Thanks 2u petrie > danniher @ 1.6
AFL 2014 ROUND 1
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1U - North Melbourne & Over 197.5 @ 2.60 (Centrebet)
1U - Petrie vs Daniher @ 1.60 (Centrebet)
1U - Watson Over 28.5 possessions @ 1.90 (Centrebet)
North is my tip for the game and the total scores should be over 200. Thinking I might add another unit to that. Thanks to Atavistic for the Petrie bet, like that. And now for my contribution, Watson has had over 28.5 in 4 out of the last 5 games against North with the one under being 28. Always likes playing against them and has had some good preseason form. Might add another unit to that as well yet.
EDIT: Adding 1U - Brent Stanton Over 103.5 DT @ 1.87 (Luxbet)
1U - Petrie vs Daniher @ 1.60 (Centrebet)
1U - Watson Over 28.5 possessions @ 1.90 (Centrebet)
North is my tip for the game and the total scores should be over 200. Thinking I might add another unit to that. Thanks to Atavistic for the Petrie bet, like that. And now for my contribution, Watson has had over 28.5 in 4 out of the last 5 games against North with the one under being 28. Always likes playing against them and has had some good preseason form. Might add another unit to that as well yet.
EDIT: Adding 1U - Brent Stanton Over 103.5 DT @ 1.87 (Luxbet)
Last edited:
iluvparis
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When 90% of the bets you see on a match are punters backing their own team to win you know its probably a no-bet game.
jefffff34
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Brent Harvey to have more disposals than Dyson Heppell
Drew Petrie to kick at least three goals
Ryan Bastinac to have more disposals than David Zaharakis
Brent Harvey to have at least 30 disposals
$10 to return $555
Drew Petrie to kick at least three goals
Ryan Bastinac to have more disposals than David Zaharakis
Brent Harvey to have at least 30 disposals
$10 to return $555
Jobe Watson FGS @ 23
happy punter
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kainomac
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The game was 50/50 at the beginning and i realise i should have left out the second bet but punting is punting.
Watson cleaned up very nicely! Very surprised that north put up such a weak fight.
YTD: 2/3 stakes
I'm up 0.9 Units
Not a great night
Season Thus Far 3 - 0 - 3, Units Staked: 6, Units Won: 5.72. Overall: -.28U
iluvparis
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Nothing
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Back the umps.
iluvparis
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Norm Smith Medallist
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I bypassed the draw joke because I thought it a bit too passé.
I reckon you will too in the morning.
HurlsMeister18
Club Legend
I should stay away from the small exotics even though they are fun to watch
Cleaned up nicely with my main bet, had a dip on us at $2.45 at lunchtime and when they got out to $2.95 I couldn't help myself and had another go
Seeing Dusty getting chaired off after a win in his record breaking game made my night
Anyone else think Melbourne are good things tomorrow night? (yes, that was strange to type!)
I just don't see how St Kilda can overcome being without Hayes, Montagna and Steven in the midfield - and obviously, Dal Santo is no longer there either.
I know that Melbourne have their issues up forward, but I figure that their obvious superiority in midfield should mean that they generate enough attacking opportunities to kick a winning score. The Saints are also without their best defender in Sam Fisher.
In Riewoldt, St Kilda clearly has the best forward on the ground, but there surely have to be questions as to whether the Saints can get the ball down there enough.
The other potential factor in Melbourne's favour is Paul Roos - it is his first game in charge of his new team, but he has plenty of experience and is coaching against a bloke who will be coaching his first game at AFL level.
I know that Melbourne haven't won at Etihad Stadium in years, but will they ever face a weaker side at the venue?
I just reckon Melbourne would have to REALLY stuff this up to lose this game. It's difficult to have complete faith in a team that has won so rarely over recent years but this really is a game they should be winning.
Thoughts?
I just don't see how St Kilda can overcome being without Hayes, Montagna and Steven in the midfield - and obviously, Dal Santo is no longer there either.
I know that Melbourne have their issues up forward, but I figure that their obvious superiority in midfield should mean that they generate enough attacking opportunities to kick a winning score. The Saints are also without their best defender in Sam Fisher.
In Riewoldt, St Kilda clearly has the best forward on the ground, but there surely have to be questions as to whether the Saints can get the ball down there enough.
The other potential factor in Melbourne's favour is Paul Roos - it is his first game in charge of his new team, but he has plenty of experience and is coaching against a bloke who will be coaching his first game at AFL level.
