I don't reckon he will, but wouldn't be surprised if he got there. He is a freak.
Probably needs another year where he pushes 100 in the season to get there.
Either way, it's a fair effort to get 500 in these days footy considering Riewoldt only just got there
Completely different players. Riewoldt, in his best years (2003 - 2009) was a pure CHF and for most of that time Fraser Gehrig played full forward kicking 65, 109, 78, 71 and 59 goals from 2004 to 2007.
Riewoldt really only went to fulltime full forward in 2010 and even then as we all know he spends a lot of time up the ground. The way he has played he will kick the odd bag but will never average a lot of goals.
It sounds easy to say - average 70 goals a year for the next 7 years - but that is very hard to do. The main issue is injuries. As soon as you get a few your tallies suddenly start to become 50 and 60 a year. Buddy will need a couple more 100 goal a year seasons to make up for seasons where he will invariably not kick so many.
Gary Ablett is probably closest to Buddy. He kicked 1030 in 248 games, 3 times kicked big 100s and 3 times kicked 80 plus.
So far Buddy has kicked 100 once and 80 once. Will either have to up that rate significantly or play a lot longer.