AFL Round 16

[TheKanga]

Early odds

North Melbourne - 4.10
vs.
Hawthorn - 1.23

Line - 29.5

Richmond - 1.15
vs.
Brisbane - 5.00

Line - 34.5

GWS - 3.70
vs.
Adelaide - 1.26

Line - 25.5

Gold Coast - 2.25
vs.
Collingwood - 1.60

Line - 8.5

Port Adelaide - 1.27
vs.
Essendon - 3.55

Line - 24.5

Melbourne - 5.50
vs.
Fremantle - 1.13

Line - 38.5

Carlton - 1.13
vs.
St Kilda - 5.50

Line - 38.5

West Coast - 4.00
vs.
Sydney - 1.22

Line - 26.5

Geelong - 1.12
vs.
Western Bulldogs - 5.75

Line - 38.5

 

[TheKanga]

Early thoughts

Hawks line into Hawks 40+ - Should win by between 5-10 goals
Brisbane value at the line and h2h
Gold Coast value at the line and h2h
Port should cover their line easily and smash the bombers
Young dogs will struggle at the Cattery, Geelong should win well.

 

[banana_bus]

Early thoughts

Hawks line into Hawks 40+ - Should win by between 5-10 goals
Brisbane value at the line and h2h
Gold Coast value at the line and h2h
Port should cover their line easily and smash the bombers
Young dogs will struggle at the Cattery, Geelong should win well.

Roos could/can/will win.

Tigers will smash Brisbane.

Agree that Gold Coast, Port, Cats should win.

 

[Zealbee]

Brisbane are value against Richmond.

 

[TheKanga]

Roos could/can/will win.

Tigers will smash Brisbane.

Agree that Gold Coast, Port, Cats should win.

Well no Rioli helps but after seeing the performance against Brisbane i have my doubts.
Will wait to see teams for this one, Scott needs to swing the axe.

Tigers could smash them, the Lions will be full of confidence after their win though.
5.00 seems pretty good value given how poor Richmond have been most of the year.

 

[TheKanga]

Surely Adelaide will dispose of GWS easily, in a round where North and Essendon are playing highly fancied opponents.
They get on level pts with North and overtake us on percentage.

 

[Sunny_]

Suns are likely to be without Harbrow. Tips the scales further into Pies favour.

 

[Quad22]

Jeez that's a short line in the GWS/Crows game. Good value there for the Crows to go over, always seem to flog them as well

 

[TheKanga]

Multi

Hawthorn (-28.5)
Adelaide (-26.5)
Port Adelaide (-24.5)
Geelong (-38.5)

1u @ 11.71

 

[bombers21]

North at line looks good early. As does Collingwood and Essendon

 

[Willzzz]

Early AFL Bet:

1.5U – North Melbourne +27.5 @ $1.90 (Betstar)
1U – North Melbourne +27.5 @ $1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

[Keystone agony]

I like north aswell especially at etihad stadium.

Gold Coast are the other team I fancy at home they have been very good and collingwood arent going that great.

 

[Nelso]

Surely Adelaide will dispose of GWS easily, in a round where North and Essendon are playing highly fancied opponents.
They get on level pts with North and overtake us on percentage.

Beware of the Showdown letdown. Both teams always struggle to back up after the Showdown.

And the Crows are due for a loss this week in their current win one week, lose the next week cycle

 

[Keystone agony]

Beware of the Showdown letdown. Both teams always struggle to back up after the Showdown.

And the Crows are due for a loss this week in their current win one week, lose the next week cycle

That and GWS Have been good For 5 weeks now

 

[Small Moves]

Couple of ones that stick out to me after 5 minutes of research.

Melbourne vs Fremantle OVER 148.5 @ 1.88 looks alright. Hard to judge this year, but Fremantle has really blown Melbourne out of the water and restricted them from scoring over the past couple of years.

MEL 38 FRE 133
FRE 130 MEL 40
FRE 101 MEL 40

Also like Adelaide -22.5 @ 1.92 for obvious reasons. They just seem to be able to belt GWS every time.

ADE 137 GWS 72
GWS 52 ADE 187
GWS 59 ADE 178

 

[Jay-Z]

Both Melbourne and Freo have gone unders on the TMP line a ridiculous amount this year. But still 148 seems low to me

Sent from my Nokia 3210

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

Why can't i support my comments with the stats as a reference?

A new member, 3 posts, all pimping another site just wants to link to it to back up his comments

Check out the rules, stickied at the top of this forum. Point 4:

* Posting or spamming of any messages of an advertising nature is not tolerated. Ask the mods if you're unsure or would like special permission.

 

[Chism]

Why can't i support my comments with the stats as a reference?

Because you are linking to an external bookies site.

Admin will decide your fate now.

 

[Keystone agony]

2U A.Walker >0.5 Goals @3.00 (Sportsbet)
Has been playing forward more of late and kicked one goal in 2 of his last 3 games. Playing Stkilda i give him a very good chance.

1.5U Gold Coast 1-39 @2.80 (Betstar)

0.5U Brisbane +36.5 @1.92 (Sportsbet)

 

[Sketi]

Yeah thought the Gold Coast / Pies odds would be more even tbh, especially seeing Gold Coast's convincing victory last year.

 

[DangerSloane]

Just a note on Port v Essendon.
Port could be without Trengrove and Carlisle....
This would be big trouble against the combo of Carlisle, Danniher etc for Essendon.

 

[Nelso]

Just a note on Port v Essendon.
Port could be without Trengrove and Carlisle....
This would be big trouble against the combo of Carlisle, Danniher etc for Essendon.

We have Hombsch and Jonas to fill their spots and Clurey will come into the team.

And the tandem of Carlisle and Daniher is really tearing the competition apart this season

 

[DangerSloane]

We have Hombsch and Jonas to fill their spots and Clurey will come into the team.

And the tandem of Carlisle and Daniher is really tearing the competition apart this season

I wasnt having a go mate. If i wasnt a crows supporter i doubt u wouldve responded in that manner.
Trengrove and Carlisle are mighty important for you guys.

Fact is you'll go in undermanned defensively. Clurey has played how many games? Surely its something you have to factor in when betting on the match.

 

[Keystone agony]

Will be undermanned and undersized in defence. From memory jonas, clurey and co arent that massive compared to the size of carlisle, daniher and maybe to stretch them bellchambers comes in. However all 3 as said are hardly destroying opposition defenders

 

[Kynge of Begrem]

Because you are linking to an external bookies site.

Admin will decide your fate now.