AFL Round 17

[ElitePunter]

God damn it West Coast. I've been screwed over too many times by goals on/after the final siren.

 

[ricardogp]

What goal?

Sent using Tapatalk for Android

 

[Keystone agony]

1U Bris/WCE Under 175.5 @1.91
$100 West Coast Eagles @1.50 (Sportsbet money back special)

+3.41

1U Priddis over 105.5 DT @1.87 (TAB)
1U Priddis over 110.5 SC @1.87 (Sportsbet) - Pending
1U Shuey more disposals than Zorko @1.72 (TAB)
1U P.Hanley over 95.5 DT points @1.87 (Luxbet)
2U J.Green <1.5 Goals @1.72 (Lux) - RIGHT AT THE END OF THE GAME
-3.28

0.2U Lecras >1.5 Goals @1.70 (Lux)
0.2U Lecras 2 goals and 2 behinds @4 (Sportsbet) - Just needed one more point
0.5U Hanley > 24.5 @1.87
1U Hanley >29.5 disp @4.40 (Sportsbet)
0.2U Hanley >34.5 disp @17
0.2U Zorko >24.5 disp @3.50
0.2U Shuey > 24.5 disp @2.10
0.2U Masten >24.5 disp @2.75
0.2U Masten >29.5 disp @10.00
0.2U Priddis >34.5 disp @5

-1.64

 

[danielgb123]

Had $50 (Sportsbet Special) on Brisbane to win, money back in a game I feel they could have won.

Any reason why odds for PA are $1.55 against a very average Richmond side?

 

[DylanR]

anyone know how the weather is panning out in perth? looking like putting a few units on the freo line

 

[kainomac]

Any reason why odds for PA are $1.55 against a very average Richmond side?

Dropping 3 of the last 4 (including against what is meant to be a struggling essendon side) probably has swayed them out a bit.

 

[Small Moves]

anyone know how the weather is panning out in perth? looking like putting a few units on the freo line

It'll be fine, no rain.

 

[Small Moves]

No plays on the Hawks vs Crows game apart from the multi (Hawks, WCE, Port all at the line). Decided to sit back and enjoy the game instead.

Been forgetting to post my bets before the games, so here's what I'm working with so far this weekend.

(1U) - DT: Matt Priddis Over 108.5 @ 1.87
(1U) - DT: Mark Le Cras v Dayne Zorko Head To Head Mark LeCras @ 1.80
(1U) - Total Disposals - Matt Priddis Over 29.5 @ 1.95
(1U) - Total Disposals - Luke Shuey Over 24.5 @ 2.10
(0.25U) - Most Disposals/Most Goals - M. Priddis / J. McGovern @ 15.00
(1U) - DT: Luke Parker v Kieran Jack Head To Head Luke Parker @ 1.88
(1U) - DT: Individual Player Scores - Ben McGlynn Under 99.5 @ 1.75
(1U) - DT: Paul Chapman v Patrick Ryder Head To Head Patrick Ryder @ 1.75
(1U) - DT: Dustin Martin v Travis Boak Head To Head Travis Boak @ 1.95
(1U) - DT: Tom Liberatore v Dion Prestia Head To Head Tom Liberatore @ 1.70
(1U) - DT: Total Disposals - Dion Prestia Disposals - Over/Under Under 27.5 @ 1.65

Not great. My team sucks.

 

[Island Bomber]

H2H multi, Sportsbet 25% bonus for 7 legs.

Hawks
Cats
Eagles
Swans
Power
Dockers
Kangaroos

$100 @ 5.06 + 25% if successful.

5 down 2 to go, tossing up whether to have a $100 saver on the Tigers to cover the bet or just letting it ride as l can't see Freo getting beaten.

 

[Keystone agony]

5 down 2 to go, tossing up whether to have a $100 saver on the Tigers to cover the bet or just letting it ride as l can't see Freo getting beaten.

Get on tiggies sportsbet promo

 

[Island Bomber]

Get on tiggies sportsbet promo

Yeah that's a good idea, i'll probably do that, cheers.

 

[Island Bomber]

Get on tiggies sportsbet promo

I just found out something interesting, l asked customer service if because l already have a head to head bet on the power v tigers game as part of a multi am l still eligible for the promotion if l back the power straight out head to head tomorrow. (l didn't tell them l planned to back the tigers head to head in case they questioned hedging the original bet) anyway the answer is no the bet would not be eligible as l have already had a bet on that match included in my multi.

I also had a look at the t's and c's and noticed if the game is a draw in any of these promotional games a refund will not be issued. So for people who are backing other teams 1-19, 20+ etc it might pay to chuck $2 on the draw just in case.

 

[foxy_dal]

Well I was going to try cut the plays down but after a promiding start to the round I went for a few extra today.

2 units Martin over Boak DT @ $1.72
Can get lines of 105.5 and 96.5. Boak averages 95 and has gone under 97 10/15 times while Martin has scored over 105 in 7 of last 8.

2 units Gray over 93.5 DT @ $1.87
Averaging 102 in his last 12 and has covered this in 9 of those 12

2 units Swan under 103.5 DT @ $2.05
Looks like Swan is past his DT best days as he is averaging just 100 this year and has gone under this 10/14 times including 7 of last 8 (a few very close 100's however).

