Science/Environment Wuhan Coronavirus (COVID-19) - Pandemic Declared

[Dry Rot]

Situation in Singapore getting bad?

See https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ive-new-cases-in-france-are-british-nationals

Cluster in France from contact with a Briton from Singapore. And another case from Singapore.

 

[twotooto]

This guy gives a good, balanced overview.

His channel also good with regular updates.

 

[Over The Post]

Made the trek to a Bunnings this morning because the website said they had masks in stock. Yes, they put them out yesterday afternoon, half of them were gone before he'd finished unpacking the box. Sorry. Phoned another couple of stores while I was in the car, same deal.
The good news is, there are still proper (not disposable) respirators. You'd look like a doofus but I'd rather be a live doofus than looking cool struggling in a hospital bed.

Caught up with a mate in Europe this morning, he is married to a Chinese lady who is at home. Orders are for everyone to go to their registered residence. She is isolated in their apartment with her mum and son. Every morning a team arrives to take their temperature and drop off three meals each, as well as grandma's medications. They are very happy with how the government is handling things.

Scomo and his merry band of dilettantes, on the other hand...

 

[Snake_Baker]

Good paper on infection dynamics

Acceleration of evolutionary spread by long-range dispersal

Pathogens, invasive species, rumors, or innovations spread much more quickly around the world nowadays than in previous centuries. The speedup is caused by more frequent long-range dispersal, for example via air traffic. These jumps are crucial because they can generate satellite “outbreaks” at...

www.pnas.org

 

[Pessimistic]

Will be renamed to The Flying Dutchman soon

Unofficial report from a crew member that crew who are still cooking and cleaning have not been tested. Crazy if true. You’d think that passenger ships crew would be expert in containing infection though

 

[Pessimistic]

Tencent may have accidentally leaked real data on Wuhan virus deaths

Tencent briefly lists 154,023 infections and 24,589 deaths from Wuhan coronavirus

As many experts question the veracity of China's statistics for the Wuhan coronavirus outbreak, Tencent over the weekend appeared to inadvertently release what is potentially the actual number of infections and deaths — which are far higher than official figures, but eerily in line with predictions from a respected scientific journal.

https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3871594

and in line with infection rate on diamond princess

 

[Over The Post]

And every time someone comes down with it the clock resets... must be like being stuck in an episode of Black Mirror for most plebs onboard.

 

[Taylor]

Pretty soon there will be memes of people asking if they parachuted onto that ship, would they get to have a forced isolation holiday by themselves in their room for potentially months.

Because sometimes, that sounds lovely.

 

[Pessimistic]

How fast is it spreading?
There are thousands of new cases being reported each day.
However, outbreak analysts believe these are only the tip of the iceberg.
Their mathematical models suggest the true scale of the outbreak could be 10 times larger than the official figures.
Multiple groups have estimated the number of cases is doubling every five to seven days.

Covid symptoms: What are they and how do I protect myself?

A new cough, fever and change in smell or taste are the key symptoms of coronavirus.

www.bbc.com

Also mentions there are up to seven identified infectious strains. Could it be the lethal strains hit lower socioeconomic classes and the weaker strains higher up

that is those who are able to afford foreign travel? Or maybe with a lethal strain your feel more sick sooner and cancel travel plans?

so a slowervmoving lethal strain (cos those who get it aren’t able to get out and about) and a highly contagious weaker strain or strains?

 

[Pessimistic]

Pretty soon there will be memes of people asking if they parachuted onto that ship, would they get to have a forced isolation holiday by themselves in their room for potentially months.

Because sometimes, that sounds lovely.

previous occupant of your room? Best not to think about that

 

[Snake_Baker]

How fast is it spreading?
There are thousands of new cases being reported each day.
However, outbreak analysts believe these are only the tip of the iceberg.
Their mathematical models suggest the true scale of the outbreak could be 10 times larger than the official figures.
Multiple groups have estimated the number of cases is doubling every five to seven days.

