UFC Betting

[Bucking Bronco]

Card this morning was a fill up.

Haqparast @ 3.35 on topsport (this price could drift even further, seeing 3.50, 3.60 available overseas). Like this spot. Should be a close fight and the longer it stays standing (which I expect it to for most of the fight) the better Haqparast's chances.

You and I tend to like the same stuff.

Not liking Poirier?

 

[4THAWN]

You and I tend to like the same stuff.

Not liking Poirier?

Nah definitely won't be touching the diamond.

Great fighter but outclassed here.

 

[burge13]

Some decent promos around for Conor winning early

Pointsbet and Unibet are good ones (shame I'm banned at the former). $50 limits from memory

 

[NonPhixion]

ye ive taken the Unibet promo - Conor to win by KO R1 $5. Only $25, but its good juice.

Also taken DP to not land a TD $1.50 on BYO SB. Short but just don't see him landing a TD.

 

[NonPhixion]

Fighters to touch gloves was $1.15 a couple days ago on the BYO. That really was a full bankroll job. $1.02 now and it should be $1.001

 

[4THAWN]

Nasrat pulls out with weight cut illness issues. That was such a good spot

 

[burge13]

Fighters to touch gloves was $1.15 a couple days ago on the BYO. That really was a full bankroll job. $1.02 now and it should be $1.001

You end up putting a big bet on this?

 

[NonPhixion]

You end up putting a big bet on this?

Nope. I really regret not putting as much as they allowed me though. Will be free cash

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Main and Co-main are interesting fights.
I think Chandler on price is a good bet, but wouldn’t be surprised either way the fight goes. Not sure what the history says of Ballator guys first up in UFC.

as for the main, head says Conor is a better fighter, but there is absolutely no value. Obvious bet is an early knock out. If the fight is was to go the distance does DP and his cardio give him an edge?

we know Mcnugs gasses come late 3rd round, anyone have any other thoughts in which way to head in terms of a betting?

 

[Dale_Thomas]

Terrible, terrible day on the punt.

 

[4THAWN]

Pitolo @ 2.54
Dhiego Lima @ whatever big price
Ewell @ 2.55
Viana @ 2.43

+ Pitolo Dec @ 7
Bobby Green KO 2 @16, KO 3 @ 29

underdog city this week.

 

[burge13]

I haven't really looked at this card but Usman 4, 5 or Dec was 1.95 which I wish I bet instead of Decision at 2.40

Lima I think loses a decision but Belal is overrated here as far as price goes. Don't mind the stab assuming it's a close one
No idea about Ewell or Vianna

Those shots on Green I like too. Tailing there

Viera R1 at 2.10 probably a play for me too

 

[4THAWN]

I haven't really looked at this card but Usman 4, 5 or Dec was 1.95 which I wish I bet instead of Decision at 2.40

Lima I think loses a decision but Belal is overrated here as far as price goes. Don't mind the stab assuming it's a close one
No idea about Ewell or Vianna

Those shots on Green I like too. Tailing there

Viera R1 at 2.10 probably a play for me too

Lots of people on that Usman 4, 5, Dec bet. I can't hate on it at all. I'm looking at some Usman late round props, doubt Burns will be able to keep up with Usman's hellish pace. Can see Usman boxing him up looking super fresh in rounds 4 and 5.

Lima line is wide imo, Belal is solid everywhere but agreed a bit overrated.

Yeah Bobby's not the sort of person you can trust to get finishes but he's got lengths on Miller on the feet here.

Ewell is a good chance imo considering his opponent Gutierrez is super one dimensional only looking for leg kicks.

Polyana Viana a bit sketchy but has skills to beat Mallory and look big value.

Haven't looking into Rodolfo Viera fight.

 

[NonPhixion]

On Barber @2.12
Happy to give her another chance. Hopefuly her knee is 100%

 

[4THAWN]

On Barber @2.12
Happy to give her another chance. Hopefuly her knee is 100%

On Grasso @ 1.90.

 

[4THAWN]

Also sprinkled on some Usman round 4 KO and round 5 KO

 

[NonPhixion]

Don't mind Burns ITD $4.30 on TS aswell

Think this is better than taking his ML as i just dont see him winning a DEC. Could probably Hedge this with Kamaru ML..

 

[NonPhixion]

On Grasso @ 1.90.

TS has a special on Grasso to win in R2 or R3 $21. Max bet of only $20 but if you like her this is pretty good. Odds on SB for R2 are $13 and R3 $15.

 

[OhhhhhCyril]

Blachowicz @3.10
I’ll be taking some of that.

 

[Joker91]

Blachowicz @3.10
I’ll be taking some of that.

Was 3.50 a few weeks ago.
I reckon will start around 2.80-90

 

[mouncey2franklin]

'King' Casey O'Neill makes her debut on Fight Night tonight.

She has a strange history. Won a belt with her first ever fight, defended it in her second ever fight.

The girl who challenged in the second fight was making her debut.

And if I heard correctly, Casey's father was the promoter of those fights.


I found this footage of Casey's latest win.

Stel vs. Case - (2020.09.25) - /r/WMMA

https://reddit.com/r/WMMA

ok.ru

She was simply too big for her opponent, easily able to take her down.

But on the feet, she got pieced up a couple of times, seems to have zero defense.

Does anybody know if Shana Dobson can box? Because if she can, $2.50 is crazy overs.

 

[mouncey2franklin]

Okay I've just gone back and watched a few of Dobson's past fights, her boxing isn't that impressive but she is tough.

Definitely a step up in competition for Casey.

Shana can throw a decent jab, an okay one-two, and a pretty good left high kick.

She has long arms too, Conor McGregoresque in her wingspan to height ratio, Joe.

Might catch Casey on the way in if she goes for her usual takedowns.

Doesn't mind swinging in the first round, this could be a good fight.

I've put a little bit on Dobson but after watching her previous fights, don't think I'll load up on the $2.50.

Definitely worth a nibble though.

 

[burge13]

Okay I've just gone back and watched a few of Dobson's past fights, her boxing isn't that impressive but she is tough.

Definitely a step up in competition for Casey.

Shana can throw a decent jab, an okay one-two, and a pretty good left high kick.

She has long arms too, Conor McGregoresque in her wingspan to height ratio, Joe.

Might catch Casey on the way in if she goes for her usual takedowns.

Doesn't mind swinging in the first round, this could be a good fight.

I've put a little bit on Dobson but after watching her previous fights, don't think I'll load up on the $2.50.

Definitely worth a nibble though.

I dont think Dobson has any TDD at all?

 

[mouncey2franklin]

I dont think Dobson has any TDD at all?

Not from what I saw, however she seems to be decent on the ground.

 

[4THAWN]

Yeah i got some dobson 2.52. Not too much cause she's definitely not good but Casey is very unproven and this is a big jump in comp.