AFL 2024 - AFL ROUND 6

[balmainforever]

 

[AFLFootyChick]

Bloody overrated yet if he were a free agent clubs would line up with 8 year offers. The mind boggles

Yep, agree! He'll play a decent game now and then, but the mediocre outweighs the good and he is injury prone.

From previous posts...

On the Charlie Cameron suspension. Brisbane are appealing. Not surprised.

Carlton injuries, aside from McGovern and Saad, Cerra also has a hammie injury.

 

[taurus]

I went arbitrage on Carlton vs GWS.
$2.35 on Carlton u40 @Ladbrokes
$2.45 on GWS U40 @ Sportsbet.

 

[_ASP3X]

I went arbitrage on Carlton vs GWS.
$2.35 on Carlton u40 @Ladbrokes
$2.45 on GWS U40 @ Sportsbet.

Not really an arbitrage when all outcomes aren't covered.

Also, could have taken either team less than 39.5 on SB for $1.24 for a better return?

 

[BuddysBiggestFan]

Don’t mind Georgiadis and Curtis odds on 365 for this round

 

[taurus]

Not really an arbitrage when all outcomes aren't covered.

Also, could have taken either team less than 39.5 on SB for $1.24 for a better return?

Fair point. I didn't see that.
I'm comfortable with u40 outcome.

 

[BloodRet]

Daniels 2-5 @2.75, 7, 23, 81 dabble
Carlton absolutely leak against small forwards. Also on Greene train

 

[kicksome]

Oscar baker had a couple chances on the weekend, and last time he played saints he kicked 1.1 when doggies only kicked 41 points total
Ags $2.70
2+ $19
3+ $126

B365
Sucker for punishment

 

[jikost]

Marshall AGS @ $3.50 pb - Bit of a gamble but Ross keeps mentioning bringing in another ruck to help out Marshall and coming off a 5 day break with King potentially out I think this might be the week they bring in Campbell or Hayes to allow Marshall to spend time resting forward.

2+ @ $21

 

[McCluggages Luggage]

Fair point. I didn't see that.
I'm comfortable with u40 outcome.

Ladbrokes have the best odds on the either side unders, especially the under 39, Tab has an either side under 30 line that is usually around 1.50-60.

I've tried the streak betting method with them, as in rolling each winning into the next one and trying to be selective with them. It doesn't take long before it goes ass up.

 

[TryAnHit]

Marshall AGS @ $3.50 pb - Bit of a gamble but Ross keeps mentioning bringing in another ruck to help out Marshall and coming off a 5 day break with King potentially out I think this might be the week they bring in Campbell or Hayes to allow Marshall to spend time resting forward.

2+ @ $21

Hes been saying bringing in another ruck for a year now

 

[jikost]

Hes been saying bringing in another ruck for a year now

This is the week!

 

[pacemaker]

WCE +34.5 & North +17.5
$3.61 PB

 

[pacemaker]

The cowards bet - either team by u19.5

St kilda v WB
Collingwood v Port
Carlton v GWS
Brisbane v Geelong

$19.99 SB

 

[fpm84]

Each player to kick 2+:

D Fogarty
Marshall
Daniels
Stengle
Walter
Curtis
@128.48 Lads

 

[freo_leo29]

Going again on one touch Sellers

AGS @2
2+ @5
3+ @15
4+@51

All TAB

 

[BloodRet]

SPP 2
Langford 2
Daniels 2
Bailey 2
Papley 2
@37.25

 

[dontlimitme]

damn its starting to begin again where you initially look at opening odds and nothing really truly stands out i want round 1 back

 

[pacemaker]

Kai Lohmann Anytime Goalscorer
Tom Emmett Anytime Goalscorer
Jamie Cripps

15

Jamie Cripps

Age

32

Ht

184cm

Wt

83kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

12.7

3star

K

7.9

3star

HB

4.8

3star

M

3.6

4star

T

3.9

5star

G

1.3

5star

D

10.3

3star

K

6.3

3star

HB

4.0

3star

M

2.4

3star

T

2.4

3star

G

0.4

3star

D

6.4

2star

K

4.2

2star

HB

2.2

2star

M

1.0

1star

T

2.4

4star

G

1.4

5star

Anytime Goalscorer
Paul Curtis Anytime Goalscorer
Dylan Moore

13

Dylan Moore

Age

24

Ht

177cm

Wt

77kg

Pos.

