TIPPAZ SEASON GUIDE 2008
Pre-season is over and Rd1 is just around the corner, which means a new year of DreamTeam is about to commence. Time to knuckle down and sort out your squad. So sit back, take a deep breath (you might wanna hit the save/print button for this!) and enjoy reading through Tippaz Season Guide 2008. This guide is simply designed to help you pick your team. I have compiled my own take of each club’s starting22 (please note: no.1 taggers are in brackets) along with potential good buys for the upcoming season.
Players have been separated into 4 catergories:
1) big gun – a proven fantasy pick who is expected to score highly. (barring injuries)
2) hot prospect – a player who I feel is underpriced and is expected to score much better than last year.
3) smokey – an “under-the-radar” player who could potentially step up this year.
4) cash cow – a dirt cheap player who could significantly increase in value.
ADELAIDE
The pre-season form of the Crows suggests there will be big changes to the structure of the team. Nathan Bock looks more settled in defence and will probably stay at CHB, Simon Goodwin & Andrew McLeod have excelled up forward, while Brad Symes looks comfortable at his new club. Niell Craig is set to employ a much more attacking gameplan, and despite the pundits low expectations, I give this team a real chance of making top4.
FB – Johncock, Rutten, Stevens
HB – Symes, Bock, Vince
C – (Shirley), Thompson, Reilly
HF – Porplyzia, McGregor, McLeod
FF – Goodwin, Hentschel, Burton
R – Maric, Edwards, VanBerlo
i/c – Griffin, Knights, Bassett, Douglas
big guns: All-Australian half-back-flank Andrew McLeod looks set to play forward this year. This could have a negative impact on his possession tally, but we can expect to see more goals. He is generally a midfield orientated player who is advantageously classified as a back. Strong-bodied Scott Thompson is the new leader of the Crow’s midfield. Last year, he amassed 2192pts (10th overall) averaging 99.64ppg, although he did have the luxury of not being tagged. If Goodwin’s move to the forwardline becomes permanent, Thompson will struggle to repeat that. Good old Tyson Edwards has spent less time in the midfield during this Nab Cup, but the 31yr veteran is very professional and brings a touch of class. He rarely misses games, and has always proven to be a reliable pick. Just don’t expect the same 2159pts (12th overall) from last year because the crows want to blood some younger players into the midfield.
hot prospects: Small back-pocket Graham Johncock only played 16 games in 2007 due to an injury restricted year. He played some games off the bench and around the forwardline which significantly lowered his stats to 69.13ppg. If McLeod’s move to the forwardline is permanent, Johncock will need to lift his game. He is responsible for kickout duties and is a “go-to-man” in defence. New recruit Brad Symes had a great debut season in 2006 for Port Adel, but he only managed 6 games in 2007. 23yr old Symes has got a fresh start at Adelaide, and his pre-season form suggests he’ll be a starting player. He is great at mopping up uncontested marks across halfback, and can even reach 30 possessions on a good day. High flying Brett Burton played through injury last year, and his statistical output was well below par. The Birdman certainly hasn’t lost any spring as we witnessed him take a massive speccie over Zac Dawson the other day. I expect him to play a forward pocket type role (not the best place to get stats), but he has the ability to push up the ground and will surely kick more goals this year. 23yr old Jason Porplyzia has had a big pre-season and is expected to step up. He was a non-established half-forward-flank last year who only played 14 games. This year, he is set for a much greater midfield load and should play every game. He has a handy misclassification of “forward” to go with it. 21yr old Richard Douglas is another on the rise. He didn’t get many fantasy points last year, but he will surely improve on that. I see him as a part-time-forward/part-time-midfielder who could play off the bench. He has been correctly classified as a “forward” this year. 22yr old young gun Bernie Vince has really impressed me this pre-season. I’m unsure if he’s considered a starting player, however, I have found a place for him off halfback. He probably won’t take many marks, but can get the ball, has good skills and can run-and-carry. He delivered very weak stats last year, so you’ll find his price very cheap (still classified as a forward). I’m predicting he’ll be one of Adelaide’s most improved players.
