Right now, we are probably less than 5% chance of winning.
Tom's last 5 suspensions...
Round 12, 2016 vs North ... Geelong won
Round 13 2017 vs West Coast ... Geelong lost ... this game was after a bye so we would probably have lost anyway
Round 21 2017 vs Richmond ... Geelong won
Round 22 2017 vs Collingwood ... Geelong won
Round 8 2018 vs Collingwood ... Geelong won
Maybe the odds aren't so bad after all.