Strategy Upgrade Targets/Breakevens

SavDog23

SEXYSTACK
May 15, 2017
9,956
28,801
My Couch
AFL Club
Richmond
With the majority of rookies on the bubble this week, and many premos set fall in price, I thought it would be good to bring up the thread that I've seen over the few years I've been on here, where we discuss which rookies are gonna make a heap of $$$, or what premos are going to lose money and become upgrade targets.

Lowest B/E for Rookies (<220k):
Willem Drew (-121)
Matthew Parker (-108)
Charlie Constable (-97)
LDU (-83)
Xavier Duursma (-69)
Zak Butters (-63)
Bailey Scott (-59)
Jordon Clark (-51)
Jack Scrimshaw (-48)
Gryan Miers (-48)
Tom Atkins (-47)
Connor Rozee (-42)
James Cousins (-36)
Callum Wilkie (-36)
Will Setterfield (-35)
Michael Gibbons (-32)
Sam Walsh (-31)
Jack Petrucelle (-28)
Christopher Burgess (-17)
Ben McKay (-13)
Sam Collins (-3)


Highest B/E for Relevant Premos (>500k, 140+ B/E):
Jack Riewoldt (208)
Max Gawn (198)
David Mundy (194)
Brodie Grundy (193)
Elliot Yeo (185)
Lance Franklin (183)
Kade Simpson (176)
Isaac Heeney (155)
Devon Smith (153)
Dustin Martin (152)
James Sicily (150)
Rory Laird (150)
Clayton Oliver (149)
Sam Menegola (144)
Stefan Martin (143)
Jack Macrae (141)
Zach Merrett (141)
 
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HTPunter

Premiership Player
Sep 27, 2014
4,642
5,205
AFL Club
North Melbourne
Mundy - 73, 35, 104, 151 - 40k cheaper than the start of the year

Yeo - 83, 72, 85, 114 - 60k cheaper

Laird - 102, 89, 84, 106 - 50k cheaper

Coniglio - 154, 52, 102, 104 - 40k cheaper

Sicily - 100, 81, 95, BE 144 - currently 30k cheaper

Not sure all of those are necessarily good upgrade targets but certainly worth keeping an eye on them. Laird and Sicily especially should be top in their areas, while Yeo could be but would take a brave man to punt on him being top 10 from here.
 

Judd_Magic

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 24, 2008
17,909
28,316
Melbourne
AFL Club
Carlton
Other Teams
Supercoach GRIM REAPER!!!!!
Mundy - 73, 35, 104, 151 - 40k cheaper than the start of the year

Yeo - 83, 72, 85, 114 - 60k cheaper

Laird - 102, 89, 84, 106 - 50k cheaper

Coniglio - 154, 52, 102, 104 - 40k cheaper

Sicily - 100, 81, 95, BE 144 - currently 30k cheaper

Not sure all of those are necessarily good upgrade targets but certainly worth keeping an eye on them. Laird and Sicily especially should be top in their areas, while Yeo could be but would take a brave man to punt on him being top 10 from here.
Definitely gonna grab Laird as my first upgrade I reckon.
 

pulpdriver

Premium Gold
Aug 17, 2009
13,423
17,350
Melbourne
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Mundy - 73, 35, 104, 151 - 40k cheaper than the start of the year

Yeo - 83, 72, 85, 114 - 60k cheaper

Laird - 102, 89, 84, 106 - 50k cheaper

Coniglio - 154, 52, 102, 104 - 40k cheaper

Sicily - 100, 81, 95, BE 144 - currently 30k cheaper

Not sure all of those are necessarily good upgrade targets but certainly worth keeping an eye on them. Laird and Sicily especially should be top in their areas, while Yeo could be but would take a brave man to punt on him being top 10 from here.
Can't be good that I started two of those guys in my midfield...
 

SavDog23

SEXYSTACK
May 15, 2017
9,956
28,801
My Couch
AFL Club
Richmond
High B/E's Premos:
DEF:
Crisp 154
McGovern 147
Lloyd 124
Laird 123
Andrews 120
Simpson 117

MID:
Dusty 178
Fyfe 167
Treloar 162
Oliver 160
Jelly 152
Macrae 146
Gaff 136

FWD:
Danger 180
Westhoff 167
Telly 145
Wingard 145
Gray 130
Buddy 126




Low B/E Premos (Price, Last 3 games):
DEF:
Pittard 16 (402k, 52-110-109)
Ryan 55 (520k, 78-156-93)
Whitfield 65 (605k, 123-152-137)
Hurn 66 (536k, 89-109-139)
Stewart 70 (516k, 120-108-124)