smokeys: the pre-season form of Nathan Bock is undeniable. He is clocking up SuperCoach points as well as DreamTeam points playing across halfback, regularly getting 25possessions 10marks. CHB is not a good position for fantasy points because their primary objective is to shut down the opposition CHF. However, Bock may not always take the CHF and is capable of going forward. Potential future captain Nathan Van Berlo is a star in the making. The 21yr old midfielder played all 22 games last year and is showing every indication he can take the next step. If Goodwin & Edwards receive less gametime in the midfield, Van Berlo is likely to benefit from this by playing inside mid. His recent 28pos performance against Hawthorn was one to savour. 24yr old Brent Reilly is in the same boat as Van Berlo. He too, is likely to benefit from more time playing inside mid. I am uncertain as to who Neill Craig would favour (Reilly or Van Berlo), but I suspect they’ll share the midfield load around a fair bit. Reilly is a bit small, but hard at it. With Bock moving to defence this year it appears cult figure Ken McGregor is the obvious choice to play CHF. He struggled through injury last year and only played 8 games. He is a much-maligned player and shouldn’t be forgotten about. His pre-season form has been quite sound kicking goals, taking marks, and most importantly providing a target.
cash cows: midfielder Bryce Campbell was taken as a mature age recruit at pick no.78 in 2006 draft. The 23yr old played 1 game last year and is likely to get more games this year. 20yr old ruck prospect Kurt Tippett was also taken in the 2006 draft at pick no.32. He has been super impressive throughout the Nab Cup and is set to play rd1 (in place of Hentschel). There’s a bit of Justin Westhoff about him. This is a top recommendation! pick no.14 of 2006 draft James Sellar starred against Collingwood in the Nab Cup opener. He is 195cm tall, can take a strong mark, kick a goal, and could get a regular game soon.
BRISBANE
The Lions are set for a big year. They picked up Travis Johnstone to add to their midfield array of Black, Power, Lappin, and Adcock. And Daniel Bradshaw is almost ready to return after missing a full season of football. Suddenly the forwardline is looking pretty ominous with Brown, Bradshaw, and Brennan all available. I think they are ready for finals, and possibly top4?
FB – MacDonald, Merrett, Roe
HB – Drummond, Patfull, Lappin
C – (Selwood), Black, Adcock
HF – Notting, Brown, Sherman
FF – McGrath, Bradshaw, Brennan
R – Charman, Johnstone, Power
i/c – Leuenberger, Stiller, Copeland, Rischitelli
big guns: Josh Drummond was one of the most improved players in the competition last year. He is a deadly accurate kick of the ball, and obviously the “go-to-man” in Brisbane’s defence. He is efficient in rebound50s, takes kickouts, and is often the 1st link in the chain that results in shots on goal. I find him extremely well suited to SuperCoach, but his DreamTeam worthiness is no exception. He is fast becoming the new Joel Bowden. 31yr old Nigel Lappin has legendary status when it comes to dreamteams. The silky smooth Lappin will always go unnoticed around players such as Black, Power, Johnstone, etc. and he can rack 30pos without anyone noticing. His possession tally in the 2nd half of 2007 was the highest of any player in the competition, and, his possession tally for the season was the highest of any Brisbane player despite the fact he missed 4 games. 28yr old Luke Power is a hardened inside midfielder who racks up disposals, tackles, clearances, hardball gets. He remains a key player and is unlikely to get tagged. I think less people will buy Power after a leaner year – which could be a mistake. Small defender-turned-midfielder Jed Adcock had a huge breakout year in 2007. He played all 22 games and managed to compile 1949pts (ave. 88.59ppg). A shift to the midfield in the 2nd half of the year meant he was really averaging around 100ppg by the end, and was mighty unlucky to miss out on All-Australian. He probably won’t be as good (especially with Johnstone now) but he is a highly statistical player, however, no longer listed as a “back”. Superstar Jonathon Brown put together his best and most consistent season of footy. The powerhouse CHF is capable of mega points but has struggled with injuries in the past. He has slowly eased himself back into pre-season to ensure he’s right for rd1. Brown is capable of conjuring up 150+pts on a good day. His starting price is possibly quite generous.
