One of these teams doesn't belong
Why predicting the footy is a waste of time.
- Thread starter NewMelbournian
- Start date
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On shares, I set up a watchlist the other day, and all my 5 shares are down 6.5%. Thought I had selected them at the right time.
The way the Tiges are playing, I could still see them 10-4 losing to Adelaide, GWS, Port and Bulldogs. And for the end of the season finishing 16-6. I'd imagine they might drop a few, but gain one or two of the big scalps.
If Richmond can beat 2 of those 4 teams above, they will possibly make the top 4. That's the true test, but we won't know until round 14.
I probably tipped it for both in the prediction thread at start of season
But in all fairness, I've been predicting Sydney and Adelaide to finish outside the 8 for 10 years now.
That's why you need to look at the opposition.
Collingwood are still a chance imo. Two teams they've lost to, are up top.
Hawks clearly aren't good enough.
Sydney look like they're struggling.
But you know, we won't know until round 10 at least.
Like in 2014: Tigers finally make finals...knocked put by 9th place Carlton.
- Jul 5, 2012
- 24,745
- 40,163
- AFL Club
- Sydney
- Other Teams
- Kidding, right?
But the market should and will eventually rise again and most if not all your stocks should do the same. You're also hopefully earning a dividend stream over time. Once a sporting contest you've punted on is over, if you didn't win, that's the end of the story.
Amazing how many punters dismiss the stock market as "just another way to gamble" without the slightest examination.
You might well already know all this of course.
I was trying out a 3 month strategy for 6% per share. Irrespective on growth, I sell at 6%. Its experimental. I'm still trying to work out when to place the shares, but in my first attempt its been ordinary.
AGO have been murdered today.
- Jul 28, 2012
- 11,078
- 10,429
- AFL Club
- Geelong
- Other Teams
- QPR, Buffalo Bills
Hindsight is always 20/20, but sometimes the foresight is pretty much 20/20 too, and we might want to start doing a better job with that. Nostradamus' followers allege that in his book "The Prophecies", published way back in the 16th century, back when like five people knew how to read. He predicted things like Hitler's rise to power, the Kennedy assassination, and the 9/11 attacks. And yet he said nothing about the demise of that great AFL power Hawthorn.
Way before going into the future-guessing business our bearded predictor wrote about jam recipes: "And the jelly will become one with the cream of peanut, and the bread will rejoice, for it is made delicious."
None of us have a clue what's going to happen next week, did anyone tip Gold Coast on the weekend? Just have fun with all of it, the only thing certain about this season is the Tigers will go on to completely stuff things up and the world will return to normal.
- Nov 22, 2016
- 2,170
- 2,860
- AFL Club
- Adelaide
- Other Teams
- North Adelaide, Arsenal.
Richmond are in a false position, they played Carlton and Collingwood a bunch of nobodies, this isn't the 80's. they haven't traveled yet and i think round 5 against Melbourne and round 6 against Adelaide at Adelaide oval will give a good indicator about the tigers.
- Jul 5, 2012
- 24,745
- 40,163
- AFL Club
- Sydney
- Other Teams
- Kidding, right?
Best of luck. I only invest long-term (min 5 years; I've held some shares for 30 years.)
Currency beating West Coast though.
- Apr 28, 2008
- 11,381
- 8,315
- AFL Club
- West Coast
- Other Teams
- Arsenal Kilmarnock
Richmond look good, but they've beaten Carlton, Collingwood, and narrowly beat a flaky, wasteful away side in windy conditions. Hardly premier favourite material just yet. Adelaide, GWS, etc. among others will blitz them.
Cicero
Cancelled
The concept of investment is rigged to favour the wealthy.
Well that's why the betting agencies are rolling around in money - sport is just so unpredictable that 99.9% of betters won't come ahead through their betting lifetimes, dangling a big win every now and then in between all the losses. It's like my best mate who has just started getting into footy betting - bet on Sydney over the Dogs (loss), Hawks over Crows (loss), and a six-leg multi, all pretty big favourites (dons over lions, eagles over saints, GWS over north, etc), which lost on the pies beating Sydney. That's like $60 lost right there, but he'll keep betting with the promise of big wins and free bets hanging out there.
- Jun 18, 2010
- 4,085
- 5,487
- AFL Club
- Fremantle
- Other Teams
- FFC Quay Club
The trick is to observe the game and enjoy it without succumbing to the intellectual nonsense that is future telling in its various forms. Not enough time is given to simple appreciation of the game and too much time is wasted trying to guess what will happen in the future.
- May 8, 2006
- 13,700
- 11,422
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Other Teams
- NYJ
If you're betting more than $5 a week on footy multis then you might as well put your head in a microwave and press 60 sec reheat button.
Both actions will melt your brain and leave you with a headache.
Both actions will melt your brain and leave you with a headache.
- May 8, 2006
- 13,700
- 11,422
- AFL Club
- Essendon
- Other Teams
- NYJ
Quote of the day bas. Noice.
I was at the casino on the weekend, and turn by turn on a busy roulette wheel, the casino was pulling at least $250 worth of chips, guys were just throwing down on corners all over the board. Then on the other table, a guy wasted away $1000 in 20 minutes and at one stage started putting bulk chips on 00. I've been experimenting with strategies over teh last month on sports betting, and everything goes well until that 'sure bet' goes down. The ****ed part about it, is I was working out a martingdale in my head on the columns for over 2 hours, (waiting for the train) and every bloody 3 turns max, I was winning. I had $400 max input, and my total winnings would have been 3k I s**t you not. I just went with column 1. I bet if I go next time and try that s**t for real, I'll lose on the first turn.
- Apr 27, 2014
- 1,739
- 2,918
- AFL Club
- Carlton
- Other Teams
- Arsenal
- Thread starter
- #46
They benefit more, but even average income people stand to benefit with even just a basic knowledge of the market and investment in solid long term stocks.
I've posted this elsewhere but -
Round 1 - Carlton have kicked their highest score (14 goals) against Richmond, which is a lot for a side that was meant to be winless / have the worst list apparently.
Round 2 - They were even with a Collingwood side who have a few decent outs.
Round 3 - They then beat a side that doesn't travel well and kicked 8.17 by only 2 goals.
I mean, I guess 3 rounds in Richmond fans and Victorian media can be delusional if they want.
Absolutely nailed it.
I dont tip. I dont bet. I dont do fantasy football. I enjoy every game I watch.
Mr Mister
All Australian
- Feb 28, 2016
- 649
- 767
- AFL Club
- Hawthorn
Where did you predict we would finish in October?
I look at our list and wonder how we're doing it. No doubt the wheels will fall off at some stage and the vampires will come in for their feed, but until then I'm going to enjoy the feeling that winning brings and the offence it's causing to supporters of other clubs.
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