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  1. beert

    Is Sydney for real?

    To add to the assessment, people are ignoring our injury list, which is the shortest it has been I n years and nothing like last year when we had about 10 of our starting 22 out. We do have some handy depth players we can bring in to have a shot, like this Franklin kid, not to mention...
  2. beert

    Why don't we remove Academy and Father son picks all together.

    It’s probably going to end up something like that, the way the academy and f/s discounts keep getting scaled back. Just curious - Has there ever been a situation with a club having two first-round academy picks? Gulden was talked about as a potential first-rounder, but ended up well into second.
  3. beert

    What's been your favourite moment ever as a footy fan?

    I think you had won eight of your previous 10 games or something like that, after a very poor start to the had to win this one to make the finals and did it. Pouring rain too, IIRC. And I believe that was one of Toby Nankervis' early games (maybe his 2nd or 3rd) for the Swans - you obviously...
  4. beert

    Preview AFL 2018 - Finals Week 1

    Feeling very confident now that Gold Coast are out.
  5. beert

    Sydney vs Hawthorn SCG Saturday Night - Double Chance at Stake

    I sat next to a Hawks fan and his kid at the SCG in round 22 2012. He wasn't interested much in chatting, in fact he looked pretty dirty at quarter time when Sydney were 4.3.27 to Hawthorn's 0.1.1. But he seemed a decent enough guy and he had cheered up quite a bit by the end of the game.
  6. beert

    Sydney vs Hawthorn SCG Saturday Night - Double Chance at Stake

    I remember an American visitor, on being told before the game that Buddy was our superstar player said "Who? The fat guy?". I do sometimes think to myself that he must not have to do skin folds. My question is whether the Hawks / Swans rivalry is bigger than the West Coast / Sydney rivalry...
  7. beert

    Clubs you remember your club destroying

    Sydney vs Geelong at the SCG in 2014 when we won by 110 points. The great thing about this game is that I was getting a lift home with some friends who are Geelong fans...but I was sitting at the other end of the ground from them. I think my first text messages started about quarter time - "If...
  8. beert

    Red cards in AFL?

    One way to reduce incorrect send-offs would be to make the red card for behind-the play incidents only. This means that Cameron gets off for his hit on Andrews, but Gaff, Bugg, Hall etc. go. Perhaps a "black card" (send-off, but player can be replaced) could be used for in-play incidents...
  9. beert

    Alex Johnson to play his first game in 2136 days

    This is pretty much what AJ said in his half time interview with Jude Bolton. Along the lines of "I've always tried to keep perspective. I could still walk around, plenty of others worse off and I got to come in to the club and work with great people, doing stuff that I loved etc." He sounds...
  10. beert

    Worst afl player you've seen (and why)

    Don't forget Luke. You might as well get them all.
  11. beert

    Bottom 4 2019

    It's unlikely for Sydney to finish bottom four, but it's not out of the question. The key thing is our midfield. It's really just held together by Parker and Kennedy at the moment, and if Hannebery is gone, and one or both of those two are injured or badly out of form, then it's going to be a...
  12. beert

    Bulldogs Josh Schache steal, Lion's blinked again.

    Of course, and I do apologise for being facetious. It's just that I do spend a bit of time thinking about how Tom McCartin will turn out, so it was where my mind went straight away. (Tom McCartin's first few games were good, but he's been very quiet ever since. OTOH - he is very young for a...
  13. beert

    Bulldogs Josh Schache steal, Lion's blinked again.

    I'm not that familiar with Schache's game, but McCartin is tracking pretty well considering he's the youngest player in the league :).
  14. beert

    Alex Johnson to play his first game in 2136 days

    12th longest time between VFL/AFL games of all time, and the longest time between games since 1944. In recent years, the next longest is less than 4 years.
  15. beert

    When does the blowtoch get applied to John Longmire?

    It's interesting. I, along with most Swans fans, have always accepted this based on guys like Veszpremi and Lewis Johnstone, but looking back at our draft picks it hasn't been that bad. Part of the problem is that Swans first pick has generally been in the 15-20 range in the past 15 years...
  16. beert

    When does the blowtoch get applied to John Longmire?