I know that Melbourne haven't won at Etihad Stadium in years, but will they ever face a weaker side at the venue?
I just reckon Melbourne would have to REALLY stuff this up to lose this game. It's difficult to have complete faith in a team that has won so rarely over recent years but this really is a game they should be winning.
Thoughts?
Powelly190
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Sitting nicely so far with some good punts to come.
Not to disappointed with $100free bet loss on Caddy most disposals group B @ 7$ Will take this line every week if it remains the same. As i expected he is going to play a large role in the midfield this year. He fell marginally short and still managed to gather 20 possessions after spending a large chunk of time off the ground in order to receive 7 stitches to the head from a nasty knock.
1.5u Steve Johnson MD Group 1 @ $3
1u Jobe Watson MD Group 1 @ $3
1.5u David Zaharakis MD Group 2 @ $4
Still to come:
2u on Liam Shiels MD group 2 @4.5
1u on Sam Mitchell MD group 1 @3.5
1.5 on Bernie Vince MD group 1 @4.5
Confident in nailing 2/3 of my remaining punts and increasing my 13u profit from the 1st week of round 1
Not to disappointed with $100free bet loss on Caddy most disposals group B @ 7$ Will take this line every week if it remains the same. As i expected he is going to play a large role in the midfield this year. He fell marginally short and still managed to gather 20 possessions after spending a large chunk of time off the ground in order to receive 7 stitches to the head from a nasty knock.
1.5u Steve Johnson MD Group 1 @ $3
1u Jobe Watson MD Group 1 @ $3
1.5u David Zaharakis MD Group 2 @ $4
Still to come:
2u on Liam Shiels MD group 2 @4.5
1u on Sam Mitchell MD group 1 @3.5
1.5 on Bernie Vince MD group 1 @4.5
Confident in nailing 2/3 of my remaining punts and increasing my 13u profit from the 1st week of round 1
happy punter
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Hawks 1-39 over Lions @ 2.75 (1 unit)
Where is this obvious superiority in the midfield you talk about?
Still the worst midfield in the comp.
balmainforever
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Thinking that there'll be no more roughies winning
Haw over39.5
melb over39.5
WCst over39.5
20-1
Haw over39.5
melb over39.5
WCst over39.5
20-1
HurlsMeister18
Club Legend
You could always analyse the game yourself and then make a decision if you want to bet or not.
happy punter
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That would be too logical.
Had a good night with the Bombers getting up and Zaharakis getting a lot of the ball.
Will tally it all up at the end of the Round 1 so as to not clog up the thread.
Hawthorn Hawks vs. Brisbane Lions:
2U - Redden > Roughead DT @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
1U - D Zorko > 78.5 DT @ $1.87 (Luxbet)
1U - Brisbane +46.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)
Will tally it all up at the end of the Round 1 so as to not clog up the thread.
Hawthorn Hawks vs. Brisbane Lions:
2U - Redden > Roughead DT @ $1.88 (Sportsbet)
1U - D Zorko > 78.5 DT @ $1.87 (Luxbet)
1U - Brisbane +46.5 @ $1.93 (Bet365)
- Not sold on the Hawks continuing their ripping pre-season form, have seen too many cases of teams dominating in the pre-season and then sluggish to start with.
- Was actually thinking that the Lions might cause an upset.
- Lions actually have a very good midfield in Rockliff, Redden, Rich, Zorko.
- This team shouldn't be getting a 46-point start in Round 1 of 2014, they took down the Bombers at Etihad last year and almost got on top of the Cats (Inconsequential game for the Cats I know).
- Redden has had a good pre-season and think he will thrive under a coach/Black's departure. Conditions not great down at Tassie so can't see Roughead scoring taking too many marks/scoring goals.
- Zorko should get more time in the midfield this year and 78 is a low line.
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How the hell did Ziebel not manage to score more than a ruckman with one arm
kainomac
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1U Hawks HT/FT Double @ 1.24
1U Vince >87.5 DT @ 1.75
1U Melbourne SU @ 1.67
While I am a rather new to punting (mainly just for fun but I do try to make some smart bets), it definitely makes watching the game even more fun than it already is and gives me the chance to take a new outlook on the game.
1U Vince >87.5 DT @ 1.75
1U Melbourne SU @ 1.67
While I am a rather new to punting (mainly just for fun but I do try to make some smart bets), it definitely makes watching the game even more fun than it already is and gives me the chance to take a new outlook on the game.
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