- Feb 13, 2018
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- wombats
Wasn't Nick daicos home last year after round 5
Mmmm
AFL 2024 Brownlow Medal
- Thread starter PowerfulPies2023
- Start date
- Tagged users None
Mmmm
Lol if we are just going to quote odds from 5 rounds in as a form of metric then you are splitting hairs to neg a 30-1 chance while pumping up a 20-1 chance.
Walsh is 50-1 because he hasn't played a game yet and is playing catch up. That doesn't take away from his future polling ability when he comes back in soon.
I haven't got a cent on anyone. I'm just bored and enjoy replying to rubbish takes about superstars of the competition
Best you just leave this thread then as you are not contributing any valuable input to it. You're arguing about semantics when all I stated initially was players who have been around the mark for years (Bont, Trac, Crippa etc) are great value as opposed to getting on a $6 first year break out favourite in Round 5. Go leech somewhere else.
I think everyone has a valid point if we take the emotions out of it. Yes there’s no value in Heeney really atm (into $5.50 now on SB) and definitely value in the likes of Bont, Cripps, Trac etc. But I stand by the fact you can’t say Heeney has teammates stealing votes off him then in the same breath say get on Trac (Gawn, Viney all take votes, yes Clarry is injured but is a proven poller and was arguably BOG in round 1)
Sam Walsh is back now and polls very well. I mentioned Libba polling well last year which apparently meant nothing cos he’s old? Again he was BoG last week and I think people/umps are realising how good he actually is.
Rozee/Butters/JHF competing with themselves
Tom Green could be looking like the stand alone vote getter all year for the Giants
One thing I won’t cop though is Warner being called a superstar. Spare me. Gulden on the verge of superstar I’ll take that
In conclusion Heeney Brownlow 2024
Sam Walsh is back now and polls very well. I mentioned Libba polling well last year which apparently meant nothing cos he’s old? Again he was BoG last week and I think people/umps are realising how good he actually is.
Rozee/Butters/JHF competing with themselves
Tom Green could be looking like the stand alone vote getter all year for the Giants
One thing I won’t cop though is Warner being called a superstar. Spare me. Gulden on the verge of superstar I’ll take that
In conclusion Heeney Brownlow 2024
No you clown, I said I agree I wouldn’t touch Heeney at $5.50 and now’s there’s better value in others. I also said you can’t say Heeney has too many vote stealers but the other players don’t. How is that not saying everyone has made valid points?
Sorry a little off topic but any interest in Gawn at $101 (tab)?
I know he and rucks in general have historically underpolled but he’s putting up career numbers and currently equal 3rd in coaches votes.
The betfair predictor which I’ve seen mentioned on here before has him currently 6th and 2.5 votes behind.
Also has a softish ruck draw after his bye with Richmond, Geelong, Carlton, West Coast next.
I know he is a $101 long shot for a reason but feels like his odds should be much shorter.
Looking back to 2020, his best polling season, he had 13 votes in 14 games which even at that run rate probably wouldn’t get the job done but if they start giving rucks votes maybe he’d be a shot at bucking the trend.
Might just be the inner degen in me staring at that $101 odds, when he’s $51 at most other books
I know he and rucks in general have historically underpolled but he’s putting up career numbers and currently equal 3rd in coaches votes.
The betfair predictor which I’ve seen mentioned on here before has him currently 6th and 2.5 votes behind.
Also has a softish ruck draw after his bye with Richmond, Geelong, Carlton, West Coast next.
I know he is a $101 long shot for a reason but feels like his odds should be much shorter.
Looking back to 2020, his best polling season, he had 13 votes in 14 games which even at that run rate probably wouldn’t get the job done but if they start giving rucks votes maybe he’d be a shot at bucking the trend.
Might just be the inner degen in me staring at that $101 odds, when he’s $51 at most other books
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Would be nothing more than a chance to lay it later. He's not actually winning it, or getting that close but if he strings a month of good footy together you'll be able to arb off from 101/1Sorry a little off topic but any interest in Gawn at $101 (tab)?
I know he and rucks in general have historically underpolled but he’s putting up career numbers and currently equal 3rd in coaches votes.
The betfair predictor which I’ve seen mentioned on here before has him currently 6th and 2.5 votes behind.
