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Recent content by lightred

  1. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    I'm warming to Al Riffa. Do you still have him your top selection ? Did they increase all the weights by 1kg this year? I.e. whilst he is carrying 59kg, it's the equivalent of 58kg in prior years in relative terms. Gold trip won with 57.5kg and VE with 57kg so whilst he would be defying some...
  2. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    I was on him last year, and jumping off this year with more weight.... So he should win now 😂
  3. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    Buckaroo was in quick sand last year for the last 200m. With a more economical run, let's say he runs top 3. He still needs to carry 57kg, that is 2.5kg more than last year, so he will probably need to be 5L better. I love buckaroo but I am surprised he is so short in the market.
  4. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    Thanks. Wow, so Al Riffa needs to be around 16L better than Valiant King to beat him. VK was 5.5L off the winner last year and he was running like a busted bum heading into the race last year.
  5. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    8kg weight difference between Al Riffa and Valiant King. Do you guys think that equates to about 8L over 3200m? Trying to work out the task that lies ahead of Al Riffa with 59kg
  6. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    I feel as though the odds the bookies put up these days suck! If you like Valiant King for example, do you take $8 or $9 now in the ALL IN market or wait until final field. Seems to just keep going lower.
  7. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    He also said Vauban would win the CC & all the other imports had no hope...
  8. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    Its weird, he says he can't back it for two reasons but out of respect to the owners he didn't want to say it.
  9. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    Haha! I'm thinking the same. His last two runs have been so impressive. It's amazing how horses can just find form suddenly. Watched his MC run last year and it wasn't too bad considering he was in horrible form leading up to that race. Very keen on presage nocturn too. Got him at $34 for the...
  10. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    Who do you guys think is the top melb cup chance at the moment? I don't see too much changing with the remaining races to play out from now until cup day
  11. L

    Racing Caulfield Cup 2025

    Really keen to see Presage Nocturn - hope he runs well
  12. L

    Racing Caulfield Cup 2025

    Half yours will be too good and start one of the lightweight favourites for the Melbourne Cup
  13. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    There's a bit of love for Middle Earth - I know his best work has been at 2400+ but is there any concern that he seems to lack a turn of foot? in the Turnbull most of the other horses were closing faster than him over the last 200m even though he saved ground on the rails
  14. L

    Racing Melbourne Cup 2025

    He really flew home in the bart Cummings and was only 2nd up, off a 1500m first up run. Gets in with a very light weight. Maybe he has a bit more improvement/fitness to come? Watched his MC run last year and was about 5L off the winner after drawing a wide gate and being 3 wide allot of the...
  15. L

    Racing Caulfield Cup 2025

    Half yours CC / MC double?
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