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Recent content by gnostic

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    Judd will win the brownlow.

    I'm offering 30-1 for Judd to win the Brownlow at www.betfair.com. Please come over and take the odds, I need the money. Judd won't even win the Carlton team votes let alone beat home the rest of the competition.
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    Brownlow Team Votes - Value Bets

    I'm offering 30 to 1 for Judd to win the Brownlow at www.betfair.com... I'm also offering 1.40 for Judd to win the Carlton team votes, because he won't. Please come and donate the money to me. He has no chance.
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    A Brownlow Multi Bet

    Please do put some dollars on him with me over at www.betfair.com... I have him 28-1 at the moment, so please come and donate to me. Alternatively you could look at the spreadsheet analysis that I've developed and you could save your cash for a more intelligent bet, like Pavlich for a place...
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    A Brownlow Multi Bet

    I've said it before and I'll say it again. People that put Chris Judd in their multi's are crazy. Stevens or Murphy are good chances to beat him this year. Judd is unlikely to poll over 14 votes...
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    Brownlow Punting - Big Odds

    Your Bartel/Harvey bet is solid. Great value is Pavlich at $19 for a place on Betfair....
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    Official 2008 BigFooty Brownlow Poll - $100 prize winner announced!

    Re: Official 2008 BigFooty Brownlow Poll - $100 prize! Here's the result of Brownlow... I've put it on 24 hours early to help the punters out there. :p Harvey Pavlich Cooney Bartel Ablett
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    Chris Judd. Brownlow Medal Votes (Round by Round)

    Round 1: Richmond (Loss) ----0 Round 2: St.Kilda (Loss) ------0 Round 3: Essendon (Loss) ----2 Don't think so Round 4: Collingwood (Win)---3 God No. Unlikely to get votes. Round 5: Melbourne (Win) ----3 (Matchwinner, him and Fev standouts) Round 6: Adelaide (Loss) -----0 Round 7: West Coast...
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    Best Brownlow bets

    Thanks to all that have provided feedback for the Needham analysis spreadsheet. I've been telling people that it was basically up to them to interpret the spreadsheet, but I've done a quick assessment based upon the approximate weighting I'd give. The results were as follows: Harvey 26...
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    Brownlow Punting

    You should be worried about Judd as well. Murphy and Stevens will poll well. The spreadsheet analysis that I did shows that Judd is a reasonable chance to poll in 6 rounds, whereas for Murphy and Stevens it's 5 rounds each. Plus, in my brownlow analysis I also allocate outside chances... of...
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    Brownlow Punting

    I'm offering 1.33 on Ablett getting a place right now on www.betfair.com.... that's pretty good value!
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    Best Brownlow bets

    Got to agree with comments regarding Black leading after round 11. In my spreadsheet analysis (to which everybody is welcome to look at. Just send me your email address...), you can see clearly that Cooney and Black dominate. $4 seems like juicy odds to me.
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    Leaked: Brownlow 2008 winner.

    I don't agree and I'm offering 2.62 for Ablett to win and 1.33 for Ablett to place on Betfair at the moment. If everyone is so confident, come and get some easy cash!
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    Champion Data Predicted Brownlow Result

    A lot of us got it right last year. Bartel was no long shot. I would of thought that Bruce beating Black was case enough, what else do you need to say. On my spreadsheet I have him as a chance to poll in 9 out of the first 11 games... that is not going to result in only 8 votes, I can assure you.
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    Champion Data Predicted Brownlow Result

    Sorry, but if you take the Champion Data count seriously you're going to take a big hit come Monday night. Champion Data has Bruce (9) beating Black (8)!!! I've done a probability analysis of each round and put it into a spreadsheet (happy to share if people want a look) and I can assure...
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    The Brownlow Guru speaks again

    I love it. I love that somebody's put themselve's out there. Love your work... but Issues are as follows: Harvey at 6.32, these seems long. Especially against Bartel. Pavlich at 22 for a place is way too long. Will find it interesting if you're right, but the spreadsheet that I've developed...
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