Also has a softish ruck draw after his bye with Richmond, Geelong, Carlton, West Coast next.
I know he is a $101 long shot for a reason but feels like his odds should be much shorter.
Looking back to 2020, his best polling season, he had 13 votes in 14 games which even at that run rate probably wouldn’t get the job done but if they start giving rucks votes maybe he’d be a shot at bucking the trend.
Might just be the inner degen in me staring at that $101 odds, when he’s $51 at most other books
Thought that might be the case and presumably it would take a string of really outstanding games (and a fair bit of media attention) for him to come into the top bracket of contenders, to making laying profitable.
Personally, I think his next month could be huge. Can see him going 20+ touches + 50+ hitouts with that run of games. Probably just needs to hit the scoreboard a bit more and if Oliver stays quiet, could just be him, Petracca and Viney fighting for votes most weeks.
Has come into $51 on the tab overnight so now in line with the rest of the market. I ended up having a nibble as more of an interest bet than anything else and have mentally written it off in my mind lol.
It would be nice if ruckmen and forwards (Jezza for example) were at least in the conversation come brownlow night, if they have big years in winning teams.
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It's actually the correct topic..Sorry a little off topic but any interest in Gawn at $101 (tab)?
I know he and rucks in general have historically underpolled but he’s putting up career numbers and currently equal 3rd in coaches votes.
The betfair predictor which I’ve seen mentioned on here before has him currently 6th and 2.5 votes behind.
Also has a softish ruck draw after his bye with Richmond, Geelong, Carlton, West Coast next.
I know he is a $101 long shot for a reason but feels like his odds should be much shorter.
Looking back to 2020, his best polling season, he had 13 votes in 14 games which even at that run rate probably wouldn’t get the job done but if they start giving rucks votes maybe he’d be a shot at bucking the trend.
Might just be the inner degen in me staring at that $101 odds, when he’s $51 at most other books
Haha i probably should’ve said combo breaker or something along those lines instead. As the main topic of discussion was Heeney and his superstar teammates.
Is that a possible 2 or 3 votes for Maxy? Wasn’t watching but put up huge numbers.
23 disposals (16 contested)
10 marks (4 contested)
1 goal
Based purely off numbers, don’t think Petracca, Oliver or Viney should poll. Lever looked like he had a big night too with 26 and 15 intercept possessions.
23 disposals (16 contested)
10 marks (4 contested)
1 goal
Based purely off numbers, don’t think Petracca, Oliver or Viney should poll. Lever looked like he had a big night too with 26 and 15 intercept possessions.
Gawn could easily be on 15 by now
lol
- Feb 25, 2013
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Yeah I’ve got Gawn on 6 or 7 pending a 2 or 3 vote game last night. 15 would be leading the comp which is crazy
he is not on 15 but a 6.5 line is laughable after last night too.
- Feb 25, 2013
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Where have you got him getting votes? 2 or 3 against the Bulldogs and Port, and then 1 if he is very lucky against Brisbane prior to last night?
yeah these ones, is a chance vs Crows too.
unlike previous years their mids aren't all dominating games at the same time.
He is unlikely to win it as doubt he can sustain this level of play plus Viney, Oliver and Trac should all get better but he is over 7 votes at the moment
Betfair have him on 7 before last night (Heeney 10.5, Cripps 8.5, Rozee/Green 8) and polling as below:
Rd 0- 0 votes vs SYD
Rd 1- 3 votes vs WBD
Rd 2- 0.5 votes vs HAW
Rd 3- 2.5 votes vs PTA
Rd 4- 0 votes v ADE
Rd 5- 1 vote vs BRL
Seems plausible plus whatever he polled last night. I’m told he won the medal which is positive.
Rd 0- 0 votes vs SYD
Rd 1- 3 votes vs WBD
Rd 2- 0.5 votes vs HAW
Rd 3- 2.5 votes vs PTA
Rd 4- 0 votes v ADE
Rd 5- 1 vote vs BRL
Seems plausible plus whatever he polled last night. I’m told he won the medal which is positive.
- Mar 27, 2018
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- Cleveland Browns, Tony Ferguson
Green 3 votes
- May 20, 2016
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