hot prospects: Simon Black was a surprise runner-up in last year’s Brownlow. His statistical output was respectable, but he is capable of more. He is clearly Brisbane’s no.1 midfielder and one of the elite midfielders in the competition, which makes him a prime target for taggers. He will still get stacks of possessions, tackles, clearances, and should benefit from being part of a stronger midfield. I believe Travis Johnstone is going to be the trade of the season. The ex-Demon was always the prime target for taggers, and never really got the stats he deserved. With Black in the team, he won’t have to worry about taggers anymore, so I’d expect his stats to spike. He is a very dangerous kick, which will only benefit the Brown/Bradshaw forwardline even more. The wraps on 19yr old Matthew Leuenberger has been enormous. The no.4 draft pick of 2006 has been earmarked as the best ruck prospect in the last 10 years, and drawn comparisons to Dean Cox. He played 9 games last year (which makes him eligible for this year’s Rising Star Award) with only minimal gametime. He didn’t achieve too many stats last year, so he’ll have a great 2nd year price on him. I have named him 2nd ruck to Charman, but don’t be surprised if he finishes the year as Brisbane’s no.1 ruckman. Full-forward Daniel Bradshaw is set to return to the lineup after missing the entire season with a knee reconstruction. The 29yr old hasn’t done a full pre-season, so his fitness is a bit behind the rest of the squad. Brisbane is saying he’ll be right by rd3 but could miss the opening two rounds. Bradshaw is a 50+ goalkicker who is well underpriced.
smokeys: 21yr old Justin Sherman had an horrendous season with injury/illness last year. 768pts from 14 games (ave. 54.86ppg) is well below his 1912pts of 2006 (ave. 86.91ppg). I doubt he’ll be playing the same halfback flank role of 2006, but I suspect he’ll be playing part-time-forward/part-time-midfield, and unfortunately he’s been misclassified (ouch). Nevertheless, he’s an exciting young player who has been a proven pick in the past, and is well underpriced. Possibly the smokey of all smokeys has to be Jared Brennan. He is one of the most exciting enigmatic players in the competition. He can play a number of positions, but he has been starting pre-season games in the forwardline. I anticipate he will play as a loose 3rd tall across half-forward and could be somewhat of a Brad Fisher or Kayne Pettifer.
cash cows: 19yr old Albert Proud (nicknamed “punch”) was taken at pick no.22 in the 2006 draft. He is a tough hard player in the Byron Pickett mould, and played 2 games last year. He is on the verge of playing a lot more senior games this year. You’ll find him in the “backs” priced just above base. The no.8 draft pick of 2007 Lachlan Henderson made an impression in rd1 of the Nab Cup against Essendon by kicking goals and providing a target. The tall forward is listed at 195cm and could debut rd1 in the absence of Bradshaw.
CARLTON
The Blues are the sleeping giant of the competition. The arrival of Chris Judd has sent a wave of euphoria through Carlton supporters as they realise they will no longer be a bottom side. Add a fit Nick Stevens plus 2007 no.1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer to the side, and you’ve got yourself a finals contender. Coach Brett Ratten plays high stats football. They’ve got a fantastic midfield, and I wonder if the 500 possession barrier can be pushed by this mob. Plenty of good buys here!