Covid symptoms: What are they and how do I protect myself?

A new cough, fever and change in smell or taste are the key symptoms of coronavirus.

www.bbc.com

Also mentions there are up to seven identified infectious strains

It's not as if the BBC aren't in the business of spreading hysteria.

 

[Spirit Level]

Time to start stocking up?

Storm in a teacup?

What are the chances that this brings on the armageddon?

 

[Run n Spread]

Time to start stocking up?

Storm in a teacup?

What are the chances that this brings on the armageddon?

Serious in the sense that it seems to spread easily and has a high kill rate if your immune system is already weak. Also would sucks to be in China

Not time to stock up as spread is like common flu and so far has been contained especially overseas. Most seem to recover

 

[Run n Spread]

Pretty soon there will be memes of people asking if they parachuted onto that ship, would they get to have a forced isolation holiday by themselves in their room for potentially months.

Because sometimes, that sounds lovely.

This. If they over do it and say lockdown everyone will just say * it take a paid holiday and not be fussed about strictly quarantineing which defeats the purpose

 

[Rob R]

Made the trek to a Bunnings this morning because the website said they had masks in stock. Yes, they put them out yesterday afternoon, half of them were gone before he'd finished unpacking the box. Sorry. Phoned another couple of stores while I was in the car, same deal.
The good news is, there are still proper (not disposable) respirators. You'd look like a doofus but I'd rather be a live doofus than looking cool struggling in a hospital bed.

Caught up with a mate in Europe this morning, he is married to a Chinese lady who is at home. Orders are for everyone to go to their registered residence. She is isolated in their apartment with her mum and son. Every morning a team arrives to take their temperature and drop off three meals each, as well as grandma's medications. They are very happy with how the government is handling things.

Scomo and his merry band of dilettantes, on the other hand...

Of course they are happy with their benevolent dictator for life over there. If you disagree with him, you get reeducated or sudden lead poisoning, whereas if you disagree with scomo you get liked on social media.

On SM-G570F using BigFooty.com mobile app

 

[maryjames]

Time to start stocking up?

Storm in a teacup?

What are the chances that this brings on the armageddon?

I’m stocking up hard..

I’ve bought plenty of n95 mask. Not 100% safe but as close you get. More so you don’t touch your face mouth with your fingers.

I’m reading today it airborne this flu so it’s pretty dam scary for mine.
If China is in shutdown you know it’s bad. Over 80 cities. Now Tianjin population of 11 million is shut down from today. Next will be Beijing that will go into complete shutdown.

 

[Snake_Baker]

Time to start stocking up?

Storm in a teacup?

What are the chances that this brings on the armageddon?

2% of the human population?

It would be doing the remaining 98% a big favor.

 

[Pessimistic]

Of course they are happy with their benevolent dictator for life over there. If you disagree with him, you get reeducated or sudden lead poisoning, whereas if you disagree with scomo you get liked on social media.

On SM-G570F using BigFooty.com mobile app

‘trouble with voting In the least worst candidate is the standard will surely head down and down

 

[Chubberson]

Lol, comparing a communist dictator to scomo. Get off the drugs.

 

[Nikita Blue]

Captain Trips

Good timing for the new version of The Stand.

 

[NSWCROW]

Good timing for the new version of The Stand.

If we make it in time....

 

[Pessimistic]

Lol, comparing a communist dictator to scomo. Get off the drugs.

pretty happy scomo isn’t running China at the moment. I often wonder if we would be tolerating these dud politicians it if there were real threats

 

[Dry Rot]

Caught up with a mate in Europe this morning, he is married to a Chinese lady who is at home.

Which city is she in?

 

[Dry Rot]

Always a bad sign when medical staff start dying

Leaked China CDC Screen Shows Infection Count of Medical Staff. Note earliest death from last year.

 

[Over The Post]

Which city is she in?

Jilin I believe, about 2200km from Wuhan.