Racing Caulfield Cup 2023

Caulfield Cup Winner?

  • 9.DUKE DE SESSA(14) - John Allen

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 12.EMISSARY(4) - Jye McNeil

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 13.GOLDMAN(18) - Linda Meech

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 15.FAME(16) - Craig Newitt

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 16.BOIS D ARGENT(3) - Winona Costin

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 17.SPIRIT RIDGE(10) - Dean Yendall

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    54
  • Poll closed .

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CAULFIELD CUP 1-MINUTE FORM GUIDE

GOLD TRIP - ludicrous Turnbull win but has shown that level rarely in Australia. That runs win this but must be doubts about the repeatability. Started $15 in a weaker version of this last year with less weight on a bog and got rolled by Durston so hard to get enthused about the current price.
WITHOUT A FIGHT - the one to beat and should be fave - total BT in the Underwood where it started $5 and drops in weight here. Drawn to settle closer and will look the winner at some stage.
BREAKUP - Should be renamed Mr Nagasaki for how cooked he is. Won't even get warm over the 2400 and is the absolute poison at the top of the market.
MONTEFILA - Ran a nice 4th in last years weaker edition but there is a wide body of work showing she is not up to winning a race like this. Looks very short.
FRANCESCO GUARDI - Turnbull run suggests he is the same kind of second tier stayer hype fraud that White Marlin and Goldman are. No.
WEST WIND BLOWS - Outstanding in the Turnbull and even Spencer shouldn't be able to get 3 wide from gate 2 here. Will be up on the pace and not stopping - the main danger.
NONCONFORMIST - Heroic second to Incentivise two years ago but that form is long gone and he is just making up the numbes here.
SOULCOMBE - Every run this prep a perfect cup trial and if he can jump out of the gates he is in this up to his years. Worry he doesn't get quite enough weight from the better WFA horses though.
DUKE DE SESSA - Looms as this years Gold Trip as a European with black type form entering through the WFA races. Could explode although withdrawal from MC at second acceptances suggests he is not going that good?
HOO YA MAL - Has looked on track for this all prep and will be up on the pace and out of trouble - one of the few blowout hopes not coming through the traditional lead ups.
RIGHT YOU ARE - Got in through winning the Mornington Cup - that's more this level.
EMISSARY - Hit a two-race golden patch in the Geelong and Melbourne Cup last year and has done nothing since. Won't be featuring.
GOLDMAN - Just another in a long line of offseason stayers who don't measure up in the big leagues. Cooked.
OKITA SOUSHI - This year's Camorra - and Irish plodder you do not want to be anywhere near at the 600 when he starts going backwards.
FAME - Genuine 999/1 shot on Betfair - the handicapper must have been on smack when allocating his weight as he is a midweek Sandown horse at best.
BOIS D'ARGENT - Been getting rolled in Big Dance qualifiers suggests he is not good enough to feature in this Big Dance.
SPIRIT RIDGE - Somehow ran Just Fine to a nose at 100/1 in a dogshit metrop. That horse beaten 30 Saturday. No
VALIANT KING - Would be half the quote if you forgive a horse a bad run and has no weight. Has Vauban form so would want to be doing something here given that horse is odds on for Flemington.
 

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Main Pick: WEST WIND BLOWS

Brings over the pick of the European form for me and backed that up with a super tough run in the Turnbull after having to do all the work and was still strong through the line. Loves a dry track, gets in very well at the weights with 54kg and from barrier 2 should sit handy without having to do nearly as much work as last time. I think he will settle in front of his main rivals which will be the difference.

Danger: WITHOUT A FIGHT

Will be very happy to have him going for my second best result on the day as he ticks a lot of the same boxes as WWB. Will love the dry track and has drawn beautifully in 7 to hopefully sit a bit closer than last time and should be the one closing off on WWB at the end.

Exotics runners: Gold Trip, Soulcombe, Breakup, Hoo Ya Mal, Valiant King
 
Francesco Guardi is the wrong price, but other than that looks similar to mine.

Yeah I guess he should be 80s but I halved his true odds because JMac is on
 
It begins.....

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