Racing WS Cox Plate 2021 - dedicated raceday thread
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iluvparis
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Older Mo looks rock bottom odds to me now - it would have to be Captivant at the relative prices given he was only rolled 0.5l by little Mo in the Guineas and looks like he can actually go forward.
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Thinking Dalasan is probably going to be my long odds 3rd and 4th play for exotics. Has had the almost identical prep to in the Autumn where he ran 3rd in the QE at 40/1 just a neck off VE and he should get a similar run here being able to lob in the first few on the rails in a race that wont have much pace
Surely Probabeel. Beat Zaaki last start.
iluvparis
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Can't go wet though so hugely weather dependent
iluvparis
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I was just looking at exotics and ended up concluding there really is no point trying to get creative with 9 horses (1 of which probably has dead set none) and the fave a possible moral if it returns to form. The QE run of Big Dal is no form either as they absolutely walked and it was a blanket finish. I also disagree there won't be much pace - if its slow I think Big Z will be taken to the lead and rattle them along and a horse like Big Dal will get picked off in the straight.
So if I think both Mo's are rock bottom prices, Prob may not get her conditions, and Dal and Callsign won't be good enough - this is just not an exotics race for me (and to be fair that is often case with the Cox Plate) unless you want to just jam straight out quins/tris around Zaa/VE/SOR or play something with Captivant in for 3rd/4th.
Basically you might as well just back Dal to place rather than throwing him in and taking a % hit on what could end up very skinny exotics
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- Jul 25, 2008
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Pointsbet have Zaaki $3 to place tomorrow; find it under Politics
Am I missing some big brain marketing play here? Why bother burying it in the politics section lol.
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No real surprises tonight apart from Mahashakti flop. Only Words came from back.
iluvparis
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This happened last year as well - will all come down to whether they are ballsy enough to water overnight and risk getting too much rain
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Basing my rain predictions off VE price. $10 on sunday into $5.4 with iminent rain touched a bit of $6.60 since it looking to dissipate, now around $6.20 but volume coming right out.
Would be a nightmare for Zaaki and VE specifically who were blaming hard tracks last start. They take up a huge %.
And here's me trying to bet responsibly.
Time to change gears.
Considering I clearly said Zaaki on top and don’t rate the 3yo then no
Happy to stick to original proposition of Zaaki v Anamoe (who you said you were with originally? )
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At a huge negative value for myself, throwing out freebies and still getting knocked back.... Happy to walk away.
iluvparis
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What part of Zaaki v Anamoe h2h is unclear
Liefs clearly said he was with Anamoe prior to the post after my proposition
Then said Zaaki on top?
Doesn’t matter , I’ll be happy enough cheering home Zaaki as romps away at 100m
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