Fwd

Career

Season

Last 5

D

11.9

3star

K

5.1

2star

HB

6.7

4star

M

4.4

4star

T

2.9

4star

G

0.3

3star

No current season stats available

D

12.2

3star

K

6.0

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.8

5star

G

0.4

3star

Anytime Goalscore

$6.45 PB

 

[NYRB]

AFL Thursday Night Football. Sportsbet Free Hit on the Same Game Multi.

Saints v Bulldogs
Sam Darcy 2+ Goals
Ugle-Hagan Anytime Goalscorer 1st Half
Ugle-Hagan Anytime Goalscorer 2nd half
Western Bulldogs with a +40.5 handicap
Rowan Marshall

19

Rowan Marshall

Age

28

Ht

201cm

Wt

105kg

Pos.

Ruck

Career

Season

Last 5

D

15.4

4star

K

8.8

3star

HB

6.6

4star

CL

3.4

5star

HO

20.2

5star

D

12.9

3star

K

9.3

4star

HB

3.6

2star

CL

2.8

4star

HO

17.8

5star

D

10.6

3star

K

5.8

3star

HB

4.8

4star

CL

1.0

3star

HO

7.8

5star

Anytime Goalscorer
Odds: $19.25

Adelaide v Essendon
Fogarty 2+ Goals
Xavier Duursma

28

Xavier Duursma

Age

23

Ht

186cm

Wt

82kg

Pos.

Mid

Career

Season

Last 5

D

18.5

5star

K

10.0

4star

HB

8.5

5star

M

5.4

5star

T

2.1

4star

CL

1.6

4star

D

13.0

3star

K

8.8

4star

HB

4.3

3star

M

3.8

4star

T

2.3

3star

CL

0.5

3star

D

16.8

4star

K

8.4

4star

HB

8.4

5star

M

4.8

5star

T

2.0

4star

CL

1.6

4star

Anytime Goalscorer
Under 175.5 Points
Odds: $10

 

[NYRB]

And tailing Daisys SGM for a bit of fun.



Got odds of $16.65 on the Boost

 

[NYRB]

JUH 2+ Goals
Sam Darcy 2+ Goals
Marshall Anytime Goalscorer

Odds $15.38 at PointsBet

(Bet refund if 1 leg fails)

In case the Saints win by 7 goals or JUH has a half where he lapses, which is slightly less riskier than the above leg.

 

[sohohoho]

Fair point. I didn't see that.
I'm comfortable with u40 outcome.

and if its a draw?

In general the 1-39 prices are terrible value in all games due to the distribution of margins in AFL.

 

[bulletride]

Swallow kicked 3 in just over a quarter coming on as the sub to play forward replacing Rosas. With Rosas out this week he could be a chance to get a full game in the role. Obviously a chance he starts sub again which will void the bet so seems pretty low risk. Ben Long

22

Ben Long

Age

26

Ht

186cm

Wt

81kg

Pos.

Def

Career

Season

Last 5

D

10.9

3star

K

6.2

2star

HB

4.7

3star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.7

4star

MG

166.8

3star

D

12.8

3star

K

6.7

3star

HB

6.2

4star

M

3.3

3star

T

2.3

3star

MG

129.0

2star

D

13.4

4star

K

6.8

3star

HB

6.6

4star

M

3.2

4star

T

3.2

5star

MG

223.0

4star

did kick 5 in the VFL so he could replace Rosas as he did against the Dogs but he's a ******* potato.

AGS $2.50
2+ $12
3+ $51
PB

 

[dontlimitme]

Swallow kicked 3 in just over a quarter coming on as the sub to play forward replacing Rosas. With Rosas out this week he could be a chance to get a full game in the role. Obviously a chance he starts sub again which will void the bet so seems pretty low risk. Ben Long did kick 5 in the VFL so he could replace Rosas as he did against the Dogs but he's a ******* potato.

AGS $2.50
2+ $12
3+ $51
PB

tailed

 

[freo_leo29]

Swallow kicked 3 in just over a quarter coming on as the sub to play forward replacing Rosas. With Rosas out this week he could be a chance to get a full game in the role. Obviously a chance he starts sub again which will void the bet so seems pretty low risk. Ben Long did kick 5 in the VFL so he could replace Rosas as he did against the Dogs but he's a ******* potato.

AGS $2.50
2+ $12
3+ $51
PB

Tried to tail but pb down again lol