Are the statistics you place so much faith in taken from now or the end of next season? I reckon we might have three or four players better than 08 hawks at comparable age....a lot better (19,20,21 yr olds)
We need almost all our best 22 at or past 100 games to be anywhere near that side. They had 17 players with over 150 games experience, with a further 4 with 100 or more. The 2010 Collingwood side was another that was also relatively young and inexperienced and they had 15 with over 150 and 6 with 100 or more.
Currently our list has 6 players with more than 100 games experience, Boyd, Murphy, Morris, Minson, Picken and Suckling, with only Dahlhaus, Crameri, Grant (if he stays), Wood, Roughead, Wallis, and Libba a chance to reach 100 by the end of next year (the latter two only if we play finals and they play every game). That's 13 players (some who may not be best 22) as a best case scenario with 100ish games experience by the end of next year. That still leaves us nowhere near two of the least experienced flag winners of the modern era. They are already statistical outliers, we would be statistical improbabilities at absolute best case scenario, in reality winning the flag next year is nigh impossible.
2017 however, is a very different kettle of fish. Our window starts then.