FB – Gibbs, O’Hailpin, Thornton
HB – Walker, Waite, Houlihan
C – Murphy, Carrazzo, Simpson
HF – (Hadley), Fisher, Pfeiffer
FF – Betts, Fevola, Kreuzer
R – Hampson, Judd, Scotland
i/c – Cloke, Stevens, Bentick, Russell
big guns: Andrew Carrazzo was one of eight players to crack to magical 2200pts and average 100ppg in all 22 games. He spent the entire season playing in the centre whilst misclassified as a “back”. I was lucky enough to go a Carlton game last year and thought he had a pretty quite day… so I open up the paper the next morning to check the stats, only to discover he had 35pos 8tackles 7clearances (whaaaaa???). I quickly learnt this guy is absolute gold in dreamteams. He is a stats-machine who is not worth tagging (excellent!!). Heath Scotland was the 9th highest scoring player in dreamteam with 2197pts (averaging 99.86ppg). He’s predominantly a midfielder who plays a kick behind play around halfback. This is a great way to escape the tag! His is also a pinpoint accurate kick of the ball – none of his possessions are junk. Scotland was ranked no.2 in the competition for disposals in 2007, yet was unbelievably left out of the All-Australian shortlist.
hot prospects: The best player in the competition Chris Judd has come down in price. His struggle with osteitis pubis wrecked his stats in the later stages of 2007, only to finish with 1530pts from 18 games (average 85.00ppg). His pre-season has been a slow process, but Carlton expects he’ll be right for rd1. Judd has been made captain of his new club and is eager to lead the Blues new-look midfield. I think he’s more suited to SuperCoach though. 28yr old Nick Stevens came close to ending up in a wheelchair last year after fracturing his neck. Now, he is up and running in pre-season and set to return to the Carlton midfield. He used to be Carlton’s no.1 midfielder, and would usually draw opposition taggers. This year, I foresee a role coming off the bench (a bit like Scott Burns). He will be severely underpriced because he only played 3 games last year. 20yr old midfielder Marc Murphy is set to lift his stats. The 2005 no.1 draft pick copped opposition taggers on a regular basis last year in the absence of Nick Stevens. The inclusions of Judd and Stevens will free him up immensely, and Murphy has shown signs of ball magnetism over his first two seasons. It’s good news for 19yr old Bryce Gibbs also. The 2006 no.1 draft pick is said to spend more time in the midfield. He played small back pocket in 2007, and didn’t get many stats. However, a recent display of 30pos against Hawthorn in the Nab Cup shows his true stat potential. I struggle to see a permanent spot in the midfield for Gibbs, so, decided to leave him in the backline. He will have an attractive 2nd year price on him (unfortunately listed as a “centre”). And let’s not forget about key forward Brendan Fevola – arguably the best full-forward in the competition. He dreadfully underperformed last year with just 1349pts from 19 games (average 71.00ppg). His price will be well below par, and he ought to shine with Judd’s delivery into the forwardline. You can expect more marks and goals from the Fev this year.
smokey: Key position player Jarrad Waite has been given the responsibility of playing a full season at CHB by coach Brett Ratten. Although it’s not the best place for stats, Waite has got a big tank and can cover a lot of ground. He is a very influential player who can take marks, and is versatile enough to play forward. His pre-season form suggests he’ll be a contender for All-Australian. Statswise, he could be worth a punt.
cash cows: 21yr old Dennis Armfield was taken as a mature age recruit at pick no.46 of the 2007 draft. He caught my eye in the Nab Cup as someone who could play off the bench, and I expect him to get some games this year. 20yr old Shaun Hampson has done a huge pre-season and is seriously vying for Carlton’s no.1 ruck spot. He was taken at pick no.17 in the 2006 draft (the 2nd ruck behind Leuenberger that year) and played 2 games last year. He will be cheaper and better than Kreuzer! All the smart people will buy him, so I suggest you get on board. 20yr old ex-Crow Darren Pfeiffer has made a super impressive Nab Cup debut for his new club. He is listed as a min wage back, but is set for a role in the forwardline. I think this kid will start rd1 and play every game. He comes highly recommended. The 2007 no.1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer is also likely to feature in most games. Even though he’s a known ruck prospect, I think he’ll spend more time up forward. Brad Fisher will miss the first 4 rounds of the season with a thumb injury, and Kreuzer is the most logical choice to fill the void.
