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Racing VRC Derby

Discussion in 'Punting Board' started by Optimistic Dog, Oct 3, 2018.

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  1. Optimistic Dog

    Optimistic Dog Team Captain

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    Anyone have any thoughts on the Derby.

    I took 200/1 Hasabro before its 2nd at Geelong on Monday should have won by panels. Into 50/1 now. In the words of Molly Meldrum do yourself a favour and watch the replay it was only a maiden but it was a run of potential top stayer.



    https://www.racing.com/form/2018-10-01/bet365-geelong

    HASABRO UNLUCKY IN AUSTRALIAN DEBUT




    The Stephen McKee-trained Hasabro remains a maiden following a luckless second at Geelong today.

    The son of Savabeel is yet to win a race in seven starts, but is being set for the Gr. 1 Victoria Derby on November 3 and looks like he will relish getting over ground.

    Sent off an even-money favourite in a maiden over 1755 metres at Geelong, Hasabro sat just behind the leaders throughout under Damian Lane, but never saw clear running until very late in the piece when charging home for second.

    “We are looking at races like the Caulfield Classic or the Geelong Classic, going forward to the Derby,” McKee said.
     
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2018

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  2. iluvparis

    iluvparis Premium Platinum

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    I reckon I'm more chance of picking the Everest trifecta straight out than picking the Derby winner right now
     
  3. Optimistic Dog

    Optimistic Dog Team Captain

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    You are probably correct but I am more than happy to have wasted $50 on Hasabro at 200/1 for a potential $10,000 collect rather than take the crammed odds on the cup.
     
    Last edited: Oct 3, 2018
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  4. iluvparis

    iluvparis Premium Platinum

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    I've backed Merchant Of Venice but already using the betting slip as toilet paper after the Derby trial performance.
     
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  5. BuddysBiggestFan

    BuddysBiggestFan Club Legend

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    Hasn’t won a race in 7 tries. Can’t beat some maiden plodders at 1700m. Yeah I’m on.

    Should still be 200-1. Betting companies are criminals.

    But that was one of he worst rides I’ve seen by Damian Lane.
     
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  6. Duritz

    Duritz Scourge of Bookmakers

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    There’s a bookstore in Balwyn called “The Merchant of Fairness.”
     
  7. IKnowtheDog

    IKnowtheDog Norm Smith Medallist

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    I think he also has a stall at South Melbourne market
     
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  8. Optimistic Dog

    Optimistic Dog Team Captain

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    Doesn't this comment say he was the worthy winner. Also Lane was more impressed with Hasabro as Derby prospect than Botti that he won on later in the day and is 13/1 for Derby. I will probably lose my money but if he was 200/1 I will be backing him again.
     
  9. Duritz

    Duritz Scourge of Bookmakers

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    Correct, he does
     
  10. bigpapagman

    bigpapagman BigFooty Alcoholic

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    Thanks for clearing that up
     
  11. Duritz

    Duritz Scourge of Bookmakers

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    You’re most welcome.
     
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  12. FallingLiefs

    FallingLiefs Brownlow Medallist

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    Tavidance going round today.

    Just saying.
     
  13. Viva la Mattner

    Viva la Mattner Premiership Player

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    2 Antepost bets both looking unlikely

    Merchant of Venice
    Farooq
     
  14. Lockyer24

    Lockyer24 Brownlow Medallist

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    I had a small nibble at Aramayo yesterday before it went around. Beating home Thinking Big was a positive, but not sure it was anything special. Into fave though now
     
  15. iluvparis

    iluvparis Premium Platinum

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    This logic still applies to me
     
  16. Lockyer24

    Lockyer24 Brownlow Medallist

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    One to watch Saturday if it runs is Chapada - coming off a 5L maiden but looks a stayer in the making
     
  17. LFC2010

    LFC2010 Brownlow Medallist

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    Been following Savvy Oak since it's maiden win.

    backed at 34's after it's UCI stakes run and will be backing it again after it stormed home on the weekend.

    You need a good turn of foot in a derby run, and this horse has exactly that.
     
  18. LFC2010

    LFC2010 Brownlow Medallist

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    Interesting barrier draw with the Derby. Speed drawn out wide and middle, backmarkers drawn inside.

    Savoie drawing the car park almost guarantees the speed will be on early as they don't want it to be deep in the run.

    Might have a sneaky e/w on Farooq given the draw. Imagine his worth if he wins it being a colt out of Frankel. $:eek:
     
  19. Gavin Excell

    Gavin Excell Brownlow Medallist

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    Farooq kept on plugging away Geelong.

    Unsure that form is a rung below
     
  20. LFC2010

    LFC2010 Brownlow Medallist

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    Really don't think it has the turn off foot for a race like this, but i'm having an e/w bet on it because of the story it'll create if it does win.
     
  21. iluvparis

    iluvparis Premium Platinum

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    Still applies
     
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  22. Viva la Mattner

    Viva la Mattner Premiership Player

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    i'm looking forward to seeing him wind up on that Flemington straight, he is a monster of a horse and once he gets going will have some momentum
     
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  23. LFC2010

    LFC2010 Brownlow Medallist

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    2 sleeps out and Thinking Big is already getting the blows in the market. This race should probably 6/1 the field, $3 was way unders for him. No clear cut favourite this year.
     
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  24. Better Loosen Up

    Better Loosen Up Norm Smith Medallist

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    Interestingly on paper, it looks like his worst 2 runs this preparation were both at Flemington...
     
  25. d-mac3276

    d-mac3276 Club Legend

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    Feeling ya on this one bro
     
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