NFL 2022-23 Season

[NYRB]

Its under a month till the NFL season kicks off and can't wait for the season to kick off.

Super Bowl LVII Outright Winner odds (from FanDuel Sportsbook) . Odds obtained : 14/8/22

Bills 7.50
Buccaneers 8.50
Chiefs 11
Rams 12
Packers 13
Chargers 15
49ers 17
Broncos 18
Ravens 21
Cowboys 21
Bengals 23
Colts 23
Browns 25
Eagles 26
Cardinals 31
Titans 36
Vikings 41
Dolphins 41
Raiders 41
Patriots 41
Saints 41
Commanders, Steelers 71
Giants 86
Panthers, Lions 101
Bears, Jaguars 121
Jets, Seahawks 151
Falcons 251
Texans 301


My predictions for Win/Loss in 2022-23 after having a look at the draw:

Chargers 11-6
Raiders 12-5
Chiefs 10-7
Broncos 12-5
Titans 10-7
Jaguars 7-10
Colts 9-8
Texans 3-14
Steelers 8-9
Browns 9-8
Bengals 11-6
Ravens 11-6
Jets 3-14
Patriots 9-8
Dolphins 10-7
Bills 13-4
Seahawks 5-12
49ers 9-8
Rams 11-6
Cardinals 8-9
Buccaneers 13-4
Saints 8-9
Panthers 4-13
Falcons 2-15
Vikings 7-10
Packers 12-5
Lions 5-12
Bears 10-7
Commanders 3-14
Giants 7-10
Eagles 11-6
Cowboys 9-8

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Bears 10 wins?!?!?

 

[NYRB]

Bears 10 wins?!?!?

Fields develops this season

but the Bears have to play the Packers twice, Bills as well. I see them splitting the series with the Packers 1-1 this season. Bears played them pretty well last season.

There might be the odd surprise losses to: Giants, Vikings, Patriots, Lions and Eagles as well.

 

[NYRB]

I am loving the price of the Bears at 3.29 on Sportsbet to beat the 49 ers in Round 1 though.

I see that as an upset Bears victory.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Fields develops this season

but the Bears have to play the Packers twice, Bills as well. I see them splitting the series with the Packers 1-1 this season. Bears played them pretty well last season.

There might be the odd surprise losses to: Giants, Vikings, Patriots, Lions and Eagles as well.

You'd hope he develops but also there is no good players on the team and no oline to develop behind + unproven coaching staff

Clearly worst team in that division and probably bottom 5ish league wide IMO

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

I am loving the price of the Bears at 3.29 on Sportsbet to beat the 49 ers in Round 1 though.

I see that as an upset Bears victory.

Will defs be a game to watch to see where the young Qs are at

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

My futures picks below (so far):

Went 16-13 on futures last year, +17.79 units

Christian Watson OROY	$15.00	0.5U
James Cook OROY	$17.00	0.5U
BUF/GB/TB/LAR to win divisions	$7.24	1U
BUF/GB/TB to win divisions	$3.20	1U
LAR win NFCW	$2.35	1U
PHI win NFCE	$3.50	1U
LAC win AFCW	$3.50	1U
IND/BUF/LAC/GB/TB/PHI/LAR to win divisions	$189.54	0.1U
BUF/GB/TB to win divisions and KC/LAC/LAR to make playoffs	$9.87	1U
LAC O10.5 wins	$2.05	1U
CAR U5.5 wins	$2.00	1U
CHI U6.5 wins	$2.15	1U
DEN O10.5 wins	$2.35	1U
GB O11.5 wins	$2.05	1U
HOU U4.5 wins	$2.00	1U
PHI O8.5 wins	$2.00	1U
SEA U5.5 wins	$2.10	1U
WAS O7.5 wins	$2.00	1U
AZ U7.5 wins	$2.70	1U
LAC highest scoring team for season	$9.00	1U
ATL lowest scoring team for season	$7.00	1U
BUF/KC/GB/TB/LAR to make playoffs	$3.49	2U
KC to make playoffs	$1.50	1U

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

AFC North:
1. Baltimore Ravens
2. Cincinnati Bengals
3. Cleveland Browns
4. Pittsburgh Steelers

AFC South:
1. Indianapolis Colts
2. Tennessee Titans
3. Jacksonville Jaguars
4. Houston Texans

AFC East:
1. Buffalo Bills
2. Miami Dolphins
3. New England Patriots
4. New York Jets

AFC West:
1. Los Angeles Chargers
2. Kansas City Chiefs
3. Denver Broncos
4. Las Vegas Raiders

NFC North:
1. Green Bay Packers
2. Minnesota Vikings
3. Detroit Lions
4. Chicago Bears

NFC South:
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2. New Orleans Saints
3. Carolina Panthers
4. Atlanta Falcons

NFC East:
1. Philadelphia Eagles
2. Dallas Cowboys
3. Washginton Commanders
4. New York Giants

NFC West:
1. Los Angeles Rams
2. San Francisco 49ers
3. Arizona Cardinals
4. Seattle Seahawks

 

[iluvparis]

My futures picks below (so far):

