Brisbane will take a few years I think. They got that inconsistent developing period to get though that all young sides have, for a couple of years, and Zorko is a big out in the short termThe only two of those sides with a chance are Collingwood (I hated writing that but they only have a very slim chance) and Brisbane. If Ablett had stayed at Geelong they would have traded him out by now. I suppose Hawthorn have as much chance as any other team in 5 years time but are most likely going to drop further before turning things around eventually (could be 5 years or could be 38). StKilda is more likely than all of the sides that you listed. Most likely the next 5 premierships will be shared by Richmond, GWS, StK and Brisbane (and maybe Sydney).