Surely both Carlton and Adelaide had to speculate to assess their decision to trade away their respective picks, did they not?Yes, everyone is entitled to make judgments at any point and those same people are equally open to be criticised for those judgments at any point in time. On that note, your points - which you are entitled to make - are speculative and premature.
The alternate view is a first round pick equals a first round pick, which again is naive and negligent.