Thats a well written post. Well thought out. Thank you. Its similar to discussions I have had with younger patients where we just do a risk v benefit analysis.Jumping on this thread -
I don't think that there is a case against vaccination for those at risk .. i.e the over 60's and those who have underlying medical conditions that may leave them more susceptible to a negative outcome, and anyone else who wants one. However, a broad one size fits all approach should probably be re thought given breakthrough infections, and the limited risk for those u/40?
Delineating from the vaxx'd / anti vax arguments it's clear that this affects the elderly and the already sick.
Since data became more transparent in NSW about who is dying (from 10th Jan), rather than just raw numbers here is the table of statistics: News - 2022 media releases from NSW Health
0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90+ Total 0 0 1 5 16 30 83 189 345 213 882
Only 1 person in each of the 30s, 40s and 50s had no underlying conditions. Everyone else u65 had severe underlying conditions with 85% of deaths >70years old.
There is similar data available from the NHS with a broader dataset for all of 2021 COVID-19 deaths by NHS age-bands - Office for National Statistics with over 70s making up 77% of deaths.
0-9 10-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-89 90+ Total 4 16 104 312 1063 3,470 7,837 18,699 31,921 17,404 80,830
Arguments for vaccination:
1- It supports in lowering severity of symptoms
2- Reduces the duration of illness and therefore the transmission window (most people would isolate so risks transmission primarily to those within the household)
3- Reduces the risk of hospitalisation and death
The above will be enough for most, however those with more enquiring minds would also consider:
Arguments against:
1- Still under Emergency Use Authorisation as it has not concluded the clinical trials for safety and efficacy (we are the trial)
2- There's a lot of money at stake and governments have spent a sht ton to support the vaccine programs, therefore need to push the agenda by using inflammatory language to induce fear and anxiety to coerce compliance and vaccine take up
3- Doesn't provide super effective cover as infection and transmission still widely circulating regardless of vaccination status (but see points 1, 2 and 3 of arguments for)
4- Long term safety effects unknown
5- Side effects are more prevalent than other vaccinations
6- Some countries have banned various vaccines due to risk factors associated with them
7- Risk of hospitalisation, all ages is extremely low (0.03%) could be argued that vaccination take up has supported this
8- Risk of death is practically zero in young and healthy individuals regardless of vaccination status
9- Natural immunity is demonstrated to be more effective than the vaccine induced immunity (while this carries a risk, it seems we'll all get infected at some stage) https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/113542
Questions -
Do under 40s require vaccination? Why?
Should the AFL mandate vaccinations for players given the risk of death from catching the virus is miniscule for the general u/30 population?
EDIT - I just tested positive. Current symptoms. Slightly dry non persistent cough, upper lungs (2/10). Marginal vice like headache (0.5/10). Fatigue 2/10.
Will keep updating.
Good luck with the covid infection. Hope you go well.