Pre-season is over and Rd1 is just around the corner, which means a new year of DreamTeam is about to commence. Time to knuckle down and sort out your squad. So sit back, take a deep breath (you might wanna hit the save/print button for this!) and enjoy reading through Tippaz Season Guide 2008. This guide is simply designed to help you pick your team. I have compiled my own take of each club’s starting22 (please note: no.1 taggers are in brackets) along with potential good buys for the upcoming season.
Players have been separated into 4 catergories:
1) big gun – a proven fantasy pick who is expected to score highly. (barring injuries)
2) hot prospect – a player who I feel is underpriced and is expected to score much better than last year.
3) smokey – an “under-the-radar” player who could potentially step up this year.
4) cash cow – a dirt cheap player who could significantly increase in value.
ADELAIDE
The pre-season form of the Crows suggests there will be big changes to the structure of the team. Nathan Bock looks more settled in defence and will probably stay at CHB, Simon Goodwin & Andrew McLeod have excelled up forward, while Brad Symes looks comfortable at his new club. Niell Craig is set to employ a much more attacking gameplan, and despite the pundits low expectations, I give this team a real chance of making top4.
FB – Johncock, Rutten, Stevens
HB – Symes, Bock, Vince
C – (Shirley), Thompson, Reilly
HF – Porplyzia, McGregor, McLeod
FF – Goodwin, Hentschel, Burton
R – Maric, Edwards, VanBerlo
i/c – Griffin, Knights, Bassett, Douglas
big guns: All-Australian half-back-flank Andrew McLeod looks set to play forward this year. This could have a negative impact on his possession tally, but we can expect to see more goals. He is generally a midfield orientated player who is advantageously classified as a back. Strong-bodied Scott Thompson is the new leader of the Crow’s midfield. Last year, he amassed 2192pts (10th overall) averaging 99.64ppg, although he did have the luxury of not being tagged. If Goodwin’s move to the forwardline becomes permanent, Thompson will struggle to repeat that. Good old Tyson Edwards has spent less time in the midfield during this Nab Cup, but the 31yr veteran is very professional and brings a touch of class. He rarely misses games, and has always proven to be a reliable pick. Just don’t expect the same 2159pts (12th overall) from last year because the crows want to blood some younger players into the midfield.
hot prospects: Small back-pocket Graham Johncock only played 16 games in 2007 due to an injury restricted year. He played some games off the bench and around the forwardline which significantly lowered his stats to 69.13ppg. If McLeod’s move to the forwardline is permanent, Johncock will need to lift his game. He is responsible for kickout duties and is a “go-to-man” in defence. New recruit Brad Symes had a great debut season in 2006 for Port Adel, but he only managed 6 games in 2007. 23yr old Symes has got a fresh start at Adelaide, and his pre-season form suggests he’ll be a starting player. He is great at mopping up uncontested marks across halfback, and can even reach 30 possessions on a good day. High flying Brett Burton played through injury last year, and his statistical output was well below par. The Birdman certainly hasn’t lost any spring as we witnessed him take a massive speccie over Zac Dawson the other day. I expect him to play a forward pocket type role (not the best place to get stats), but he has the ability to push up the ground and will surely kick more goals this year. 23yr old Jason Porplyzia has had a big pre-season and is expected to step up. He was a non-established half-forward-flank last year who only played 14 games. This year, he is set for a much greater midfield load and should play every game. He has a handy misclassification of “forward” to go with it. 21yr old Richard Douglas is another on the rise. He didn’t get many fantasy points last year, but he will surely improve on that. I see him as a part-time-forward/part-time-midfielder who could play off the bench. He has been correctly classified as a “forward” this year. 22yr old young gun Bernie Vince has really impressed me this pre-season. I’m unsure if he’s considered a starting player, however, I have found a place for him off halfback. He probably won’t take many marks, but can get the ball, has good skills and can run-and-carry. He delivered very weak stats last year, so you’ll find his price very cheap (still classified as a forward). I’m predicting he’ll be one of Adelaide’s most improved players.
