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#1
Only two days to go, what does everyone reckon?
I'm feeling confident that Kerry can pull this one off. I'll say:
Kerry 309 to Bush 229 in the electoral college
Kerry gains (from Bush 2000): Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada
Bush gains (from Gore 2000): Iowa
Florida and Ohio are the two key battlegrounds that will decide this election. Bush only won New Hampshire in 2000 with the help of Nader. Nevada might be slightly optimistic, but its an area of the country that's supposedly trending Democrat.
Some of the midwest states that Gore won narrowly look a bit vulnerable. I've chosen Iowa as the one to fall.
Kerry will win the popular vote by a couple of percentage points.
I'll pick Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian candidate, to do the best of the third party candidates. If only for the fact that Ralph Nader failed to get a place on many of the state ballot papers.
The Republicans should retain both chambers of Congress. Even in a nationwide Democrat landslide they'd most likely still retain that gerrymandered joke of a House of Representatives.
I'm feeling confident that Kerry can pull this one off. I'll say:
Kerry 309 to Bush 229 in the electoral college
Kerry gains (from Bush 2000): Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada
Bush gains (from Gore 2000): Iowa
Florida and Ohio are the two key battlegrounds that will decide this election. Bush only won New Hampshire in 2000 with the help of Nader. Nevada might be slightly optimistic, but its an area of the country that's supposedly trending Democrat.
Some of the midwest states that Gore won narrowly look a bit vulnerable. I've chosen Iowa as the one to fall.
Kerry will win the popular vote by a couple of percentage points.
I'll pick Michael Badnarik, the Libertarian candidate, to do the best of the third party candidates. If only for the fact that Ralph Nader failed to get a place on many of the state ballot papers.
The Republicans should retain both chambers of Congress. Even in a nationwide Democrat landslide they'd most likely still retain that gerrymandered joke of a House of Representatives.

