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Restricted Free Agent Zak Butters

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The Demons are 4th in the AFL in average attendance.

10k more people per game than Footscray.
Are you kidding? You're using the 7 games this season that you have played mainly at home. VS The Bulldog Travelling sideshow act. The fact that we are 10k in reach is amazing.

Yeah, Fair Weather. I never said you don't have the capacity to draw a decent crowd, only that it is largely dependent on the state of your side. When the team is up, like you have been for the best part of 5-7 years. You're there with bells and whistles. Drop off the face of the league. "Yay, we broke 70k." - 2023. Cool, where are they now? Nowhere. You're back with the so-called pack.

Now, there isn't anything wrong with that. This happens to most clubs as they bob and weave ladder positions. My point is that Melbourne and Footscray are seated at the same table. Club memberships last season, we won with an additional 7,000 cause we had a stronger season. That's normal. Then the pendulum swings back again. It's a 5-10k difference on almost every metric. Melbourne is stronger when the world is rosy, but we have a stronger, consistent growth of a supporter base post 2016. That's a fact.

Trust me when I say that all of this we have discussed has zilch to do with a Zak Butters decision. If it was, he'd be Essendon bound for sure.
 
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If there was a sportsbet market on what team he is playing for next year what are the odds?
3/1: Port, bulldogs, geelong
7/1: Collingwood
11/1: Hawthorn
25/1: any other Victorian side
100/1: all others

Market may fluctuate as conditions change
 
If there was a sportsbet market on what team he is playing for next year what are the odds?
Evens Geelong.

No market on the rest.
 

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So which club can pay the $16,000,000 over 8 year
does hawks have that in their cap ?
I doubt it, but if he wanted purely money he would just stay at port, they have already tabled the biggest offer ever apparently.
Butters is definitely doggies bound regardless, I think once treloar / libba goes they will give him a 14-15 million contract.
From their list perspective quite stupid because they will never get enough bodies in the door to support him enough to win anything, but he is far too tantalising. Probably lose sanders, 3 x 1 First Rounders for him.
 
Honestly, if he "were" to leave port, I would imagine only Dogs and Hawks. However, if I'm correct, he doesn't like the Hawks. Dogs have more upside than Cats when you really dive into it.

I'll annoy the Cats people on here but Cats won't be contending for a premiership, even with Butters. Yes, Chris Scott is a good coach but that won't continue getting them to that stage any more and for awhile and Honestly, my prediction is they'll finish 11th downwards this season.

In saying all of that, if he was real about it and it being a footy move predominantly, it would be between staying at Port or Dogs.

He'll regret going to Geelong, mark my words.

Depends on what his motivations are.
 
Depends on what his motivations are.
True. I'd assume it is all about footy and winning plus contending for a premiership and getting that flag as soon as possible, in Victoria.

Hence why I'd say straight up Hawks with a big gap in between 2nd.

But as I've said, I'm confident enough to say he just doesn't like the Hawks and won't go regardless.

So leaves Dogs and Cats. Now, my own view is Geelong not being able to contend like they were previously, even with Butters and I'd rate Dogs at a higher chance and better overall.

I rate Chris Scott coaching but I just don't see it happening any time soon to the point, he'll hang up the coaches boots without another premiership.
 
Treloar has no confidence in his body anymore and Libba is still having concussion symptons a week on. They're both unlikely to be there next year. It leaves a hole in the midfield without either. This is why Twomey is say dogs are all in on Butters.
 

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