year. Only reason I suggested such a high cost is because I doubt Freo would want him being let go, and because he's contracted for 2020
- Jun 19, 2016
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- 39,853
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I’d take him now for that.
- Oct 17, 2011
- 7,843
- 13,663
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- Hawthorn
I'd give a second rounder for sure, doubt the Swans would be happy with that though.
Holy Rioli
Premiership Player
Yes - future 3rd or 4th rounder or current year upgrade (e.g. your 3rd for Brand and our 4th).
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