Which way for the pies?

Remove this Banner Ad

gouki88

Brownlow Medallist
Aug 3, 2020
12,862
20,913
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Boston Celtics, Liverpool
What’s wrong now? Am I not allowed to think that?


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
Never said any of that. Just that your opinions change very, very quickly, despite nothing having happened
 

Fadge

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 4, 2007
10,754
9,416
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Yes but odds are on my side though. That’s as good as it gets right now, a probable 6th-7th place finish.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
A probable 6th or 7th place finish?

Where can I get better than even money about Collingwood NOT finishing 6th or 7th?
 

Fadge

Brownlow Medallist
Mar 4, 2007
10,754
9,416
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
What place is ‘spot on’ genius? You really have no clue about maths f me 🤣. Can’t even ask a proper question


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
You're the one who said 'the odds could be 100% spot on next year'. Not me.

I've calculated there is a 0.000153% chance that the odds you posted are 'spot on' come the end of the 2023 season.
 

Log in to remove this ad.

Falcon3518

Premiership Player
Mar 13, 2022
4,380
2,420
AFL Club
Richmond
A probable 6th or 7th place finish?

Where can I get better than even money about Collingwood NOT finishing 6th or 7th?

Um with anybody that provides the bet lol.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
 

Falcon3518

Premiership Player
Mar 13, 2022
4,380
2,420
AFL Club
Richmond
You're the one who said 'the odds could be 100% spot on next year'. Not me.

I've calculated there is a 0.000153% chance that the odds you posted are 'spot on' come the end of the 2023 season.

I’ll keep it simple so you can get it. Pies right now are considered the 6th strongest team in 2023. Hence a 6th place finish for them is the most likely option.

If you did a separate bet on each of collingwoods possible ladder positions from 1-18 you’ll find 6th would have the shortest odds from Sportsbet, this is done so you can’t arbitrage bets for guaranteed wins or better odds. Maybe other bookies have it differently but I’m giving you Sportsbet odds. I think they are all similar anyway.


Sent from my iPhone using BigFooty.com
 

Monco Matt

Team Captain
Aug 15, 2009
402
858
Melbourne
AFL Club
Collingwood
Other Teams
Storm, 49ers
So hard to predict what any team will do the following year. There is so much that goes into team performance, more than most people on BF give credit to. Such as the things clubs do to make people believe in themselves (I wish I knew what they were, but they exist). A team that looks average or thereabouts on paper but believes in their own abilities, believes in their teammates and believes in the plans set by their coaches can achieve above and beyond what the everyday BF pundit could possibly predict. This was Collingwood in 2022.

If we still have this belief, then we can improve because we have managed to improve our playing list overall IMO. Yes, Grundy is gone and Henry as well, but we have Cox & Cameron as a ruck combo, and they do well enough together, they are capable and competitive and that's all you need from a ruck. And, we have plenty of small to mid-range forwards to cover Henry's loss. I wanted to keep Henry as I think he has a lot of up-side, but s**t happens. Grundy did not play for most of 2022 and Henry did not play from Round 15 or something, so we have shown we can mix it with the best without them. We have added Tom Mitchell which will help our clearance issues, McStay should help out Mihocek in the KPF slots and maybe Frampton (who is 200cm) can hold a key defensive position to help out Moore. If this translates, then it improves the team. There are ifs here of course. It is probable though.

If Pendles, Sidey & Howe who are the oldies we rely on can maintain their level then we lose nothing there and we are just hoping that the young guys step up a gear to enable real improvement to occur which is the real big unknown. Also, can JDG finally realise his potential as a regular high-performer and become the next Dusty? He has the ability to, but it is up to him. I think there is more than enough positives here to suggest that we can hold our Top 4 position in 2023 and have another shot at the title.
 

Arr0w

Hall of Famer
Nov 13, 2015
38,005
105,870
In Transit
AFL Club
Carlton
Still think they come back a little, 13-15 wins, even with the extra round

Then it will be how they transition from their older players
 

PieLebo87

Hall of Famer
Sep 14, 2005
15,192
13,373
AFL Club
Collingwood
Still think they come back a little, 13-15 wins, even with the extra round

Then it will be how they transition from their older players
BDCEA6FD-91AC-4E1A-A622-1678487B992D.gif
 

Remove this Banner Ad