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  1. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    Clearly you're delusional. I refer to David Leljyonhelm and his election to a NSW Senate seat. As theorised by Antony Green at the time, Leljyonhelm scored a significantly higher than average vote, compared to Liberal Democrats in other states, because of the position on the ballot. In NSW...
  2. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    He targeted that area not because the high rates of ethnic minorities would agree with the Labour DLP policies, but a higher chance that section of the community would mistake Labour DLP for Labor (the ALP) on the ballot paper.
  3. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    I reckon they'll first decriminalise it, with the messaging around not wanting to waste the courts time on personal possession etc. Then they'll a year or so later go with a medical driven inquiry into legalising it, while taking the public's mood on if to legalise it or not.
  4. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    Ahhh! Good spotting! 👍 Fixed.
  5. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    FWIW, this is how I ended up on the Political Compass - and I'm a Labor voter. (Image replaced with correct compass image at 1:57pm)
  6. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    The day before the election I predicted (on the BomberBlitz forum and Twitter) the following result... Labor 54 LNP 30 Green 3 Independent 1 I wasn't too far off. A few I got wrong was thinking one of the rural Independents would hang on (they didn't) and the Greens wouldn't gain a seat -...
  7. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    Well, perhaps start trying, cause you haven't written one yet!
  8. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    When they quote about Fiona Patten being "popular", I believe that means in the Parliament, with both sides agreeing she's good and fair at negotiations and knows how to ask the right (and respectful) questions when on a committee. Now, why is Somyurek bringing in more votes than Patten in this...
  9. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    Kinda sound like a Johnny Howard "centrist" (Right winger trying to pretend they're a moderate). In terms of the SRL, the overall plan is smart, long-term thinking. Yes, like any projects, we can debate the fine tuning of some aspects (broad v standard gauge, standalone v network connected...
  10. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    I'm biased because I work in the railways, but 100% agree with the above. Add to those groups the working class. They love trains even if they don't ride them everyday - it's because a train line is reassurance for them. If your car doesn't start (or is in for repairs/servicing) or your partner...
  11. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Victorian State Election-November 26

    If the Libs were smart (and they're not, much to the enjoyment of this Labor supporter), they'd retire off David Davis, then move James Newbury out of Brighton into the Southern Metro upper house spot vacated by Davis. This then opens up Brighton to parachute in a potential leader (Tim...
  12. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Federal Election Watch

    Putting the small ALP Nationwide Primary vote dip down to Labor "playing dead" in a number of those Teals v Liberal, essentially giving a wink and a nudge to Labor supporters to vote Teal to boot out the sitting Lib.
  13. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Federal Election Watch

    Wilson looks a goner. Needs a 45% or better primary vote to survive.
  14. CrowdedHouse

    2022 Federal Election Watch

    The ALP picture should start to look brighter in the next hour. A lot of big suburban booths to come in, plus all that pre-poll to count.
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