Prediction Top 4 in 2022

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ozzie69

All Australian
Jun 28, 2013
799
597
Sydney
AFL Club
Fremantle
We don't need to improve much from last season to make the eight - if just one of the Carlton games was actually at home, we surely would have made it. If we are going to progress further on our development path this season, then we need to aim higher than just making the eight as this would essentially equal last year.
Naturally alot hinges on improvement in our injury management processes. If we can be just league average with time lost to injury then we should see a aubstantial improvement.
 

JBMAN

Senior List
Aug 8, 2016
255
704
AFL Club
Fremantle
I believe we now have our best list ever, potentially based on pure talent, but very young. Should be aiming high and could surprise a few people. To me it's just the age of the majority of the list that may hold us back for another year. The real positive for me is that we have the range of players to cover all positions on the field, there are no excuses for us to not improve, the question is how much. Maybe not top 4 just yet but shouldn't be ruled out.
 

freo99

Team Captain
Jan 22, 2021
549
473
AFL Club
Fremantle
Agree that teams will improve but I don't see it being Hawthorn or Collingwood. Hawks literally tried to shop around their current best players, can't imagine there's going to be much unity inside the dressing room on the back of that. Collingwood are staring down the barrel of one of their best players being convicted of crimes in the US and they haven't guaranteed he will be at the club even if he beats the charges.

Also agree that North and Adelaide should improve but likely to be from wooden spoon rivals to contending for 16th. Zero chance Brisbane drops out of the 8 with a fit Neale and the returns of Hipwood and Rayner.

I think Geelong will finally capitulate, hopefully resulting in a decade or more of being complete garbage. Sydney bolted last year and remains to be seen if the young kids will stand up again.

GWS and Essendon feel like the shakiest (big surprise given they're 7th and 8th).

Overall I reckon Geelong, Sydney and GWS are the most likely to fall out of the 8, but I don't really see any of the other 9-14th teams pushing that hard so we only need one of them to drop if the stars align and we get a decent run with injuries.
Going to be a very interesting year + difficult to pick.
 

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CapitalA

Club Legend
Nov 18, 2017
1,907
3,023
AFL Club
Fremantle
Our backline is stacked, even if 3 or 4 of our best defenders go down we have other options.

If we get 20+ games out of Fyfe, Taberner, Darcy, Brayshaw and Serong we should make the 8 IMO. $3.50 is good value.

Not necessarily. We were 1 win (which we should have had in multiple games) off finals without Fyfe for a bunch of games and Tabs for a few games last year, plus all of our best defenders missing large parts of the year.

I think we can make finals even with some of them injured.
 

wakojako

Club Legend
Nov 15, 2020
1,838
2,361
AFL Club
Fremantle
We aren't contending top 6 so if we have a great season we will be competing for 7-8. Bad news is that we will have to compete for that spot with Carlton who we just can't seem to beat.
 

dominguez

Brownlow Medallist
Oct 5, 2004
15,743
1,891
Sydney
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
Swan Dist, Rockets, Glasgow Rangers
If we fail to get 20+ games out of one of those and then won't make the 8, that's not great value is it?

Way too dependent on an unlikely condition for my liking.


Darcy and Taberner in particular are crucial because there's so little coverage for both. If they're both in the 40 man AA squad we're a chance for the top 4. If they both miss a large part of the season we could potentially be bottom 4.........
 

blue shark

Premiership Player
Aug 15, 2009
4,174
3,348
perth
AFL Club
Fremantle
Darcy and Taberner in particular are crucial because there's so little coverage for both. If they're both in the 40 man AA squad we're a chance for the top 4. If they both miss a large part of the season we could potentially be bottom 4.........
Unless we have a huge injury toll I don’t think we could fall into the bottom 4.
Obviously Tabs, Darcy are key players, but I’d like to think our coaching staff could move the chess pieces around to limit the
damage.
List is young but the spread of players, quality, and depth in all positions looks good.
Good coaches compensate, and JLo appears to be quite astute.
We have fixed the forward coaching position, targeted LeCras.
Really feels like we have ownership at the club, more leadership.
Players are also pushing the change.
 

theGav56

Brownlow Medallist
Oct 11, 2004
25,449
23,047
Bali
AFL Club
Fremantle
Other Teams
Fremantle
Of course Darcy is important to us but if Meek isn't ready to step in if required we've stuffed up. We need a well rehearsed Plan B.
 
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Mags98

Team Captain
Mar 16, 2018
418
341
AFL Club
Fremantle
like others have said, theres usually a team that makes a massive jump from outside the 8 to firmly top 6 if not top 4. if carlton werent carlton id say they were the most likely as theyve got a very strong spine, but also fu** them. saints are a rabble and i dont see much A tier talent outside of steele and king, richmond are always capable but maybe theyve fallen off now, eagles are cooked beyond belief and the rest are too far behind imo

got to be us then!
 

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