Went 16-13 on futures last year, +17.79 units

Christian Watson OROY	$15.00	0.5U
James Cook OROY	$17.00	0.5U
BUF/GB/TB/LAR to win divisions	$7.24	1U
BUF/GB/TB to win divisions	$3.20	1U
LAR win NFCW	$2.35	1U
PHI win NFCE	$3.50	1U
LAC win AFCW	$3.50	1U
IND/BUF/LAC/GB/TB/PHI/LAR to win divisions	$189.54	0.1U
BUF/GB/TB to win divisions and KC/LAC/LAR to make playoffs	$9.87	1U
LAC O10.5 wins	$2.05	1U
CAR U5.5 wins	$2.00	1U
CHI U6.5 wins	$2.15	1U
DEN O10.5 wins	$2.35	1U
GB O11.5 wins	$2.05	1U
HOU U4.5 wins	$2.00	1U
PHI O8.5 wins	$2.00	1U
SEA U5.5 wins	$2.10	1U
WAS O7.5 wins	$2.00	1U
AZ U7.5 wins	$2.70	1U
LAC highest scoring team for season	$9.00	1U
ATL lowest scoring team for season	$7.00	1U
BUF/KC/GB/TB/LAR to make playoffs	$3.49	2U
KC to make playoffs	$1.50	1U

I'd also like 2.15 Chicago U6.5 wins given its $1.50

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

I'd also like 2.15 Chicago U6.5 wins given its $1.50

Probs got it back in May

 

[iluvparis]

Probs got it back in May

Lel - stale prices board

 

[NYRB]

Any idea if there are any good Australian books that allow multing of wins/losses / player markets. Was having a look at a few markets on SkyBet for the upcoming season.





Dont mind the 20/1 there for Bills 12+ Wins, Chargers 10+ win, Raiders 9+ Wins, Saints 8+ Wins & Jets Under 5.5 Wins @ 20/1.

 

[iluvparis]

TAB let’s you do over unders season wins in multis

 

[NYRB]

Are there any Australian books that allow one to do Multis on NFL awards? Dont mind this bet at those odds. (Thats odds of 4950.0 in Decimal terms):

 

[Pancakes]

I like Chubb @ $10 for must rushing yards.
He will run it at least 15-20 times a game with how bad their QB stocks are.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

He will run it at least 15-20 times a game with how bad their QB stocks are.

The issue being that Henry/JT will both be getting ~25+ a game

 

[iluvparis]

Plus everyone will know they are running

 

[NYRB]

Week 1 Games- odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Bills 1.74 @ Rams 2.14
Steelers 3.20 @ Bengals 1.37
Eagles 1.51 @ Lions 2.66
Colts 1.28 @ Texans 3.90
Saints 1.44 @ Falcons 2.90
Ravens 1.34 @ Jets 3.35
Patriots 2.32 @ Dolphins 1.64
Browns 2.18 @ Browns 1.72
49ers 1.32 @ Bears 3.50
Jaguars 2.38 @ Commanders 1.61
Raiders 2.48 @ Chargers 1.57
Giants 2.98 @ Titans 1.42
Chiefs 1.51 @ Cardinals 2.66
Packers 1.79 @ Vikings 2.08
Buccaneers 1.81 @ Cowboys 2.06
Broncos 1.39 @ Seahawks 3.10

 

[targett]

NFL LAR-Buf Singletary RcYdOU	o15.5	$2.08		pinn
	u20.5	$1.80		tab

NFL LAR-Buf D Henderson RsYdOU	o29.5	$2.01		pinn
	u30.5	$1.95		tab

 

[NonPhixion]

1U KC/Cards O53.5 $1.95 SB

 

[NYRB]

Eagles are a decent price if Hurts can deliver. Weak division, Def usually strong and a couple of very good WRs. Weak ground game but, if they start well they should be play off bound.

 

[NYRB]

Are there any Australian books that allow one to do Multis on NFL awards? Dont mind this bet at those odds. (Thats odds of 4950.0 in Decimal terms):

Answering my own question but TAB allow multi of NFL Future awards but up to 3 legs if anyone is keen.

 

[LicoriceAllsorts]

Eagles are a decent price if Hurts can deliver. Weak division, Def usually strong and a couple of very good WRs. Weak ground game but, if they start well they should be play off bound.

Eagles weak ground game? They are the best running team in the league

 

[Teagueeee15]

Week 1 Games- odds from FanDuel Sportsbook:

Bills 1.74 @ Rams 2.14
Steelers 3.20 @ Bengals 1.37
Eagles 1.51 @ Lions 2.66
Colts 1.28 @ Texans 3.90
Saints 1.44 @ Falcons 2.90
Ravens 1.34 @ Jets 3.35
Patriots 2.32 @ Dolphins 1.64
Browns 2.18 @ Browns 1.72
49ers 1.32 @ Bears 3.50
Jaguars 2.38 @ Commanders 1.61
Raiders 2.48 @ Chargers 1.57
Giants 2.98 @ Titans 1.42
Chiefs 1.51 @ Cardinals 2.66
Packers 1.79 @ Vikings 2.08
Buccaneers 1.81 @ Cowboys 2.06
Broncos 1.39 @ Seahawks 3.10

Week one always seems to throw up some surprises due to some teams being rusty from not playing their starters in pre season and the weakest teams seem to all be at home. Looks like a few Bannana peel games in there.

I think the 49ers D-line will monster Chicago‘s O-line and get to Fields pretty easy and with Flacco starting for the Jets, I can’t see them putting on many points against Baltimore.

With only Locke and Geno Smith, also hard to see Seattle putting up much on offence, but they do have some quality receivers, so might avoid a play on that game.

Might be some value on the Browns, as I don’t think Carolina should be 1.72 against any potential wildcard team - seems to be just Baker hype.

 

[apolis]

Might be some value on the Browns, as I don’t think Carolina should be 1.72 against any potential wildcard team - seems to be just Baker hype.

I agree, but the Browns have lost their last 17 week 1 games or something ridiculous.