Analysis West Coast, Hawthorn & Collingwood currently at "Premiership Standard" statistically

[Cousin of Daicos]

From Fox Footy

Posted on the Pies board but thought you folks might appreciate.

AFTER 12 rounds of the 2015 season, the top five has three teams who you would’ve expected to be in the upper echelons of the competition.

Sydney, Fremantle and Hawthorn are in some order the top three premiership favourites almost everywhere you look and according to pretty much every expert.

Meanwhile, surprise packets West Coast and Collingwood sit quietly in second and fourth at mid-season.

So if we told you that three teams are meeting the premiership standard, based on the statistics of the last 15 premiers, you’d expect it to be the Swans, Dockers and Hawks, right?

Wrong.

The reigning premiers are up there, unsurprisingly. But they’re joined by West Coast and Collingwood, two teams that missed the finals last season, as the three teams currently at the standard set by almost every Grand Final winner this century.

The key is balance, and it’s all in a stat that’s been tracked by Champion Data.

14 of the last 15 premiers have averaged over 100 points per game in the home & away season, with only Sydney of 2005 not meeting this requirement in their premiership year.

Similarly, 14 of the last 15 premiers have allowed their opponents less than 86 points per game in the home & away season, with only the Brisbane Lions of 2001 not achieving the feat when they won the flag.

Interesting read. I'm sure we'll obviously drop off, but I thought Eagles fans might find it an interesting read too.

 

[Prem87]

We're going to win the flag

Jokes.

But you wouldn't want to play us in a grand final.

With Naitanui Yeo Lecras Shuey Hill Darling Cripps McGovern Kennedy etc. we'd be very unpredictable.

My dream would be to see Naitanui have the greatest game of all time on grand final day.

30+ hitouts 5+ goals, Mark of the Year etc. to drag us over the line.

Against Fremantle.

 

[Sw3Et]

We're going to win the flag

Jokes.

But you wouldn't want to play us in a grand final.

With Naitanui Yeo Lecras Shuey Hill Darling Cripps McGovern Kennedy etc. we'd be very unpredictable.

My dream would be to see Naitanui have the greatest game of all time on grand final day.

30+ hitouts 5+ goals, Mark of the Year etc. to drag us over the line.

Against Fremantle.

A Norm Smith for Naita would annoy a lot of people.

 

[bombard]

A Norm Smith for Naita would annoy a lot of people.

Much akin to the jokes around this time last year that went "heheh brownlow for pridis heheh"

 

[HoneyBadger35]

It's an interesting concept, but I think the draw has influenced both our and Collingwood's starts, especially in the points for and against department. If we're still averaging over 100 at the end of the year and our points against haven't spiked significantly, then I'll believe the hype, but for us entering our bye weeks I think it's clear that the back end is more difficult than the front end. Obviously you can only play whoever is in front of you, but using PF and PA at this part of the season is a bit misleading cause of the discrepancy in the draw.

lolnah we're winning the flag.

 

[mattyc75]

We're going to win the flag

My dream would be to see Naitanui have the greatest game of all time on grand final day.

30+ hitouts 5+ goals, Mark of the Year etc. to drag us over the line.

Against Fremantle.

and 5 disposals

 

[Bender_]

Booooooooo!

Hang on - WTF Shpeshal Ed you posted this on the wrong board!


But seriously do Champion Data invent a new stat column to record every week?

 

[eagle eyed]

and 5 disposals

5 disposals! Ease up on the pressure Gary Lyon.

 

[hudson2006]

Haven't played Swans or Hawks yet, a win against one of them and we can talk about finishing top 4. Beat both, or one and Freo, and we can mention the P word.

It is bloody nice to be up and about though.

 

[mattyc75]

5 disposals! Ease up on the pressure Gary Lyon.

hey I wasn't complaining,he is still a dominant force with minimal possessions
more just a comment on others views(like you said lyon)

 

[SpaceClef]

I think it's clear that the back end is more difficult than the front

Your mum's is

 

[ThePuma #9]

We have gone through the most grueling part of the schedule in terms of travel and six day breaks, as a matter of fact the last half of the season is prime built for an assault on the finals with all cylinders firing.


Six of our last ten games are at home and that includes four of the last five. We don't travel further than Adelaide for the last five weeks of the season.

Out of our last ten games we have only one 5 day break and one 6 day break.

The six day break is after Sydney when we travel to the Gold Coast and the five is between the Adelaide game in S.A and our last game against St Kilda at home.


Sydney have to travel to W.A after playing Hawks.

Hawks have to travel to W.A after playing Richmond.

Collingwood will host us after playing Port in S.A

None of those games will be easy or bruise free before facing us.

With a recored of 9-3 at the break and this kind of run home we could be a very scary team come September.