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What games should we win?

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Not a Wellman

Team Captain
Oct 24, 2006
408
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Aspendale
AFL Club
Essendon
Other Teams
vics and Dingoes
Adelaide away - loss

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win we normally stick it to them

collingwood - win same thing

hawks - 50/50

kangas - loss we hardley ever beat them

brisbane home - win

richmond - 50/50

sydney away - loss

west coast home - loss

port away - loss

melbourne - loss rekon they will be awesome this year

geelong - 50/50

doggies - 50/50

collingwood - win

adeliade home - loss

hawks - 50/50

freo away - loss

carlton - win

richmond - 50/50

west coast away - loss

They way i see it we should win 10 games.
What have i got wrong in your eyes? Am i been under or over estimating our ability?
 
Adelaide away - loss

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win we normally stick it to them

collingwood - win same thing

hawks - 50/50

kangas - loss we hardley ever beat them

brisbane home - win

richmond - 50/50

sydney away - loss

west coast home - loss

port away - loss

melbourne - loss rekon they will be awesome this year

geelong - 50/50

doggies - 50/50

collingwood - win

adeliade home - loss

hawks - 50/50

freo away - loss

carlton - win

richmond - 50/50

west coast away - loss

They way i see it we should win 10 games.
What have i got wrong in your eyes? Am i been under or over estimating our ability?

Probably need to be more prcise with the 50/50s but so far away from Round 1 your predictions are pretty good. When my brain clicks into footy mode though I will be more precise than your selections. (After Round 14 I was 25th overall in footytips.com.au)
 
Adelaide away - loss

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win we normally stick it to them

collingwood - win same thing

hawks - 50/50

kangas - loss we hardley ever beat them

brisbane home - win

richmond - 50/50

sydney away - loss

west coast home - loss

port away - loss

melbourne - loss rekon they will be awesome this year

geelong - 50/50

doggies - 50/50

collingwood - win

adeliade home - loss

hawks - 50/50

freo away - loss

carlton - win

richmond - 50/50

west coast away - loss

They way i see it we should win 10 games.
What have i got wrong in your eyes? Am i been under or over estimating our ability?


We will beat kangas, Rich and Haw. I'd be very disappointed if we didn't beat the Roos this season. We want to play finals, we need to beat these teams.
 

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Adelaide away - loss LOSS

freo home - win WIN

carlton - win WIN

stk - win we normally stick it to them LOSS

collingwood - win same thing WIN

hawks - 50/50 WIN

kangas - loss we hardley ever beat them WIN

brisbane home - win WIN

richmond - 50/50 LOSS

sydney away - loss LOSS

west coast home - loss LOSS

port away - loss WIN

melbourne - loss rekon they will be awesome this year LOSS

geelong - 50/50 WIN

doggies - 50/50 LOSS

collingwood - win WIN

adeliade home - loss LOSS

hawks - 50/50 WIN

freo away - loss LOSS

carlton - win WIN

richmond - 50/50 WIN

west coast away - loss LOSS

My tips in red/green. 12-10 at least
 
Adelaide away - loss

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win we normally stick it to them

collingwood - win same thing

hawks - 50/50

kangas - loss we hardley ever beat them

brisbane home - win

richmond - 50/50

sydney away - loss

west coast home - loss

port away - loss

melbourne - loss rekon they will be awesome this year

geelong - 50/50

doggies - 50/50

collingwood - win

adeliade home - loss

hawks - 50/50

freo away - loss

carlton - win

richmond - 50/50

west coast away - loss

They way i see it we should win 10 games.
What have i got wrong in your eyes? Am i been under or over estimating our ability?

simply cannot lose to Carlton, Kangaroos, Brisbane and Collingwood. They will be bottom 4. Also should not lose to Hawthorn, Richmond and Geelong they are rubbish. that gives us 11 wins. sneak 1 or 2 against the others and thats finals
 
