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Bluemour Discussion Thread XIV - Facts Not Welcome

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We wouldn't get Walsh if we traded pick 1.

For me, I would rather Smith anyway

For all the talk about Walsh (and I think he will be very good) Pick One is rarely the best player anyway. Other names like Smith Hately Lukosius Caldwell Rankine Rozee etc could be as good if not better. We simply don't know until they play at that level.
 
I agree, but I feel there's more to it than that.

We're all obsessed about getting the best players, but not so much about the best fits.
One would have a pretty good argument about Kelly fitting into every team, but would he alone make the whole better? (Generalising here)

My take on things is to target players with specific traits for specific roles that are somewhat better than what you have...and then there's the TPP...the quality of the character and the fit for the club.

Setterfield seems like a perfect fit for our midfield, although I feel the mix would have been so much better with Shiel involved....but not to be.
(I also think that Shiel would have been better at our club than he will be at Essendon, as he'll be the first tagged there)
McGovern I'm not quite as sure about, but given the vision we must have for him, I'll be happy to be proved wrong.

I'd sooner Coniglio than Kelly and not just because he'd come for free. I feel he'd be the better fit.

Agree Harks

This fascination with adding the best player in the league is staggering.

Bottom 6 players win flags, not one elite player
 
GC one of the clubs interested in 1. Possible trade could be 1 + next years first for 2+3 plus some other swaps. We'd then look at on trading 2+3 to the Adelaide clubs. Will depend on what the other clubs want to offer obviously, GC very interested in Walsh and aren't interested in mass picks from Adelaide due to their current draft hand.

I don't understand this.

If we're open to ditching Pick 1 and next year's first for 2 + 3, then on-trading 2 + 3 to the SA clubs for a bunch of other picks....why didn't we do it and get Shiel?

(GC) Pick 1 and future first for Picks 2 and 3.
(ADE) Pick 2 for Picks 8 and 13.
(PA) Pick 3 for Picks 10 and 11.
(STK) Picks 10 and 13 for Pick 4.
(GWS) Pick 8 and 11 for Shiel and Setterfield

Pick 4 = Smith
Pick 43 = ???
Pick 68 = BSOS

Give up next years first and Pick 1 for Pick 4 (Smith), Shiel and Setterfield.
Added to existing deals for McGovern and Fasolo.

I really don't understand the logic behind steadfastly holding onto Pick 1 in the Shiel negotiations...then trading it out a week later without another elite player on the table.
 
And that's fair. Talented but not unproven.

Bottom line for me is I have no issue trading next years first round if it lands us 3-4 very good mature players this year including Setterfield.

Our young talent is as good as we could hope. At this stage of the we need support, depth and create competition for spots. Good sides have a genuine 30-35 players that can step in and play. Not all are stars but work hard and play their roles.

If we can add Setterfield along with a couple of good mature bodies for next years first round pick then I believe it will make a big difference to our results and development in 2019 and beyond

Not sure that playing at the GC has helped him too much.
 

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I would have thought the strategy would have to include a best 22 mid from one of the SA teams (or a 1st rounder traded elsewhere for a mid) - three more 18 year olds doesn't help Cripps and we'd likely find ourselves in the GWS situation with quality kids wasting away in the 2s.

Maybe it would. It might unleash a Brad Crouch to us in their desperation for pic 3.
Would Crows be desperate enough to offer pick 8 and Brad Crouch for pick 3?
you bet the dopey pricks would...lol
 
It does...but it would explain why GWS aren't really happy with the situation...they may feel 'forced' into dealing with us despite the fact they could get a better deal from another club.
Hmmmmm.........maybe, but you can't label 3 or 4 players as expendable assets then give them a nudge towards the exit door and tell them to explore their options, because you've got TPP issues and then refuse to deal with their club of choice. GWS created that situation, not us. In the overall scheme of things Setterfield won't be the highest priority on their list given the Shiel & Lobb deals are on the go. Freo are hard arses to deal with so GWS might be a little more receptive to SOS as the trade period wears on.

The good news is at least SOS has got the McGovern & Fasolo projects completed early and we don't need to worry about the distraction of Shiel any more. Leaves him perfectly placed to swoop on a silly offer for Pick 1 should it eventuate and/or find other players/picks with our future selections.
 
I don't understand this.

If we're open to ditching Pick 1 and next year's first for 2 + 3, then on-trading 2 + 3 to the SA clubs for a bunch of other picks....why didn't we do it and get Shiel?

(GC) Pick 1 and future first for Picks 2 and 3.
(ADE) Pick 2 for Picks 8 and 13.
(PA) Pick 3 for Picks 10 and 11.
(STK) Picks 10 and 13 for Pick 4.
(GWS) Pick 8 and 11 for Shiel and Setterfield

Pick 4 = Smith
Pick 43 = ???
Pick 68 = BSOS

Give up next years first and Pick 1 for Pick 4 (Smith), Shiel and Setterfield.
Added to existing deals for McGovern and Fasolo.