MID:
Libba 9 (452k, 128-150-106)
Zerrett 56 (565k, 108-120-155)

FWD:
Mundy 27 (483k, 35-104-151)
Cameron 34 (494k, 68-163-92)
Billings 43 (473k, 84-108-126)
Heeney 45 (532K, 67-137-130)
Walters 54 (473k, 50-120-103)
Boak 58 (561k, 123-136-134)
 

Hai_Newman

Norm Smith Medallist
Oct 17, 2017
9,257
33,531
Puppies are scary.
AFL Club
West Coast
High B/E's Premos:
DEF:
Crisp 154
McGovern 147
Lloyd 124
Laird 123
Andrews 120
Simpson 117

MID:
Dusty 178
Fyfe 167
Treloar 162
Oliver 160
Jelly 152
Macrae 146
Gaff 136

FWD:
Danger 180
Westhoff 167
Telly 145
Wingard 145
Gray 130
Buddy 126




Low B/E Premos (Price, Last 3 games):
DEF:
Pittard 16 (402k, 52-110-109)
Ryan 55 (520k, 78-156-93)
Whitfield 65 (605k, 123-152-137)
Hurn 66 (536k, 89-109-139)
Stewart 70 (516k, 120-108-124)

MID:
Libba 9 (452k, 128-150-106)
Zerrett 56 (565k, 108-120-155)

FWD:
Mundy 27 (483k, 35-104-151)
Cameron 34 (494k, 68-163-92)
Billings 43 (473k, 84-108-126)
Heeney 45 (532K, 67-137-130)
Walters 54 (473k, 50-120-103)
Boak 58 (561k, 123-136-134)
Players I don't have and want
in and around my team...Yes please!!

Capture.PNG
 

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4tune8

Club Legend
Jul 31, 2017
1,882
2,962
AFL Club
Richmond
High B/E's Premos:
DEF:
Crisp 154
McGovern 147
Lloyd 124
Laird 123
Andrews 120
Simpson 117

MID:
Dusty 178
Fyfe 167
Treloar 162
Oliver 160
Jelly 152
Macrae 146
Gaff 136

FWD:
Danger 180
Westhoff 167
Telly 145
Wingard 145
Gray 130
Buddy 126




Low B/E Premos (Price, Last 3 games):
DEF:
Pittard 16 (402k, 52-110-109)
Ryan 55 (520k, 78-156-93)
Whitfield 65 (605k, 123-152-137)
Hurn 66 (536k, 89-109-139)
Stewart 70 (516k, 120-108-124)

MID:
Libba 9 (452k, 128-150-106)
Zerrett 56 (565k, 108-120-155)

FWD:
Mundy 27 (483k, 35-104-151)
Cameron 34 (494k, 68-163-92)
Billings 43 (473k, 84-108-126)
Heeney 45 (532K, 67-137-130)
Walters 54 (473k, 50-120-103)
Boak 58 (561k, 123-136-134)
Why is it that I have a lot of the high BE's and none of the low BE's?.......I know...I'm **** at this game
 

Marlowe

The 'M' is Silent
Mar 12, 2012
22,187
34,592
110th Street
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Gold City Royals
Want so badly it hurts:

DEF;
Lloyd, Whitfield

MID;
Macrae, Josh Kelly

RUC;
lol

FWD;
Tim Kelly


Kind of want, I guess:

DEF;
Sicily, Laird, Stewart, Ryan

MID;
Zerrett, Bont, Coniglio, Fyfe

FWD;
Boak, Menegola


Interested in;

Milera, Marshall, Yeo, JPK, Bowes, Cunnington, Daniel, Walters, Cameron, Sloane.
 

Kadog

Brownlow Kentallist
Feb 16, 2013
13,921
28,681
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Liverpool Detroit Lions
Current targets:

Backs: Whitfield Stewart Laird Hurn
Mids: Bont Fyfe JKelly Cogs
Fwds: Boak Gray TKelly Jezza?
 
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hoddo

Premiership Player
Mar 13, 2005
4,376
4,894
Geelong
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Chelsea, Oakland Raiders, Celtics
Anything better than $700k +
True. $607k was much better. :moustache:

He may still not drop too much. He made his BE so he'll go up this week and next week he plays GC who have been letting opposition mids score really highly so he may negate this weeks low score.
 

stevebbb

Brownlow Medallist
May 21, 2013
13,381
26,324
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Arsenal, Fluminense; Blue Jays
True. $607k was much better. :moustache:

He may still not drop too much. He made his BE so he'll go up this week and next week he plays GC who have been letting opposition mids score really highly so he may negate this weeks low score.
Another 90 coming up, watch
 
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