smokeys: the pre-season form of Nathan Bock is undeniable. He is clocking up SuperCoach points as well as DreamTeam points playing across halfback, regularly getting 25possessions 10marks. CHB is not a good position for fantasy points because their primary objective is to shut down the opposition CHF. However, Bock may not always take the CHF and is capable of going forward. Potential future captain Nathan Van Berlo is a star in the making. The 21yr old midfielder played all 22 games last year and is showing every indication he can take the next step. If Goodwin & Edwards receive less gametime in the midfield, Van Berlo is likely to benefit from this by playing inside mid. His recent 28pos performance against Hawthorn was one to savour. 24yr old Brent Reilly is in the same boat as Van Berlo. He too, is likely to benefit from more time playing inside mid. I am uncertain as to who Neill Craig would favour (Reilly or Van Berlo), but I suspect they’ll share the midfield load around a fair bit. Reilly is a bit small, but hard at it. With Bock moving to defence this year it appears cult figure Ken McGregor is the obvious choice to play CHF. He struggled through injury last year and only played 8 games. He is a much-maligned player and shouldn’t be forgotten about. His pre-season form has been quite sound kicking goals, taking marks, and most importantly providing a target.
cash cows: midfielder Bryce Campbell was taken as a mature age recruit at pick no.78 in 2006 draft. The 23yr old played 1 game last year and is likely to get more games this year. 20yr old ruck prospect Kurt Tippett was also taken in the 2006 draft at pick no.32. He has been super impressive throughout the Nab Cup and is set to play rd1 (in place of Hentschel). There’s a bit of Justin Westhoff about him. This is a top recommendation! pick no.14 of 2006 draft James Sellar starred against Collingwood in the Nab Cup opener. He is 195cm tall, can take a strong mark, kick a goal, and could get a regular game soon.
BRISBANE
The Lions are set for a big year. They picked up Travis Johnstone to add to their midfield array of Black, Power, Lappin, and Adcock. And Daniel Bradshaw is almost ready to return after missing a full season of football. Suddenly the forwardline is looking pretty ominous with Brown, Bradshaw, and Brennan all available. I think they are ready for finals, and possibly top4?
FB – MacDonald, Merrett, Roe
HB – Drummond, Patfull, Lappin
C – (Selwood), Black, Adcock
HF – Notting, Brown, Sherman
FF – McGrath, Bradshaw, Brennan
R – Charman, Johnstone, Power
i/c – Leuenberger, Stiller, Copeland, Rischitelli
big guns: Josh Drummond was one of the most improved players in the competition last year. He is a deadly accurate kick of the ball, and obviously the “go-to-man” in Brisbane’s defence. He is efficient in rebound50s, takes kickouts, and is often the 1st link in the chain that results in shots on goal. I find him extremely well suited to SuperCoach, but his DreamTeam worthiness is no exception. He is fast becoming the new Joel Bowden. 31yr old Nigel Lappin has legendary status when it comes to dreamteams. The silky smooth Lappin will always go unnoticed around players such as Black, Power, Johnstone, etc. and he can rack 30pos without anyone noticing. His possession tally in the 2nd half of 2007 was the highest of any player in the competition, and, his possession tally for the season was the highest of any Brisbane player despite the fact he missed 4 games. 28yr old Luke Power is a hardened inside midfielder who racks up disposals, tackles, clearances, hardball gets. He remains a key player and is unlikely to get tagged. I think less people will buy Power after a leaner year – which could be a mistake. Small defender-turned-midfielder Jed Adcock had a huge breakout year in 2007. He played all 22 games and managed to compile 1949pts (ave. 88.59ppg). A shift to the midfield in the 2nd half of the year meant he was really averaging around 100ppg by the end, and was mighty unlucky to miss out on All-Australian. He probably won’t be as good (especially with Johnstone now) but he is a highly statistical player, however, no longer listed as a “back”. Superstar Jonathon Brown put together his best and most consistent season of footy. The powerhouse CHF is capable of mega points but has struggled with injuries in the past. He has slowly eased himself back into pre-season to ensure he’s right for rd1. Brown is capable of conjuring up 150+pts on a good day. His starting price is possibly quite generous.
