Will Essendon win the Flag ?

[Churros]

Also, to only lose 5 games by Round 17 is something the general football public didn't really expect from the Bombers. I can't even believe that our depth took us this far to begin with, but depth can only take you so far before it eventually catches up to you.

Interesting to note that so far, 3 of the predicted finals contenders have lost by 8-11 goals to other finals contenders this round.

Maybe the ladder fooled us. It isn't as close a year as we thought.

We've just got a lot making up the numbers, because it is such a weak year.

 

[Adelaide Hawk]

Most teams in history don't.

But then again, plenty of teams in history do.

 

[santa claws]

without going into the quality of players which is important (because you can have adequate numbers in a key areas but not the neccesary quality)but just causes bun fights i tend to look at things like games played and age and the make up of the list ie structure and numbers in key areas ie kpds kpfs genuine mids. to give a decent idea where a side should be at.

useing the current list and we took it from the start of this yr 24/3/12 essendon would have

9 100 plus gamers. a reasonable number but not enoughto challenge for a gf .

11 50 - 99 gamers. not enough need a few more getting enough into these brackets is where depth comes into it. not enough to win a gf and maybe a bit light on to make finals even. lose too many thru injury out of these groups and you will struggle to win with those numbers.

age wise they had 25 players in key age groups aged 23 - 27 mature and 28yo plus veterans. more than enough to suggest they should be at the very least be challenging for the 8 this yr.

they had 21 players in development age group 22 and under obviously some of these are best 22 or getting regular games.

going by these stats and ive done this very quickly id say at the start of the yr age wise they should be a finals side but experience wise they are a bit shy and borderline finals.

at the end of this yr a lot of this can change for the better or worse. ie hille fletcher lovett-murray and mcveigh are all in their 30s and could retire leaving them a little light on for 100 plus gamers.

people should take a look at most premiership sides to give them an idea of where your list needs to be in these areas.

 

[ZAAHAARAKIS!!!!!]

Just found this thread, I lolled hard.

Realistically we are probably 2 years away from seriously challenging.
With guys like hille, spike, NLM and the dustbin on the way out, they need to be replaced and others need to step up.
Given another season or 2, guys like heppell, melksham, Howlett, Myers, hurley, pears, Jetta and co will be getting into that 80-120 game bracket, and start to reach their full potential.
Add to that the more experienced hocking, Watson, winderlinch, Stanton, hooker and you have something that looks much more like a premiership list than the one we have now. We are coming, we're just not quite there yet....

 

[abers13]

Most teams in history don't.

touche, I meant to say that many years in the top four. But 3 premierships would be nice

 

[Bazzar]

going by these stats and ive done this very quickly

Good call, as it was to quick as was a croc. Made no sense. Numbers, numbers, numbers.

 

[StevenwellerHFC]

Next year, or the year after, or the year after, or the year after, or the year after...

 

[Jade]

how's your chances now biatch

Probably about as good as they were when this thread started.

 

[mufassa]

Next year, or the year after, or the year after, or the year after, or the year after...

I think you have gone early - it will be the year after.

 

[Bundy_28]

Essendon all but done!

Richmond and North have gone past them, better players in the midfield and down back and Essendon will be nothing more than another Fremantle for the next 10 years.

The weapon and Bomber Thompson will be glad they departed Geelong

 

[Rocky_Star_Pro]

Essendon all but done!

Richmond and North have gone past them, better players in the midfield and down back and Essendon will be nothing more than another Fremantle for the next 10 years.

The weapon and Bomber Thompson will be glad they departed Geelong

Ladies and gentlemen, we have discovered the first person capable of predicting the future!

 

[mufassa]

Very hard to win a flag if you finish outside of the 8.

 

[damuzzdu]

Very hard to win a flag if you finish outside of the 8.

Are you 100% sure?. I would say it is impossible trending to --->>> It can't be done

 

[mufassa]

Are you 100% sure?. I would say it is impossible trending to --->>> It can't be done

Maybe I should have added one of these at the end of my post . Edit - added.

 

[Jesse Custer]

Very hard to win a flag if you finish outside of the 8.

You seem disappointed.

 

[Rack Watts]

Very hard to win a flag if you finish outside of the 8.

You'd know that, judging by the last 2 seasons.

 

[DVD Player]

Very hard to win a flag if you finish outside of the 8.

I challenge that. It can be done.

 

[mufassa]

You'd know that, judging by the last 2 seasons.

The thing is we finished 9th and you finished 8th in 2011 yet we had the same chance of winning the flag - zero.

Have you an idea of how big the choke will be if you miss the 8?

 

[damuzzdu]

Maybe I should have added one of these at the end of my post . Edit - added.

Yep that works for me

 

[Jesse Custer]

The thing is we finished 9th and you finished 8th in 2011 yet we had the same chance of winning the flag - zero.

Have you an idea of how big the choke will be if you miss the 8?

No, obviously you do.

 

[mufassa]

No, obviously you do.

8-1 to missing finals. Could be a 1st. Its big.....

 

[Jesse Custer]

8-1 to missing finals. Could be a 1st. Its big.....

Like i said, for you it is. For me it's a fair reflection as to where we are at atm.

 

[Ed_Gein]

Now sitting 10th after being flogged by 96 points against the Blues.

Nice work Hird.

 

[UpTheGuts]

Expect some editing of posts to take place now...

Very poor.

 

[Gunstall19]

Yes, yes they will win the flag.