What value a premiership?

The Punter

Norm Smith Medallist
Joined
May 12, 2006
Posts
8,321
Likes
8,411
Location
Lal Lal
AFL Club
St Kilda
Other Teams
Elsternwick AFC
Thread starter #1
This is for a formula I am working on.

If one home and away win is worth 1, then how much should a premiership be worth?
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

Drizt

All Australian
Joined
Jun 19, 2005
Posts
956
Likes
89
Location
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
#2
Without further information I'm not sure how anyone can give a reasonable answer to this one.

From the options given, I'd rather win 1 premiership than win 160 games without one of those wins being a premiership, so ill go with the 160 option.
 

The Punter

Norm Smith Medallist
Joined
May 12, 2006
Posts
8,321
Likes
8,411
Location
Lal Lal
AFL Club
St Kilda
Other Teams
Elsternwick AFC
Thread starter #3
Ok, some further information.

I'm trying to perfect a formula that will provide the best team of the "Port Adelaide Era", that is 1997-2010.

I'm not interested in putting them in order of premierships won, because that is simple and no fun. So I'm trying to discern what the appropriate weighting for finals appearances and places are, and that is why the premiership options are multiples of 16. Basically, this is the final piece of the puzzle. And I wanted to know what the general feeling is in "Big Footy World".

So, if one home and away win is worth 1 point, how much should a premiership be worth?
 

Gazza_11

Premiership Player
Joined
Mar 2, 2010
Posts
3,319
Likes
5
AFL Club
Melbourne
#4
Elimination final loss - 5
Elimination final win - 10
Semi-final loss away - 10
Semi-final loss home - 5
Semifinal win home - 15
Semifinal win away - 20
Qualifying final win - 20
Preliminary final win - 40
Grand final loss - 80
Grand final win - 160
 

Zahki

Norm Smith Medallist
Joined
Aug 13, 2009
Posts
5,548
Likes
520
AFL Club
Collingwood
#5
16, even that might be a bit too much. I know that Premierships are what we crave as supporters, but if you're trying to do an objective analysis 16 games won puts a team in the top 4 and is a very good season. The upper limits are just absurd, 160 games is 7 perfect H&A seasons, one premiership win outweighing that is ridiculous.
 

Tetris

Team Captain
Joined
Oct 2, 2010
Posts
300
Likes
0
AFL Club
Brisbane Lions
Other Teams
Everton, B. Munich, Inter
#6
16, even that might be a bit too much. I know that Premierships are what we crave as supporters, but if you're trying to do an objective analysis 16 games won puts a team in the top 4 and is a very good season. The upper limits are just absurd, 160 games is 7 perfect H&A seasons, one premiership win outweighing that is ridiculous.
I agree!
160 games is crazy. I would have said something like...
Elimination final loss - 0
Elimination final win - 1
Semifinal win - 3
Preliminary final win - 5
Grand final win - 10
 

goDees22

Club Legend
Joined
Sep 10, 2005
Posts
2,303
Likes
23
AFL Club
Melbourne
Other Teams
Phoenix Suns
#10
well 25 wins is a perfect season so I would say it would be worth that. everyone will have a different number though, it can't be correctly valued as everyone values it differently
 

Vinnie Vegas

Brownlow Medallist
Joined
Oct 8, 2004
Posts
11,925
Likes
2,641
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Collingwood VFL
#11
Without further information I'm not sure how anyone can give a reasonable answer to this one.

From the options given, I'd rather win 1 premiership than win 160 games without one of those wins being a premiership, so ill go with the 160 option.
That's an illogical proposition though, because you can't win a premiership by winning one game in a season - Logic suggests that you need to win 14+ regular season games and then 3 finals, so the premiership is really 17+ wins.

I've always felt that too much is tied up in the bottom line of "premierships won" - Your team being competitive every year and giving you a reason to go to the footy every week gives you a lot more enjoyment than just winning a flag and then becoming an embarrassment until your next good team comes about.
 

(Log in to remove this ad.)

chardonnay

Club Legend
Joined
Mar 5, 2010
Posts
2,114
Likes
33
Location
east of Widgiemooltha
AFL Club
West Coast
#12
Is it too cynical to suggest the might dollar dictates what a premiership is worth, no spin.

Collingwood has declared an operating profit of $5.389 mil.
Its bedfellow in the Grand Finals, & eventual loser the Saints posted a $1.7m operating profit.

Is it unfair to compare the powerhouse Collingwood with one of the div2 Melbourne clubs?

Cellar dwellers West Coast declared an operating profit of $4.8 m.

A premiership, including a GF replay looks to produce a bit less than $600k .. too cynical?
 
Joined
Mar 11, 2007
Posts
1,621
Likes
72
Location
Melbourne
AFL Club
Melbourne
#13
Is it too cynical to suggest the might dollar dictates what a premiership is worth, no spin.

Collingwood has declared an operating profit of $5.389 mil.
Its bedfellow in the Grand Finals, & eventual loser the Saints posted a $1.7m operating profit.

Is it unfair to compare the powerhouse Collingwood with one of the div2 Melbourne clubs?

Cellar dwellers West Coast declared an operating profit of $4.8 m.

A premiership, including a GF replay looks to produce a bit less than $600k .. too cynical?
mate nobody gives a shit about the fact you have larger target group in your two-horse town, all I read was 'cellar dwellars'
 

The Punter

Norm Smith Medallist
Joined
May 12, 2006
Posts
8,321
Likes
8,411
Location
Lal Lal
AFL Club
St Kilda
Other Teams
Elsternwick AFC
Thread starter #15
I'm going to bump this.

Remember folks, for the formula to work, a premiership must have a value, so despite all the wonderful "priceless" stuff, it's not within the parameters of the question.
 
Joined
May 8, 2007
Posts
1,350
Likes
1,123
Location
vic
AFL Club
Collingwood
#16
8 teams win a game per week. In a 22 round system (which was the system for most? of 1997-2010), that equates to 176 home and away wins per year.

Only one grand final is won per year, obviously.

So 1 premiership is awarded for every 176 home and away wins.

The value of 176 seems like a good estimate?
 

Vinnie Vegas

Brownlow Medallist
Joined
Oct 8, 2004
Posts
11,925
Likes
2,641
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Collingwood VFL
#18
8 teams win a game per week. In a 22 round system (which was the system for most? of 1997-2010), that equates to 176 home and away wins per year.

Only one grand final is won per year, obviously.

So 1 premiership is awarded for every 176 home and away wins.

The value of 176 seems like a good estimate?
Again though, that doesn't make sense, because you don't only win one game when you win a premiership - It comes on the back of winning 15-20 games, generally.

You also can't win the games you don't compete in, so the 176 number features a lot of irrelevant games.
 

MightyHawks

Norm Smith Medallist
Joined
Sep 6, 2003
Posts
8,120
Likes
7,748
Location
Hawthorn
AFL Club
Hawthorn
Other Teams
Hawthorn
#19
Elimination final loss - 5
Elimination final win - 10
Semi-final loss away - 10
Semi-final loss home - 5
Semifinal win home - 15
Semifinal win away - 20
Qualifying final win - 20
Preliminary final win - 40
Grand final loss - 80
Grand final win - 160
Only a Melbourne supporter would think that a Grand Final loss was half as good as a Grand Final win.
 
Top Bottom