Sorry for the intrusion. Just coming for some insight/ discussion from Gold Coast's point of view on the current Dixon saga. I hope your mods don't think I'm trolling "lol 2nd rounder plus fringe for Dixon." This is genuinely what I believe is going to happen. But I could be totally wrong. Who knows. I'm trying to piece it together still myself. No ban pls.
Looks like Port's list management has planned to increase Wines' and Wingard's salary in their new contract (most likely to be signed around December 2015. We do most of our contract announcements around December.) Schulz is out of contract this year and his salary was considered as well during this list management process to remain within the salary cap. We offered Schulz a contract and he refused. Schulz didn't agree the fee he'd receive was fair (around 300-400k). Schulz has decided to pursue other options and Freo are willing to pay more since they're most likely losing Pavlich at the end of the year and have been throwing cash at Full Forwards for years now.
Source: http://www.triplem.com.au/adelaide/shows/rush-hour-adelaide/podcast/tuesday-25-august-2015/
Hence our interest in Dixon. We will need to offload Schulz and one or more player(s) to fit Dixon in our salary cap. Butcher, Moore, Young and O'Shea looking the most likely candidates (in order of likelihood). Hence Port fans wishfully thinking we can package one or more of them to get Dixon in the trade in a kill 2 birds with 1 stone kinda way. Also Lobbe is in the mix given his recent drop in form. But Hinkley (at least publicly) seems stubborn on this issue. Not willing to trade him for anything right now. Even if it costs us finals (like it did this year.)
If it was my guess, we'll probably trade Schulz and our 2nd for Freo's 1st (and maybe Freo's 2nd - we'll see how desperate they are for a ready made Full Forward). In which case, that first rounder (pick 17-20 roughly) would most likely be sent your way for Dixon. Maybe packaged with a player. I'm not sure. But I know Port are super keen to hold their first round pick (roughly pick 10) this season since we traded away our first round pick the past 2 seasons consecutively to get Polec and Ryder. But it is wishful thinking on our (the fans) part.
Honestly not sure if I even want Dixon. Very fearful of his ankles breaking down. But he clearly has talent. He's a Full Forward unlike Schulz too. Schulz is a good forward but doesn't command the Forward 50. I feel Dixon would command our forward line. Will be super depressed when he's injured though.
Edit: After doing some research, I think it's actually illegal for Port to trade it's first round pick given the restrictions provided by the AFL in regards to trading future picks. You need to have 2 first round picks in a 4 year period according to the following link (2nd dot point): http://www.afl.com.au/news/2015-08-06/future-trading-given-goahead-but-with-restrictions
Port has traded away 2 of its last 3 first rounders. That means pick 10 is off the table unless we get another first round pick. Making the Schulz theory not necessarily true, but more likely than a straight swap for pick 10.
Only if it's retrospective, which is unlikely