hot prospects: Simon Black was a surprise runner-up in last year’s Brownlow. His statistical output was respectable, but he is capable of more. He is clearly Brisbane’s no.1 midfielder and one of the elite midfielders in the competition, which makes him a prime target for taggers. He will still get stacks of possessions, tackles, clearances, and should benefit from being part of a stronger midfield. I believe Travis Johnstone is going to be the trade of the season. The ex-Demon was always the prime target for taggers, and never really got the stats he deserved. With Black in the team, he won’t have to worry about taggers anymore, so I’d expect his stats to spike. He is a very dangerous kick, which will only benefit the Brown/Bradshaw forwardline even more. The wraps on 19yr old Matthew Leuenberger has been enormous. The no.4 draft pick of 2006 has been earmarked as the best ruck prospect in the last 10 years, and drawn comparisons to Dean Cox. He played 9 games last year (which makes him eligible for this year’s Rising Star Award) with only minimal gametime. He didn’t achieve too many stats last year, so he’ll have a great 2nd year price on him. I have named him 2nd ruck to Charman, but don’t be surprised if he finishes the year as Brisbane’s no.1 ruckman. Full-forward Daniel Bradshaw is set to return to the lineup after missing the entire season with a knee reconstruction. The 29yr old hasn’t done a full pre-season, so his fitness is a bit behind the rest of the squad. Brisbane is saying he’ll be right by rd3 but could miss the opening two rounds. Bradshaw is a 50+ goalkicker who is well underpriced.
smokeys: 21yr old Justin Sherman had an horrendous season with injury/illness last year. 768pts from 14 games (ave. 54.86ppg) is well below his 1912pts of 2006 (ave. 86.91ppg). I doubt he’ll be playing the same halfback flank role of 2006, but I suspect he’ll be playing part-time-forward/part-time-midfield, and unfortunately he’s been misclassified (ouch). Nevertheless, he’s an exciting young player who has been a proven pick in the past, and is well underpriced. Possibly the smokey of all smokeys has to be Jared Brennan. He is one of the most exciting enigmatic players in the competition. He can play a number of positions, but he has been starting pre-season games in the forwardline. I anticipate he will play as a loose 3rd tall across half-forward and could be somewhat of a Brad Fisher or Kayne Pettifer.
cash cows: 19yr old Albert Proud (nicknamed “punch”) was taken at pick no.22 in the 2006 draft. He is a tough hard player in the Byron Pickett mould, and played 2 games last year. He is on the verge of playing a lot more senior games this year. You’ll find him in the “backs” priced just above base. The no.8 draft pick of 2007 Lachlan Henderson made an impression in rd1 of the Nab Cup against Essendon by kicking goals and providing a target. The tall forward is listed at 195cm and could debut rd1 in the absence of Bradshaw.
CARLTON
The Blues are the sleeping giant of the competition. The arrival of Chris Judd has sent a wave of euphoria through Carlton supporters as they realise they will no longer be a bottom side. Add a fit Nick Stevens plus 2007 no.1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer to the side, and you’ve got yourself a finals contender. Coach Brett Ratten plays high stats football. They’ve got a fantastic midfield, and I wonder if the 500 possession barrier can be pushed by this mob. Plenty of good buys here!
