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Recent content by FootyMaths

  1. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    System predicts games based on teams current ranking head to head, with allowance for each team to play within a window of their ranking. So for Ess, it would have them almost certainly losing to a top ranked team, as the window of Ess playing above their ranking and a better ranked team playing...
  2. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    I'm a bit late to this discussion, but yes mid week last week Melb was listed as 0% (was a very low % but I trim off the small fry). Current estimation has them at 3% (actual 2.95%). Interesting that throughout the 2nd half of the year, the outsiders for 8th have been mainly PA and STK. Melb...
  3. FootyMaths

    2016 AFL Ladder Predictions

    Shameless self promotion... FMI - 2016: UNPREDICTIONS
  4. FootyMaths

    2016 Non-Crows AFL Discussion - Cont. in Part 2 (link in OP)

    Thanks Out of Towner - glad you see the merits in it. It's principle drawback is the high probability of no local derbies for SA/WA etc's, which has been raised before. But in the interest of making the fixture truly fair, its a sacrifice. The same would also apply in Melb where the big clubs...
  5. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    Yes your right... I completely fruited that up, looked at the wrong link and text from a blog post of mine from last year. The Hawks-20 was Robert from AFL Predictions. But here is another - TipBetPro: Hawks by 45 to destroy us all.
  6. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    Just found another: Ted Hopkins beats as all with a Hawks by 20 tip
  7. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    You need to update your signature link, as that where I started looking. I see the link you placed leads to a different location. And we were all correct on the tip, and all well under the margin too
  8. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    For what it is worth: Squiggle: Hawks by 15 ASAP Index: Hawks by 11 MatterOfStats: Hawks by 9.5 (using all-predictor average) FootyForecaster: Hawks by 8 FootyMaths: Hawks by 7 Massey: Hawks by 2 (Hope I have read those data right)
  9. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    Ran some squiggle scenarios yesterday, put Richmond way up (for a laugh). At the top of the new prediction it said 'Premier: Richmond', but the actual outcome via finals was still a WCE win. Did it just now and a similar result.
  10. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread 2015 AFL Power Rankings

    Just put it up now... Close, but your a bit under.
  11. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread 2015 AFL Power Rankings

    What is your estimation...?
  12. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread 2015 AFL Power Rankings

    If Roby's 'beans' are actual dollars, then him burning plenty with the bookies is not 'funny'. If its actual dollars then its time to take a step back, Roby mate. For your financial and mental health. http://www.gamblinghelponline.org.au/ *edit* just read post that he retires... hopefully not...
  13. FootyMaths

    AFL Prediction Models - Round 10

    CHUNK!! No R 11 write-up??? And R 12 is knocking on the door... where is the season long commitment!?!
  14. FootyMaths

    AFL Prediction Models - Round 10

    what, no pre-round preamble?
  15. FootyMaths

    Certified Legendary Thread Race for the flag, in squiggly lines

    Wouldn't say 'personally thought GWS would win', but the form indicators for both teams were so diametrically opposed that the Carlton tip was all but expected/known to be wrong. And certainly its not counted as correct when the model said otherwise. What it does indicate is that there needs to...
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