Knightmare
Brownlow Medallist
- Sep 22, 2010
- 19,533
- 19,542
- AFL Club
- Collingwood
- Other Teams
- Chicago Bulls
- Banned
- #1
Just a couple of questions for those stats nuts out there.
Doing some statistical research on which areas of statistical dominance best influence winning and looking at areas which perhaps haven't been appreciated as much or considered as much as they possibly should in recruiting decisions by clubs - using similar ideas to the book/film moneyball, but applying those theories to AFL as best I can and using my own interpretation first starting with team concepts, and if I get successful trends then perhaps I might look at specific undervalued players and potential draft prospects.
Does anyone have any data on total long kicks and total short kicks?
Also would have an interest in collecting data on kicking efficiency by team on long kicks and kicking efficiency by team of short kicks.
Some other stats by team I would also have interest in acquiring include: meters gained (through running with the footy), total tackles inside 50, total hitouts to advantage + % to advantage, marks off opposition kicks, total spoils.
The other big thing, while harder to calculate, total production of direct opponent. So disposals, goals, marks, basically all stats against that player directly. With the trend of players not going head to head and not sticking with the same matchups due to rotations this might be one of the more difficult ones to correctly record, but incredibly interesting if someone did indeed record this.
Have been using this as my primary resource (hopefully accurate):
http://www.afl.com.au/stats/tabid/73/default.aspx#page=team
Any resources or numbers anyone has available to them in any of these categories would be very much appreciated.
I'm very willing to discuss my findings with those interested if I come accross any strong data and more than happy to discuss theories behind the numbers and why they seem to have particular effects on winning.
Doing some statistical research on which areas of statistical dominance best influence winning and looking at areas which perhaps haven't been appreciated as much or considered as much as they possibly should in recruiting decisions by clubs - using similar ideas to the book/film moneyball, but applying those theories to AFL as best I can and using my own interpretation first starting with team concepts, and if I get successful trends then perhaps I might look at specific undervalued players and potential draft prospects.
Does anyone have any data on total long kicks and total short kicks?
Also would have an interest in collecting data on kicking efficiency by team on long kicks and kicking efficiency by team of short kicks.
Some other stats by team I would also have interest in acquiring include: meters gained (through running with the footy), total tackles inside 50, total hitouts to advantage + % to advantage, marks off opposition kicks, total spoils.
The other big thing, while harder to calculate, total production of direct opponent. So disposals, goals, marks, basically all stats against that player directly. With the trend of players not going head to head and not sticking with the same matchups due to rotations this might be one of the more difficult ones to correctly record, but incredibly interesting if someone did indeed record this.
Have been using this as my primary resource (hopefully accurate):
http://www.afl.com.au/stats/tabid/73/default.aspx#page=team
Any resources or numbers anyone has available to them in any of these categories would be very much appreciated.
I'm very willing to discuss my findings with those interested if I come accross any strong data and more than happy to discuss theories behind the numbers and why they seem to have particular effects on winning.