Jiska
Moderator
- Joined
- Feb 24, 2013
- Posts
- 56,556
- Reaction score
- 89,607
- Location
- Melbourne
- AFL Club
- Melbourne
- Other Teams
- Storm
- Staff
- #1
Round 4.
The training wheels are off. Every player has had a price change, the cheapies are either making money or dying on the vine, and those early "I’ll sort that out next week" mistakes are now becoming real problems.
Which brings us to the great Xerri disaster.
A quarter of the competition piled into him last week after the 199. You could see why. Massive score, looked like the ruck answer, ownership exploding, everyone scared of missing out.
Then he bangs out a 68 and somehow produces one of the stupidest acts you’ll see on a footy field, wiping blood on an opponent’s face and earning himself three weeks on the sidelines.
We all knew King Max would be the best R1 option this year. Xerri just wanted to make sure we all knew it.
It hurts if you were one of the many who jumped on, but there is no point pretending otherwise. Three weeks is an eternity at this stage of the season. Cash generation matters too much, bench cover is too thin for most sides, and carrying a suspended ruck because you don’t want to admit the move went bad is exactly how rankings start sliding.
We’ve now got enough data to know which rookies are real, which mid-pricers are actually value, and which "breakout" picks were just a nice one-week story.
So the focus this week should be pretty simple.
First, fix the forced stuff. If you own Xerri, he goes.
Second, make sure your cash generation is right. At this stage of the year, missing key rookies is far more dangerous than being one premium short. Cash is everything early. The coaches who get the money right now are the ones who can actually finish their sides later.
Third, don’t get cute with luxury sideways trades. Unless you are fixing structure, fixing a red dot, or bringing in a genuine must-have, be careful. There’s a big difference between improving your team and just making trades because everyone else is.
With all the carnage, and there has been a lot, those who focus on cash gen while others burn trades will end up better placed later in the year.
Round 4 is usually where the season starts sorting itself out. Some teams are set up beautifully. Others are already patching holes. Most of us are somewhere in between, trying to turn a couple of bad picks and one suspension from hell into something workable.
Anyway, welcome to the round 4 thread.
The training wheels are off. Every player has had a price change, the cheapies are either making money or dying on the vine, and those early "I’ll sort that out next week" mistakes are now becoming real problems.
Which brings us to the great Xerri disaster.
A quarter of the competition piled into him last week after the 199. You could see why. Massive score, looked like the ruck answer, ownership exploding, everyone scared of missing out.
Then he bangs out a 68 and somehow produces one of the stupidest acts you’ll see on a footy field, wiping blood on an opponent’s face and earning himself three weeks on the sidelines.
We all knew King Max would be the best R1 option this year. Xerri just wanted to make sure we all knew it.
It hurts if you were one of the many who jumped on, but there is no point pretending otherwise. Three weeks is an eternity at this stage of the season. Cash generation matters too much, bench cover is too thin for most sides, and carrying a suspended ruck because you don’t want to admit the move went bad is exactly how rankings start sliding.
We’ve now got enough data to know which rookies are real, which mid-pricers are actually value, and which "breakout" picks were just a nice one-week story.
So the focus this week should be pretty simple.
First, fix the forced stuff. If you own Xerri, he goes.
Second, make sure your cash generation is right. At this stage of the year, missing key rookies is far more dangerous than being one premium short. Cash is everything early. The coaches who get the money right now are the ones who can actually finish their sides later.
Third, don’t get cute with luxury sideways trades. Unless you are fixing structure, fixing a red dot, or bringing in a genuine must-have, be careful. There’s a big difference between improving your team and just making trades because everyone else is.
With all the carnage, and there has been a lot, those who focus on cash gen while others burn trades will end up better placed later in the year.
Round 4 is usually where the season starts sorting itself out. Some teams are set up beautifully. Others are already patching holes. Most of us are somewhere in between, trying to turn a couple of bad picks and one suspension from hell into something workable.
Anyway, welcome to the round 4 thread.