FB – Gibbs, O’Hailpin, Thornton
HB – Walker, Waite, Houlihan
C – Murphy, Carrazzo, Simpson
HF – (Hadley), Fisher, Pfeiffer
FF – Betts, Fevola, Kreuzer
R – Hampson, Judd, Scotland
i/c – Cloke, Stevens, Bentick, Russell
big guns: Andrew Carrazzo was one of eight players to crack to magical 2200pts and average 100ppg in all 22 games. He spent the entire season playing in the centre whilst misclassified as a “back”. I was lucky enough to go a Carlton game last year and thought he had a pretty quite day… so I open up the paper the next morning to check the stats, only to discover he had 35pos 8tackles 7clearances (whaaaaa???). I quickly learnt this guy is absolute gold in dreamteams. He is a stats-machine who is not worth tagging (excellent!!). Heath Scotland was the 9th highest scoring player in dreamteam with 2197pts (averaging 99.86ppg). He’s predominantly a midfielder who plays a kick behind play around halfback. This is a great way to escape the tag! His is also a pinpoint accurate kick of the ball – none of his possessions are junk. Scotland was ranked no.2 in the competition for disposals in 2007, yet was unbelievably left out of the All-Australian shortlist.
hot prospects: The best player in the competition Chris Judd has come down in price. His struggle with osteitis pubis wrecked his stats in the later stages of 2007, only to finish with 1530pts from 18 games (average 85.00ppg). His pre-season has been a slow process, but Carlton expects he’ll be right for rd1. Judd has been made captain of his new club and is eager to lead the Blues new-look midfield. I think he’s more suited to SuperCoach though. 28yr old Nick Stevens came close to ending up in a wheelchair last year after fracturing his neck. Now, he is up and running in pre-season and set to return to the Carlton midfield. He used to be Carlton’s no.1 midfielder, and would usually draw opposition taggers. This year, I foresee a role coming off the bench (a bit like Scott Burns). He will be severely underpriced because he only played 3 games last year. 20yr old midfielder Marc Murphy is set to lift his stats. The 2005 no.1 draft pick copped opposition taggers on a regular basis last year in the absence of Nick Stevens. The inclusions of Judd and Stevens will free him up immensely, and Murphy has shown signs of ball magnetism over his first two seasons. It’s good news for 19yr old Bryce Gibbs also. The 2006 no.1 draft pick is said to spend more time in the midfield. He played small back pocket in 2007, and didn’t get many stats. However, a recent display of 30pos against Hawthorn in the Nab Cup shows his true stat potential. I struggle to see a permanent spot in the midfield for Gibbs, so, decided to leave him in the backline. He will have an attractive 2nd year price on him (unfortunately listed as a “centre”). And let’s not forget about key forward Brendan Fevola – arguably the best full-forward in the competition. He dreadfully underperformed last year with just 1349pts from 19 games (average 71.00ppg). His price will be well below par, and he ought to shine with Judd’s delivery into the forwardline. You can expect more marks and goals from the Fev this year.
smokey: Key position player Jarrad Waite has been given the responsibility of playing a full season at CHB by coach Brett Ratten. Although it’s not the best place for stats, Waite has got a big tank and can cover a lot of ground. He is a very influential player who can take marks, and is versatile enough to play forward. His pre-season form suggests he’ll be a contender for All-Australian. Statswise, he could be worth a punt.
cash cows: 21yr old Dennis Armfield was taken as a mature age recruit at pick no.46 of the 2007 draft. He caught my eye in the Nab Cup as someone who could play off the bench, and I expect him to get some games this year. 20yr old Shaun Hampson has done a huge pre-season and is seriously vying for Carlton’s no.1 ruck spot. He was taken at pick no.17 in the 2006 draft (the 2nd ruck behind Leuenberger that year) and played 2 games last year. He will be cheaper and better than Kreuzer! All the smart people will buy him, so I suggest you get on board. 20yr old ex-Crow Darren Pfeiffer has made a super impressive Nab Cup debut for his new club. He is listed as a min wage back, but is set for a role in the forwardline. I think this kid will start rd1 and play every game. He comes highly recommended. The 2007 no.1 draft pick Matthew Kreuzer is also likely to feature in most games. Even though he’s a known ruck prospect, I think he’ll spend more time up forward. Brad Fisher will miss the first 4 rounds of the season with a thumb injury, and Kreuzer is the most logical choice to fill the void.



