Heath Scotland - No Passengers Player Critique

HEATH SCOTLAND
I think Heater is a great player to discuss this week.
A skilful, roaming player who sets up the play for Carlton from the backline with the license to move up onto the wing if necessary.
He has been arguably the best player for Carlton over the past few seasons.
Collingwood made a big mistake trading him.

As Dream Team coaches, we all know that "midfielders" score a lot more points than any other position.
In saying this, we tend to pick the true midfielders.
The players who play in the guts who are around the ball the most, such as J.Bartel, J.Corey, K.Cornes, etc.
The top players, with the exception of D.Cox (freak) always seem to be midfielders.
With that being said, H.Scotland can argue this point.

There are some huge positives in favour of picking him up right now:
1) He has averaged 100 and 104 in his past two seasons = PREMIUM
2) He has only scored under 80 points 6 times in his past 44 matches = CONSISTENT
3) He has played 85 of his past 88 matches = DURABLE
4) He has dropped $75,800 in price this season = BARGAIN

Put those four points together and you get a durable, consistent premium who is currently valued at a bargain price.
He is very hard to overlook this week.

I am not really worried about his potential to score big as this has already been proven over the past two seasons.
I am not worried about his consistency as he always seems to clock his points up, regardless of his influence on the game.
I am definitely not worried about his injury concerns (touch wood).

What i am worried about?
The inclusion of C.Judd and to a lesser extent, N.Stevens.

My gut tells me that the game style of Carlton this year will rely a lot less on H.Scotland seeing as though their midfield has improved dramatically.
Carlton are playing a lot more attacking football this year and i think they might not use H.Scotland as much to help set up their plays.
This concerns me a lot.

Big discussions on him should take place this week.
He is a very "gutsy" pick this year but at his price and knowing his history, he is just way too hard to overlook.

Re: Player Summary 5: H.Scotland

Will see if he can pull a few games together then may look at him

On one hand, at carlton he isnt getting a tag at all

on the other hand, at carlton he isnt getting as much as he used to

he has coped well with aditions like nick stevens and kouta before, so lets hope he can again

Re: Player Summary 5: H.Scotland

Have to disagree with you on the "wait and see" approach with Scotland Happy. IMO the decision, one way or the other, needs to be made this week. His break even in the 60s means a certain price rise this week so if he is traded in it should be now.

Scotland plays one of the most sought after and prolific roles in DT, the behind the ball midfielder. If you take out the first 3 games of 2006, he actually averaged 107 for this year which is KCornes type numbers, with only 2 games under 97 points (93 and 86).

2007 appeared to have provided role changes thought the course of the year. The first 7 and last 7 games provided 10 of 14 scores over 100 at an average of 109. The middle 8 games had 1 game over 100 and an average of 84.

In watching Scotland this season the first 3 games he had a defensive HBF role however against Collingwood and Melbourne has been released to a running half back / wing role. If this role change continues he is far and away the best value in the competition ATM. The problem is you get no more time to see if this will happen.

The risk really rests with how Ratten chooses to use him. Personally, if I was coaching Carlton I would want the ball in his hands rather than Thornton's at half back.

A definite yes from me if he fits into your team.

Re: Player Summary 5: H.Scotland

Im looking at getting him this week. His consistency in previous years is what Im looking at, because at the moment my midfield has none. I can get 600 one week from it, 400 the next.

As stated above, his role change is the main problem, but from all reports he has returned to his previous role and the Blues are winning. So he should (heres hoping) still average 100 from here on in.

Question -

Would you rather have;

Scotland @ 350k
Mitchell @ 380k
Kornes @ 420k

Re: Player Summary 5: H.Scotland

According to FFGenie, Scotland's b/e this week is actually 75. His forecast price changes each week, over the following 3 weeks, are:
week 1) +$500 2) -$8,900 3) -$9,800 (total expected change over 3 weeks = -$18,200!)

I'll be waiting to see how he goes over the next few weeks. I can afford Kornes this week so, in my mind, Scotland can definitely wait until his role in the "new carlton" is finalised.

(PS. "New Carlton".... Go have a read of the Blues Board. You'd think they were going for back to back premierships!!!)

Re: Player Summary 5: H.Scotland

banana_bus said:

Would you rather have;

Scotland @ 350k
Mitchell @ 380k
Kornes @ 420k

Click to expand...

They are all priced appropriately in my books. Scotland might leap-frog Mitchell if he can keep it up, but if you're building an (ABSOLUTELY ELITE) Dream team, and you want certainty, Kornes is your man in the bargain bin.