Triple J Hottest 100 - 2019 | BigFooty

Triple J Hottest 100 - 2019

Discussion in 'Punting Board' started by BuddysBiggestFan, Nov 8, 2018.

  1. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Bet Easy have a market up for the outright winner. Some pretty good odds. Anyone like anything? Hasn’t been that great a year like last year. Nothing really stands out for mine.

    Last year some of us made a bit of coin from these markets. Hopefully we can do the same this year. Didn’t want to ruin the thread in the Music forum so I started a new one here.
     

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  2. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    One I like is WAFIA - I’m Good @ $26.
     
  3. 2006_Eagles

    2006_Eagles Brownlow Medallist

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    I didn't know Triple J still existed outside of the Doctor Karl segment

    Music there has been in a dire, dire spiral downwards for at least the last 5 years
     
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  4. ronpingwins

    ronpingwins Club Legend

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    Yeah hasn't been a great year. I'd guess top 2 of Be Alright and Confidence, neither are particularly special so I wouldn't be surprised if a smokey was right up there. I'm good, tints and 1999 wildfire could do a bit better than the odds are suggesting I think.

    Sportsbet have odds up to which are a bit out there, not sure why they're so big on Drake. I think there could be value there again when they put some exotic markets up, although they will probably limit how much we can put on after being cleaned up last year.
     
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  5. EBUS

    EBUS Norm Smith Medallist

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    Drake is the biggest artist in the world, $8 for Gods Plan is decent odds
     
  6. ronpingwins

    ronpingwins Club Legend

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    Oh I get that he's massive, I don't think that will necessarily translate to a high position. Hotline Bling and One Dance were inescapable but didn't really challenge the top 10, I just don't think he'll get enough of the 'triple J listener' vote. Plus he has 3 big songs competing against each other, In My Feelings will be higher than God's Plan I think.
     
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  7. Gibbsy

    Gibbsy Moderator

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    Good to see a thread on the punting board this year. Waiting for the BYO markets once they come out, which is generally in the days before the event. Last year had some ridiculously priced markets. Let's hope for more of the same.
     
  8. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    following. early predictions: confidence and be alright

    was hoping some anderson .paak momentum from his album but didnt seem to be a real standout song
     
  9. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Odds a few weeks ago

    A71E17F5-C2B6-4093-9F67-FB518933A510.png

    Odds today

    4272163C-C871-448F-B5CF-1B227B25EE0F.png

    “Losing it” been crunched? What a terrible year for music.
     
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  10. iluvparis

    iluvparis Premium Platinum

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  11. FallingLiefs

    FallingLiefs Brownlow Medallist

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    i thought this is america was overs to start with. Childish Gambino historically polls well. Amy Shark also shown she can get votes and is probably bigger now.
     

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  12. Slippers

    Slippers Premiership Player

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  13. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    it shouldnt be odds this low. wouldnt worry about it being #1
     
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  14. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    its moved into favourite on Beteasy

    but they have Amy Sharks LAV as 8th favourite so hard to read too much into it
     
  15. ronpingwins

    ronpingwins Club Legend

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    Losing It would be the worst winner of all time no doubt, pretty nothing song. It has no chance though. From what I understand from Spotify data (People have their shortlists as playlists, which can be extracted pretty easily) that the winner can only really be Confidence/TIA/Be Alright/I Said Hi and a smokey to place really high is Peach by Broods, which is surprisingly popular.

    Looking at BetEasy the odds seem to have shifted more accurately and away from Drake and a few others. Sportsbet still seem a bit odd, hopefully they offer exotics early as there should be crazy odds again. Looking for value on a winner would still be Confidence in double figures, which I think will be top 2.
     
  16. Gibbsy

    Gibbsy Moderator

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    Just don't think Confidence can win as it doesn't impact the mainstream market (which do make up a decent proportion of votes). As much as it would be nice for something that hasn't been spun on Top 40 radio to get the gong. I'll be snapping up whatever's available for Top 5 / 10 though.
     
  17. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    back to thinking TIA may win by default as theres been no good songs this year
     
  18. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    are any bookies offering cashout? Ladbrokes were at one point but now my bet isnt offering it anymore...
     
  19. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Voting opened this morning.

    Who can we follow again on twitter/Facebook for vote tallies?

    Bean counters?
     
  20. Gibbsy

    Gibbsy Moderator

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    Warm Tunas is back.

    https://100warmtunas.com/2018/
     
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  21. ronpingwins

    ronpingwins Club Legend

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    Yeah warmtunas will be the way to go. Think TIA is probably in the lead looking through Instagram. I do think Confidence will go close though and have absolutely hammered it this week, would pick up close to 3k if it got up.
     
  22. jack 23

    jack 23 Senior List

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    I've hammered TIA @ $4 or greater. Some bookies left the floodgates open and didn't restrict max bets

    Confidence @$16 is my hedge but looks like a solid second still. Going hard early with the better odds will set you up down the track. TIA will go into $2s once warm tunas opens
     
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  23. Gibbsy

    Gibbsy Moderator

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    I’m happy to sit with the $10 odds I got for Be Alright a few months back. I couldn’t believe how popular it is when I checked Spotify yesterday. 274 million streams!! That’s more than This Is America and by far the most I’ve ever seen for a triple j Aussie artist
     
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  24. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Up and running lads

    52BF7143-918C-4A95-9DAA-E5244C109F8A.png 389B8D6E-DE25-4004-B648-DD02F14CB382.png
     
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  25. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Probably just hammer the first two tracks on Sportsbet. Ones $16, the other $3.50.
     
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