I really don't understand the logic behind steadfastly holding onto Pick 1 in the Shiel negotiations...then trading it out a week later without another elite player on the table.

I agree, but I still think that Shiel wanted to play for a contender (finals/flag), from day one.
 
I don't understand this.

If we're open to ditching Pick 1 and next year's first for 2 + 3, then on-trading 2 + 3 to the SA clubs for a bunch of other picks....why didn't we do it and get Shiel?

(GC) Pick 1 and future first for Picks 2 and 3.
(ADE) Pick 2 for Picks 8 and 13.
(PA) Pick 3 for Picks 10 and 11.
(STK) Picks 10 and 13 for Pick 4.
(GWS) Pick 8 and 11 for Shiel and Setterfield

Pick 4 = Smith
Pick 43 = ???
Pick 68 = BSOS

Give up next years first and Pick 1 for Pick 4 (Smith), Shiel and Setterfield.
Added to existing deals for McGovern and Fasolo.

I really don't understand the logic behind steadfastly holding onto Pick 1 in the Shiel negotiations...then trading it out a week later without another elite player on the table.

Maybe it wasn't our decision in the end that led Shiel to the Bombers?
 
I think we'll be keeping 1 for Walsh. But...

2018 #1 and 2019 #1-4 for 2018 #2 and #3, I'd do in a heartbeat.

Smith + Rankine. Put Rankine on the half forward line, Smith in the centre and this trade + draft period is A+.

I don't see this happening though. If you're GC, you take Lukosius and Rankine/Rozee at picks #2 and #3 this year. No point risking the uncertainty of a 2019 pick from us, especially if we actually win 6 games.

If we trade pick #1, it will be to Adelaide or Port.
 

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Agree Harks

This fascination with adding the best player in the league is staggering.

Bottom 6 players win flags, not one elite player

You need to have a strong nucleus of elite players before the bottom 6 can do their role properly.
 
Very very interesting.

If we did that and turned them into a raft of first round picks and players SOS would want to nail the draft.

Could be a genius move or could blow up in our face.

Could well define our rebuild.

Personally I'd go for quality over quantity.

100%

Absolutely fearless move

All or nothing


You'd need to hit on every pick, if we don't and Walsh becomes a star we loose badley.

Bringing in more kids would also lock us into a bottom 4 finish next year, with no draft pick...
 
I know someone whose son plays with Ben, so has watched him for a while. He reckons he is no certainty and confirmed the other stuff re desire.

With this crazy trade hypothetical, I would hope SOS has a deal in place for 2 and 3 before pulling the trigger. If we end up taking them to the draft, I would rather keep 1 and 2019 pick, which is still likely to be top 5.
 
What happens if it gets to pick 68 in draft and someone bids on him? Do we just match with any pick after it because 68 in draft value points worth bugger all so with discount we actually do not have to offer any pick with points value. Just any pick that could be pick 100 for all the matters.

We can use next year's equivalent pick
 
It's still a good position to have pick 1 and next year's first (let's face it... it's gonna be early). So the "do nothing" option remains a good one.

The fly in the ointment is Setterfield, because I am sure we really want him - he fits age, needs profile beautifully - provided we can pay a market-appropriate price for him. This is a guy who has barely got on the field in 2-3 years (but looks a million bucks when he does). So something has to give.

At pick 1, from all reports, Walsh is a no-brainer. Not because he's far and away the best player, but because he's as "can't miss" as any prospect, and I think also the intangibles of leadership, competitiveness that would really stiffen up our midfield group at it grows together. We definitely want him.

Which means trading out of pick 1 is not to be done lightly, but COULD be a brilliant move. If we could stay high in the draft, pick Rankine or the next best mid, AND secure something else complimentary, I think that's SOS splitting his aces and is just good business. Stay in the draft raffle for young talent whilst also adding something "certain".

All OK so far, but we haven't done anything about the midfield, so will be pretty interesting to see what happens next.
 

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Seems to me that McGovern now done sends the message we will take Walsh and not Lukosius. And that would have all sorts of panic deals coming in for pick 1. Personally I imagine SOS won't even blink for the kind of thing that the GC rumour offers.
 
I don't understand this.

If we're open to ditching Pick 1 and next year's first for 2 + 3, then on-trading 2 + 3 to the SA clubs for a bunch of other picks....why didn't we do it and get Shiel?

I was about to make the same point. Makes no sense to now turn and trade pick 1, when we could have organised this during the Shiel negotiations. As per ITK posters, believe this years pick 1 isn’t going anywhere.
 
I just can't see any of this playing out - neither the GC piece, nor the SA clubs having anything to offer that would justify us being involved in these shenanigans.

Would only work if an A-grader was inclined to join us, and sadly, I just don't see that happening at this stage.
 
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