BigFooty AFL Power Rankings – Rd 7, 2026

After Rd 7, here’s how the model sees the competition.

The question is, if any two teams played today, who would win?

📊 Current Rankings

Rank Team Rating Prev Move
1 → Hawthorn 1717 1 0
2 ↑ Brisbane Lions 1710 3 +1
3 ↑ Sydney 1688 4 +1
4 ↑ Fremantle 1651 5 +1
5 ↓ Geelong 1629 2 -3
6 ↑ Collingwood 1593 8 +2
7 → Adelaide 1579 7 0
8 ↓ Western Bulldogs 1567 6 -2
9 → Gold Coast 1537 9 0
10 → Greater Western Sydney 1527 10 0
11 → Melbourne 1466 11 0
12 ↑ Port Adelaide 1451 14 +2
13 ↓ St Kilda 1447 12 -1
14 ↓ North Melbourne 1390 13 -1
15 → Carlton 1346 15 0
16 → Essendon 1289 16 0
17 → West Coast 1226 17 0
18 → Richmond 1187 18 0

📈 Biggest Movers

  • 🔼 Collingwood (+2)
  • 🔼 Port Adelaide (+2)
  • 🔼 Brisbane Lions (+1)
  • 🔽 Geelong (-3)
  • 🔽 Western Bulldogs (-2)
  • 🔽 St Kilda (-1)

Collingwood is the biggest riser this week, climbing 2 places. Geelong slides the most, dropping 3 places from last week.

🎯 Predicted Top 4

  • 1. Hawthorn
  • 2. Brisbane Lions
  • 3. Sydney
  • 4. Fremantle

The model’s current projected top four is Hawthorn, Brisbane Lions, Sydney and Fremantle. Hawthorn hold top spot with a rating edge of 6.6 points over Brisbane Lions.

⚖️ Ladder vs Power Rankings

  • Underrated by ladder position: Adelaide (ladder 13, power 7), Geelong (ladder 9, power 5), Greater Western Sydney (ladder 14, power 10).
  • Running hotter on the ladder than the power rankings suggest: North Melbourne (ladder 6, power 14), Melbourne (ladder 4, power 11), Sydney (ladder 1, power 3).

👀 State of Play

  • Hawthorn remain number one in the model after 18 teams were ranked this week.
  • Geelong round out the top five and remain firmly in the finals-quality zone of the table.
  • The strongest upward move belongs to Collingwood, who rise 2 places on the back of this week’s results.
  • The biggest fall belongs to Geelong, down 3 places compared to the previous round. This is mainly because other teams rose faster than them.

🔢 How it works

  • Elo-style rating system
  • Every team starts from a base rating
  • Ratings adjust based on win/loss, expected result and margin
  • Home ground advantage is included
  • Previous-season ratings are carried forward and regressed toward average

📅 Notes

  • Opening Round is treated as Round 0
  • Updated weekly after the final game of each completed round