Adelaide away - loss
freo home - win
carlton - loss
stk - loss
collingwood - loss
hawks - win
kangas - win
brisbane home - win
richmond - loss
sydney away - loss
west coast home - loss
port away - loss
melbourne - win
geelong - In melbourne, win. Geelong, loss.
doggies - loss
collingwood - win
adeliade home - loss
hawks - loss
freo away - loss
carlton - win
richmond - win
west coast away - loss


i think maybye a bit overanxious there. Maybye 1 Carlton win but wouldnt count on 2. So i'd say anywhere between 5-9 wins for the season. If your midfield can really get on top of teams like hawthorn, collingwood, carlton and richmond. I can see wins there. But based on potential and previous yrs i'd say win 2 or 3 of those matches(considering your playing them all twice.)
 
simply cannot lose to Carlton, Kangaroos, Brisbane and Collingwood. They will be bottom 4. Also should not lose to Hawthorn, Richmond and Geelong they are rubbish. that gives us 11 wins. sneak 1 or 2 against the others and thats finals
No finals sorry, just too much to ask from your team. Aging stars will be just too darn inconsistent be aiming at 7 or 8 if your an optimistic supporter
 
I'll give my probabilities of winning
Adelaide away - 15%

freo home - 60%

carlton - 70%

stk - 40%

collingwood - 60%

hawks - 50%

kangas - 60%

brisbane home - 75%

richmond - 50%

sydney away - 20%

west coast home - 40%

port away - 20%

melbourne - 40%

geelong - 50%

doggies - 40%

collingwood - 50%

adeliade home - 35%

hawks - 50%

freo away - 20%

carlton - 70%

richmond - 50%

west coast away - 15%

Going by my estimates, if we win all the games that we are "above 50%" in, that is six wins.

There are another 6 games that we are 50-50. So, if we win 3 of those 6, we win 9 games.

So, in theory we should win 9 games. But if we can get lucky and win 5 of our 6 "50-50" games we can win 11 games. We might also be able to sneak one or two of the upset wins too, to make it 12 or 13. Buit to balance that out there are usually some upset losses that drag that back down again.

I'd say if we are unlucky with our "50-50" games we'll probably win 8 games. If we can have a bit of luck, win some close ones, and get over the line in most of the 50-50 games we can win as much as 12, maybe 13 if everything goes right.
 

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Why does everybody have us beating Freo, when they were prelimanary finalists last year?

Freo are still susceptible on the road. We always play well against them. I think we'll be a big chance agaisnt the Eagles here in Melbourne too.

As for beating the Crows in Melbourne? Well, they are due agaisnt us. It's been 17 long years for them. They've never beaten us. They'll roll us. Every dog has their day.
 
Adelaide away - lose

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - lose

collingwood - win

hawks - win

kangas - win

brisbane home - win

richmond - win

sydney away - lose

west coast home - lose

port away - lose

melbourne - lose

geelong - win

doggies - lose

collingwood - win

adeliade home - win

hawks - win

freo away - lose

carlton - win

richmond - win

west coast away - lose
 
Adelaide away - draw

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win

collingwood - win

hawks - win

kangas - win

brisbane home - win

richmond - win

sydney away - lose

west coast home - win

port away - win

melbourne - win

geelong - lose

doggies - win

collingwood - win

adeliade home - win

hawks - win

freo away - lose

carlton - win

richmond - win

west coast away - lose
 
Adelaide away - lose

freo home - win

carlton - win

stk - win

collingwood - win

hawks - win

kangas - win

brisbane home - win

richmond - win

sydney away - lose

west coast home - win

port away - lose

melbourne - win

geelong - win

doggies - win

collingwood - win

adelaide home - win

hawks - win

freo away - lose

carlton - win

richmond - win

west coast away - win

18 wins
 
No finals sorry, just too much to ask from your team. Aging stars will be just too darn inconsistent be aiming at 7 or 8 if your an optimistic supporter

Just because playeres are old, does not mean that they are bad playes. The likes of Fletcher, Hird, B Johnson, West, Harvey, Buckley are still playing great. Just because Essendon has various older players, does not mean that they are bad players and most of them are consistent.
 

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What games should we win?

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