- Jun 15, 2017
- 3,525
- 9,755
- AFL Club
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- Tottenham Hotspur
Top shelf stuff, FBI.
The fact that we're playing 2-3 more youth players (and a lot in their debut season coming off zero AFL footy), on average (looking by eye at those graphs), than last season, the stats are still showing themselves to be increasing on a nice upwards trend.
Another interesting observation is on the SEN ratings. The peaks and troughs from last season look to generally correspond to lower youth numbers played and higher youth numbers played, respectively. Without looking through the data specifically, I think this could be attributed to Cripps and Doc having awesome seasons, which I believe would stand out more in games where less youth players were played, i.e. bumping up the average in those games (if that makes sense!).
What's interesting to see this season is that the average SEN rating is stable, and looks to have around about the same average value as last season.
While on face value one could say that doesn't indicate much improvement, but when you think about it, it's actually quite remarkable -- this is with more youth players playing! This means that Cripps' and Doc's ratings are effectively further "diluted" (and on top of that, Crippa's influence is not as pronounced - he's still growing to his beastly best on the back of zero preseason).
Based purely on the numbers, what is shows is that not only are we pumping plenty of games into our youth, but the youth are good. They're quality players.
We'd expect to see a much, much bigger dip at the start of this season if the youth players were collectively not performing. But we're not.
Obviously don't want to count the chickens yet, but this is how I interpret the data. However, and importantly, we're actually witnessing it on the field every week.
So for the next 33 games of the reset - the back half of this season I think we'll see a stronger upward trend (if we continue to play the amount of youth we are currently playing) and the next season an even stronger upwards trend as the youth players continue to play together and gain more game time experience. It actually may not be quite linear, but more of an upwards curve! This would be ideal, and I think we have it in us based on how we're looking here.
If this was to eventuate, we would be looking really, really dangerous for the 2019 season!
The fact that we're playing 2-3 more youth players (and a lot in their debut season coming off zero AFL footy), on average (looking by eye at those graphs), than last season, the stats are still showing themselves to be increasing on a nice upwards trend.
Another interesting observation is on the SEN ratings. The peaks and troughs from last season look to generally correspond to lower youth numbers played and higher youth numbers played, respectively. Without looking through the data specifically, I think this could be attributed to Cripps and Doc having awesome seasons, which I believe would stand out more in games where less youth players were played, i.e. bumping up the average in those games (if that makes sense!).
What's interesting to see this season is that the average SEN rating is stable, and looks to have around about the same average value as last season.
While on face value one could say that doesn't indicate much improvement, but when you think about it, it's actually quite remarkable -- this is with more youth players playing! This means that Cripps' and Doc's ratings are effectively further "diluted" (and on top of that, Crippa's influence is not as pronounced - he's still growing to his beastly best on the back of zero preseason).
Based purely on the numbers, what is shows is that not only are we pumping plenty of games into our youth, but the youth are good. They're quality players.
We'd expect to see a much, much bigger dip at the start of this season if the youth players were collectively not performing. But we're not.
Obviously don't want to count the chickens yet, but this is how I interpret the data. However, and importantly, we're actually witnessing it on the field every week.
So for the next 33 games of the reset - the back half of this season I think we'll see a stronger upward trend (if we continue to play the amount of youth we are currently playing) and the next season an even stronger upwards trend as the youth players continue to play together and gain more game time experience. It actually may not be quite linear, but more of an upwards curve! This would be ideal, and I think we have it in us based on how we're looking here.
If this was to eventuate, we would be looking really, really dangerous for the 2019 season!