- Jan 1, 2013
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I would like Jacinta Allan as leader. Think she does a great job
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Personally would like Jill Hennesy, Merlino has done surpisingly well, but she has always been my favouriteI would like Jacinta Allan as leader. Think she does a great job
Where is a election predictor like ie in the US presidential election where users can pick how many states in the US Electoral College the Republican and Democrat nominee need to become President so we can project the winner of the 2022 Victorian state election?
Where is a election predictor like ie in the US presidential election where users can pick how many states in the US Electoral College the Republican and Democrat nominee need to become President so we can project the winner of the 2022 Victorian state election?
It's telling isnt it that the ALP has at least three (Allan, Hennessey, Merlino) options better than the LNP (or Andrews who deserves to go).Personally would like Jill Hennesy, Merlino has done surpisingly well, but she has always been my favourite
What's the latest he can call one ?
Election type | Latest Saturday |
---|---|
Representatives only | 3 September 2022 |
Half-senate only | 21 May 2022 |
Representatives + half-senate | 21 May 2022 |
Double dissolution (requires trigger) | 5 March 2022 |
Shirko can't leave it any later than May too iirc but bet my last dollar he's waiting for Dan to go 1st
Election type Latest Saturday Representatives only 3 September 2022 Half-senate only 21 May 2022 Representatives + half-senate 21 May 2022 Double dissolution
(requires trigger)5 March 2022
Shirko can't leave it any later than May too iirc but bet my last dollar he's waiting for Dan to go 1st
Can't what ?dan cant, vic has fixed term elections
Can't what ?
The problems for the Victorian Liberals is that they really don't have anyone of note who will not only take the fight up to Daniel Andrews and the Labor government, but also make it a real contest of it at next year's state election. For the Victorian Liberals to go with the same leader (Matthew Guy) who led them to one of their worst election defeats in 2018, clearly indicates that they are not fair dinkum about winning the election. In fact, the way they are going now, they look more and more likely to cop an even bigger thrashing than the 2018 result, unless some long overdue changes (in terms of their parliamentry team and their backroom staff) are made between now and November 2022.
There are a couple of questions in regards to the Victorian election next year, and they are:
1)What seats do we need to watch out for on election night?
2) What sort of swing do the Coalition need for a change of government?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2022_Victorian_state_election#Electoral_pendulum as a rough guide I guess:There are a couple of questions in regards to the Victorian election next year, and they are:
1)What seats do we need to watch out for on election night?
2) What sort of swing do the Coalition need for a change of government?
Ripon | Louise Staley | LIB | 0.02% |
Caulfield | David Southwick | LIB | 0.2% |
Sandringham | Brad Rowswell | LIB | 0.6% |
Gembrook | Brad Battin | LIB | 0.7% |
Bayswater | Jackson Taylor | ALP | 0.3% |
Hawthorn | John Kennedy | ALP | 0.4% |
Nepean | Chris Brayne | ALP | 0.9% |
Kew | Tim Smith | LIB | 4.7% |
Bulleen | Matthew Guy | LIB | 5.7% |
The problems for the Victorian Liberals is that they really don't have anyone of note who will not only take the fight up to Daniel Andrews and the Labor government, but also make it a real contest of it at next year's state election. For the Victorian Liberals to go with the same leader (Matthew Guy) who led them to one of their worst election defeats in 2018, clearly indicates that they are not fair dinkum about winning the election. In fact, the way they are going now, they look more and more likely to cop an even bigger thrashing than the 2018 result, unless some long overdue changes (in terms of their parliamentry team and their backroom staff) are made between now and November 2022.
I don't think many will appreciate her conspiricacy nonsence when Dan got injuredLooks like Martin Pakula will have to move across town to one of the new split electorates in the Western Suburbs. His current seat of Keysborough has been absorbed into the four surrounding seats which are already held by the ALP. The only 'new' seat in the SE suburbs is further out in Berwick which will likely be a new marginal seat.
One the other side of the aisle, Louise Staley looks in trouble in Ripon. The seat has lost Charlton, Donald and Stawell (traditional LNP areas) and gained more of Ballarat (ALP area in the modern era). She only won the seat last time by a mere 15 votes.
Same as nowLet's say if the car accident involving Shadow Attorney General Tim happened not yesterday, but this time next year, with the 2022 state election only a couple of weeks away. What chance will the Victorian Liberals have of winning the state election if that was to occur?