    People talk about the Swan's star-studded midfield, but I think it's been our weakest area since 2016. Jack is at the end of his career, Hannebery has been badly hampered by injury and while we have some good grunt in Kennedy & Parker, we've lacked anyone who can really use the ball well in the...
  17. beert

    Norm Smith medalists that shouldn’t have been

    Many people think that Hannebery was unlucky to miss out in 2012. He was certainly very good, but O'Keefe had 15 tackles, which was probably the difference so he certainly deserved it. (If we had players who could lay 15 tackles in a game we might have beaten Hawthorn more often between 2013 and...
  18. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    I notice that while HPN is nearly at the top of the models leaderboard, it is languishing down the bottom when it comes to bits. Does this mean they've just been lucky ie. sitting close to the fence for most games, and just happening to get them right? Or was there an outlier that contributed a...
  19. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    Hey Final Siren, what's going on with the tips? The tipping summary for all the models shows the Squiggle tipping Adelaide by 3, but the Squiggle tips page shows it tipping Freo by 1. Also, the models leaderboard shows squiggle scoring 3/7, but the squiggle tips page shows 5/7 right. (I'm...
  20. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    I feel like the squiggle knows us so well. It tried a few minor adjustments to our position in the first 6 rounds and then just said "nah...they were pretty right where they were". And so here we are. Sydney are the "Squiggle stay-at-homes".
  21. beert

    Buddy - Halfway through his contract and almost at 100 games for the Swans

    Does anyone really think he will play out his entire contract? He's a great player and in great form, but I can't see it happening. Eventually he'll start to lose his speed and mobility and his performance will drop off. I can't see him being another Harvey (either one) or Fletcher. If he...
  22. beert

    Rank the Indigenous Jumpers

    I was going to give it a go, but it was too hard. There are a lot of really strong designs this year. Swans and Carlton both looked great last night, Brisbane's colours are a great fit for indigenous artwork, Eagles, Port, Adelaide and Richmond are fantastic and the most of the others are...
  23. beert

    Callum Mills - Badly broken foot from walking home

    It's a freak injury, but not the freakiest. Wasn't there a soccer player who was ruled out of a tournament after pulling a muscle in his back reaching for the TV remote?
  24. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    The squiggle's out on its own a bit this week, tipping Melbourne over Adelaide (59% probability), although a couple of models have it close. Also a little surprised to see that Hawks v West Coast has split the models, and quite a few are tipping Freo vs North. I guess I'm doing that human...
  25. beert

    Clarkson vs Sydney

    As Longmire mentioned, the proper time for this is at the review the end of the season. Are people so keen on rule changes that we want to change them after Round 8 now? Even an interpretation change is going to be pretty significant. Sadly, I have no confidence in the integrity of the AFL at...
  26. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    There's a reason FMI is at the top of the FMI leaderboard. Nice for Stattraction to get one back on the field as well.
  27. beert

    Certified Legendary Thread The Squiggle is back in 2023 (and other analytics)

    Sorry if I missed this previously, FS, but did you recalculate prior year squiggles for the new algorithm? I'm assuming yes, but would be nice to be sure.
  28. beert

    Hypothetical - What would happen if each team had an unlimited interchange bench?

    I was once picked from the crowd to play a couple of quarters in the back pocket for the Swans as they were a bit short of players. It wasn't the greatest performance by me, but they told me I did pretty well for someone who doesn't play aussie rules. I certainly wasn't terrible. I can't...
  29. beert

    Are We In A Golden Age Of Ruckmen?

    I don't know about "golden age", but it's certainly true that the general vibe of a few years ago that "ruckmen don't contribute much to a team success" and "a team is better with fewer ruckmen - zero is the ideal number" seems to have been overcooked. It's great to see so many of the big guys...
  30. beert

    Are We In A Golden Age Of Ruckmen?

    As a swans fan, I certainly hope that Cox is good at schooling ruckmen.
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