3 units Zaharakis over Heppell SC @ $1.95
I think/hope Heppell gets the Macaffer tag today. Aside from that Zaka has been great lately with 6 of last 7 scores over 98 at an average of 117. In that same time Heppell has average the same as his season average of 103. H2H is 5-2 zakas way in these games.

2 units Sidebottom over Zaharakis DT @ $1.87
Pretty much insurance in case Macaffer goes to Zaka. In its own right it's a decent bet though. Can get 106.5 for Sidebottom and 100.5 for Zaka.

2 units Stanton over Chapman SC @ $1.75
Chappy has been quiet since he started so well and is averaging 81 in his last 9. Stanton has actually been poor lately too but is averaging 90 for the year and with Goddard out perhaps he will find some more ball.

4 units Barlow over Ward DT @ $1.70
Got tis one from Keystone. Crowley tag for Ward + Barlow likely to rack it up against a weak side.

2 units Palmer under 75.5 DT @ $1.87
In 10 games he has covered this 4 times including a 76. Playing as a defensive forward is always going to be hard to score DT points and I expect the ball will only be up GWS's end maybe 30-35 times.

2 units Mundy over 95.5 DT @ 1.87
Can get 101.5 elsewhere. Has scored 95 or higher in 9 of last 11 and if he avoids a tag should do this fine against GWS.

Also have Mumford over Sandi still pending from the other day.

 

[Jay-Z]

Well I was going to try cut the plays down but after a promiding start to the round I went for a few extra today.

2 units Martin over Boak DT @ $1.72
Can get lines of 105.5 and 96.5. Boak averages 95 and has gone under 97 10/15 times while Martin has scored over 105 in 7 of last 8.

2 units Gray over 93.5 DT @ $1.87
Averaging 102 in his last 12 and has covered this in 9 of those 12

2 units Swan under 103.5 DT @ $2.05
Looks like Swan is past his DT best days as he is averaging just 100 this year and has gone under this 10/14 times including 7 of last 8 (a few very close 100's however).

3 units Zaharakis over Heppell SC @ $1.95
I think/hope Heppell gets the Macaffer tag today. Aside from that Zaka has been great lately with 6 of last 7 scores over 98 at an average of 117. In that same time Heppell has average the same as his season average of 103. H2H is 5-2 zakas way in these games.

2 units Sidebottom over Zaharakis DT @ $1.87
Pretty much insurance in case Macaffer goes to Zaka. In its own right it's a decent bet though. Can get 106.5 for Sidebottom and 100.5 for Zaka.

2 units Stanton over Chapman SC @ $1.75
Chappy has been quiet since he started so well and is averaging 81 in his last 9. Stanton has actually been poor lately too but is averaging 90 for the year and with Goddard out perhaps he will find some more ball.

4 units Barlow over Ward DT @ $1.70
Got tis one from Keystone. Crowley tag for Ward + Barlow likely to rack it up against a weak side.

2 units Palmer under 75.5 DT @ $1.87
In 10 games he has covered this 4 times including a 76. Playing as a defensive forward is always going to be hard to score DT points and I expect the ball will only be up GWS's end maybe 30-35 times.

2 units Mundy over 95.5 DT @ 1.87
Can get 101.5 elsewhere. Has scored 95 or higher in 9 of last 11 and if he avoids a tag should do this fine against GWS.

Also have Mumford over Sandi still pending from the other day.

Who are these with Foxy?

Sent from my Nokia 3210

 

[foxy_dal]

Who are these with Foxy?

Sent from my Nokia 3210

A combo of Sportsbet, luxbet, TAB and Bet365.

Just realised Boyd got scaled up from 105 to 109 yesterday so not going as good as I thought.

 

[Jay-Z]

A combo of Sportsbet, luxbet, TAB and Bet365.

Ok cheers. I only have sportsbet of those 4 so will tail those ones

 

[alex mcanulty]

anyone on Richmond today with the sports bet promo

 

[tibor]

anyone on Richmond today with the sports bet promo

The opposite. Making the favourite more of a lock

 

[happy punter]

Tigers/Power line keeps dropping. Now at +9.5

 

[banana_bus]

TAB allow multis for DT bets in case anyone didn't notice.

 

[danielgb123]

Dropping 3 of the last 4 (including against what is meant to be a struggling essendon side) probably has swayed them out a bit.

Even so, could arguably say Essendon will get up v Pies today. Tigers are very sub par and have beaten no one notable. Swans beat Port at home by 4 which is understandable. And Adelaide aren't as much of a push over as many think - plus Adelaide v Port always goes either way.

I think Port SU and even at the line is the value bet of the round.

 

[happy punter]

Power -9.5 over Tigers @ 1.93 (2 units)

 

[tibor]

Port SU @ 1.56 (2 units, sportsbet promo)

 

[bombers21]

2.5 U Collingwood under 91.5 points - $1.88

 

[_bonza_]

3 Units on Port Adelaide H2H @ $1.56 with Sportsbet
0.70 Units on Port Adelaide 40+ @ $4.30 with Sportsbet