2023 Ladder Predictor

[Reg Hickey]

Playing in Adelaide isn't our best chance we'd do better in Brissy.

Yeah not too sure about that.

I think Port in Adelaide are more vulnerable than Brisbane at the Gabba. And off the top of my head I think we have a pretty damn good record in Adelaide.

EDIT: turns out that since 2015 we're 4-4 vs Port in Adelaide and 3-3 vs Lions in Brisbane. However, the Brisbane record includes a couple of big wins in 2016-17 when we were top 2 and Lions were bottom 2, while Port have been a generally stronger side over that period. Plus I still think Port are more vulnerable generally right now.

 

[Pollywaffle]

Playing in Adelaide isn't our best chance we'd do better in Brissy.

Prefer neither..

 

[JohnZ]

Anyone get us anywhere but 6th to make finals (We have to win both games, and winning both should see us keep our % above Sydney, whilst also keeping Dogs and Saints to 48 points max). If the winner of Ess and GWS have an upset in Rd24, we play them week 1 of finals away (ie finish 7th).



The good news for us, if Melbourne, Port and Collingwood win all their games, we have a path to the GF without leaving the MCG (unless we play Giants week 1).

 

[kickazz]

Anyone get us anywhere but 6th to make finals (We have to win both games, and winning both should see us keep our % above Sydney, whilst also keeping Dogs and Saints to 48 points max). If the winner of Ess and GWS have an upset in Rd24, we play them week 1 of finals away (ie finish 7th).

View attachment 1774566

The good news for us, if Melbourne, Port and Collingwood win all their games, we have a path to the GF without leaving the MCG (unless we play Giants week 1).

View attachment 1774568

Yeah I got pretty much the same as this - except had us 6th playing the Swans in week one instead of the finals bye.

But yeah either circumstance leaves us with an MCG only path to the GF which is pretty cool.

 

[goyoucatters]

Stanley will play i think.

And we can cover rohan the form ollie h is in especially if hawk is back.

As good as Ollie has been, he doesn't come close to covering Rohan's spread, harassing and tackle pressure, though.

 

[Zuta]

Anyone get us anywhere but 6th to make finals (We have to win both games, and winning both should see us keep our % above Sydney, whilst also keeping Dogs and Saints to 48 points max). If the winner of Ess and GWS have an upset in Rd24, we play them week 1 of finals away (ie finish 7th).

View attachment 1774566

The good news for us, if Melbourne, Port and Collingwood win all their games, we have a path to the GF without leaving the MCG (unless we play Giants week 1).

View attachment 1774568

MCG only would be the dream however with Melbourne playing last they will be able manipulate where they finish. They may prefer to lose to the swans meaning they get pies at the MCG rather than beating the swans and finishing 3rd and copping Port in Adelaide.

 

[Vdubs]

MCG only would be the dream however with Melbourne playing last they will be able manipulate where they finish. They may prefer to lose to the swans meaning they get pies at the MCG rather than beating the swans and finishing 3rd and copping Port in Adelaide.

i think that could happen

 

[Munich]

MCG only would be the dream however with Melbourne playing last they will be able manipulate where they finish. They may prefer to lose to the swans meaning they get pies at the MCG rather than beating the swans and finishing 3rd and copping Port in Adelaide.

I dunno it's not easy to manipulate games like that.

Though they have form.

 

[Pollywaffle]

Anyone get us anywhere but 6th to make finals (We have to win both games, and winning both should see us keep our % above Sydney, whilst also keeping Dogs and Saints to 48 points max). If the winner of Ess and GWS have an upset in Rd24, we play them week 1 of finals away (ie finish 7th).

View attachment 1774566

The good news for us, if Melbourne, Port and Collingwood win all their games, we have a path to the GF without leaving the MCG (unless we play Giants week 1).

View attachment 1774568

Plus we have to win those games

 

[JohnZ]

Plus we have to win those games

Of course. I don't make pessimistic predictions

 

[Mr Meow]

IF we make it, 6th looks most likely. With that in mind a couple of scenarios:

1. EF vs Adelaide (MCG), SF vs Melbourne (MCG), PF vs Collingwood (MCG), GF vs Port (MCG)
*requires Collingwood to beat Brisbane, Adelaide to beat Sydney at AO, and Melbourne to beat Sydney at the SCG

2. EF vs Sydney (MCG), SF vs Brisbane (Gabba), PF vs Collingwood (MCG), GF vs Port (MCG)
*requires Adelaide to beat Sydney, and Sydney to beat Melbourne

Brisbane winning tomorrow would be bad as it would send Port to 3rd (e.g SF vs Port at AO).

Sydney winning BOTH games would be very bad as we'd then have an SCG EF.

I think we want scenario 1.

 

[BigVic]

		W	L	D	%
1.	Collingwood	18	5	0	122.4%
2.	Brisbane Lions	17	6	0	125.6%
3.	Melbourne	16	7	0	124.7%
4.	Port Adelaide	16	7	0	109.6%
5.	GWS	13	10	0	100.5%
6.	Geelong	12	10	1	125.6%
7.	Carlton	12	10	1	111.4%
8.	Adelaide	12	11	0	115.5%
9.	St Kilda	12	11	0	96.5%
10.	Sydney	11	11	1	108.9%
11.	Richmond	11	11	1	96.0%
12.	Western Bulldogs	11	12	0	103.1%
13.	Essendon	11	12	0	98.5%
14.	Gold Coast	11	12	0	96.4%
15.	Fremantle	9	14	0	93.4%
16.	Hawthorn	8	15	0	83.2%
17.	West Coast	3	20	0	54.1%
18.	North Melbourne	2	21	0	69.1%

QF1: COLLINGWOOD v Port Adelaide
QF2: Brisbane Lions v MELBOURNE
EF1: GWS v ADELAIDE
EF2: GEELONG v Carlton

SF1: PORT ADELAIDE v Adelaide
SF2: Brisbane Lions v GEELONG

PF1: Collingwood v GEELONG
PF2: Melbourne v PORT ADELAIDE

GF: GEELONG v Port Adelaide

 

[Pure_Ownage]

If the afl hadnt stuffed up the crows non point the crows and us both would have still been able to make finals this week.

 

[Finknottle]

I tried all combinations and I cannot see any way Geelong can make the top 4.